Celta Vigo v Juventus prediction
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Juventus
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Celta Vigo vs Juventus, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Celta Vigo host Juventus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Celta Vigo or Juventus (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Juventus have scored in eight consecutive matches. Three of Juventus’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (20%).
Form and the table
Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.29.
Juventus are unbeaten in their last three matches. Both teams scored in five of Juventus’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Juventus have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.86.
Celta Vigo (25th) and Juventus (first) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Juventus the stronger side, 172 rating points above Celta Vigo (Juventus 1859, Celta Vigo 1687, after at least nine rated matches each).
Team news
Celta Vigo have four names on the availability list: A. Antanon (out, Ankle Injury), C. Starfelt (out, Injury), J. El Abdellaoui (out, Knee Injury) and M. Roman (out, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Hugo González (3.8 per match over five appearances, one goal and two assists) and Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.
Juventus have 10 names on the availability list: A. Durmisi (out, Red Card), A. Milik (out, Inactive), D. Rugani (out, Off the roster), E. Zhegrova (out, Off the roster), J. Boga (out, Muscle Injury), J. Ekhator (out, Muscle Injury) and four more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. By TACTIX Impact, Manuel Locatelli (4.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Nicolás González (4.5 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Juventus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Juventus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Manuel Locatelli averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes. Nicolás González averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 814 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Celta Vigo 1W 3D 1L · Juventus 2W 2D 1L
Celta Vigo v Juventus (UEFA Europa League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Celta Vigo for / against | Line | Juventus for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.25 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Swedberg n 8 | 35 | 2.9 | 2.6 | — |
| Yoel Lago n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| H. Burcio n 8 | 49.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 | — |
| C. Driouech n 8 | 31.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| J. El Abdellaoui n 8 | 41.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Driouech n 8 | 31.8 | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Hugo González n 8 | 46.9 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Pablo Durán n 8 | 49.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Ferran Jutglà n 8 | 57.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Andrés Antañón n 6 | 50.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo González n 8 | 46.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Pablo Durán n 8 | 49.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Hugo Álvarez n 8 | 49.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Miguel Román n 8 | 83.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| C. Driouech n 8 | 31.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Driouech n 8 | 31.8 | 2.5 |
| Andrés Antañón n 6 | 50.8 | 2.4 |
| I. Moriba n 8 | 72.8 | 2.3 |
| Aleix Febas n 8 | 74.9 | 2.1 |
| Javi Galán n 8 | 50.4 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Radu n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
Juventus
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Locatelli n 8 | 90 | 2.4 | 1.9 | — |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 70.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| T. Koopmeiners n 8 | 32.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 71.9 | 2 | 1.7 | — |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 86.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 39.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 36 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| N. González n 8 | 52.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| J. David n 8 | 53 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| P. Sarr n 8 | 43.6 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 39.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| J. David n 8 | 53 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| T. Koopmeiners n 8 | 32.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| R. Kolo Muani n 8 | 71.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 36 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Zhegrova n 8 | 39.3 | 2.9 |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 86.8 | 2.6 |
| N. González n 8 | 52.6 | 2.6 |
| A. Cambiaso n 8 | 52.3 | 2.4 |
| M. Locatelli n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Grabara n 8 | 93.8 | 3.5 |
| Guglielmo Vicario n 8 | 89.9 | 2.4 |
| M. Perin n 8 | 74.1 | 2.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Juventus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Juventus is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
- What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Juventus?
- Recent form — Celta Vigo 1W 3D 1L; Juventus 2W 2D 1L.
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