Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Khalifa International Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · NEC Nijmegen

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Dinamo Zagreb host NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Dinamo Zagreb have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 0.63.

11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, NEC Nijmegen have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 2.17.

Dinamo Zagreb (14th) and NEC Nijmegen (27th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Dinamo Zagreb have six names on the availability list: A. Stojakovic (out, Foot Injury), F. Topic (out, Off the roster), I. Nevistic (out, Off the roster), N. Nsoki (out, Off the roster), P. Tabinas (out, Off the roster) and R. Mudrazija (out, Off the roster) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-20. Predicted Dinamo Zagreb XI (4-4-2): D. Kotarski, S. Domínguez, N. Galesic, S. Radeljić, B. Goda, J. Misic, L. Stojkovic, L. Ivanusec, A. Hoxha, D. Beljo, M. Lisica — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Dion Drena Beljo (8.2 per match over 13 appearances, 15 goals and five assists) and Dominik Kotarski (3.8 per match over seven appearances) have been Dinamo Zagreb’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dinamo Zagreb (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dion Drena Beljo averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1228 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Dominik Kotarski averages 3.1 saves per 90 over 1111 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

NEC Nijmegen have six names on the availability list: A. Tahaui (out, Off the roster), B. Nuytinck (out, Ankle Injury), E. Mor (out, Groin Injury), I. Hansen-Aaroen (out, Off the roster), P. Sandler (out, Injury) and D. Tadic (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-20. Predicted NEC Nijmegen XI (4-4-2): G. Crettaz, P. Schuurs, T. Storm, D. Fonville, G. Brás, D. Nejašmić, N. Lebreton, C. Bischoff, A. Thomas, B. Linssen, T. Chery — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.3 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) and Tjaronn Chery (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Tjaronn Chery averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1471 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Khalifa International Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Dinamo Zagreb 3W 1D 1L · NEC Nijmegen 0W 4D 1L

Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.63
Corners
against 3.38 / 2.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDinamo Zagreb for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
16 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Kačavenda n 843
3.77/5
2.96/4
—
K. Kravtsov n 840.9
3.64/3
0.82/1
—
S. Prevljak n 836.5
2.55/2
0.93/0
—
A. Hoxha n 853.4
2.16/4
1.73/2
—
N. Galesic n 852.6
1.95/2
1.35/1
—
Dinamo Zagreb — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Rodriguez n 436.5
4.94/4
2.53/1
M. Orsic n 843.3
3.47/5
0.52/0
S. Prevljak n 836.5
3.46/4
1.84/2
Dion Drena Beljo n 874.1
37/4
27/3
L. Stojkovic n 859.4
2.76/4
0.42/0
Dinamo Zagreb — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dion Drena Beljo n 874.1
1.47/2
0.32/0
Iker Almena n 844.6
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Prevljak n 836.5
0.62/0
00/0
D. Rodriguez n 436.5
0.61/0
00/0
M. Orsic n 843.3
00/0
0.51/1
Dinamo Zagreb — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Ivanusec n 852
3.76/4
K. Kravtsov n 840.9
3.34/2
M. Valincic n 858.3
2.97/4
L. Kačavenda n 843
2.97/4
Paul Bismarck Tabinas n 772.1
2.76/5
Dinamo Zagreb — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dominik Kotarski n 885.5
3.37/4
I. Nevistic n 890
1.94/2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 840
3.46/4
2.34/2
—
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.1
2.97/3
1.84/3
—
I. Hansen-Aarøen n 826.8
2.13/1
00/0
—
A. Kaplan n 855.1
26/2
2.24/3
—
Deveron Fonville n 882
1.98/5
0.86/0
—
NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sierhuis n 839.6
4.37/6
1.75/1
A. Thomas n 467.3
2.34/3
12/1
T. Chery n 883.4
2.26/5
1.25/2
Kevin Kers n 844.9
24/3
0.52/0
P. Schuurs n 835.8
1.94/2
0.93/0
NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schuurs n 835.8
0.62/0
0.62/0
W. Willumsson n 823.5
0.51/0
0.51/0
K. Sierhuis n 839.6
0.62/0
0.31/0
T. Chery n 883.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
Adam Tahaui n 849.1
0.52/0
00/0
NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.1
3.76/4
A. Kaplan n 855.1
3.14/3
A. Thomas n 467.3
2.74/3
Gabriel Brás n 574.8
2.64/3
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 840
2.55/3
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Polster n 883.8
4.26/5
G. Crettaz n 873.5
23/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Dinamo ZagrebDWLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenLDDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Dinamo Zagreb#14 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD
NEC Nijmegen#27 pos1 pts2 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Dinamo Zagreb scored0.5
NEC Nijmegen scored0.5
Dinamo Zagreb conceded0
NEC Nijmegen conceded3

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — Dinamo Zagreb 3W 1D 1L; NEC Nijmegen 0W 4D 1L.

Today’s boards

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