Jagiellonia v Anderlecht prediction
Team pages: Jagiellonia · Anderlecht
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Jagiellonia v Anderlecht, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Jagiellonia host Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Jagiellonia or Anderlecht (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
11 of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Jagiellonia have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.57.
Nine of Anderlecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in five of Anderlecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Anderlecht have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00.
Jagiellonia (17th) and Anderlecht (29th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Anderlecht the stronger side, 54 rating points above Jagiellonia (Anderlecht 1664, Jagiellonia 1610, after at least 16 rated matches each).
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Taras Romanczuk (4.9 per match over nine appearances, one assist) and Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Jagiellonia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Jagiellonia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Taras Romanczuk averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 755 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 678 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.
By TACTIX Impact, Ali Maamar (5.0 per match over nine appearances, three assists) and Giulian Biancone (3.8 per match over six appearances) have been Anderlecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Anderlecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ali Maamar averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 830 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Giulian Biancone averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 487 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Chorten Arena
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Jagiellonia 1W 0D 4L · Anderlecht 2W 0D 3L
Jagiellonia v Anderlecht (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Jagiellonia for / against | Line | Anderlecht for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.5 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.88 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.29 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.38 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.86 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Jagiellonia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Agbonifo n 8 | 27.4 | 4.9 | 3.7 | — |
| K. Jozwiak n 8 | 27.3 | 4.5 | 2.9 | — |
| Eryk Kozlowski n 8 | 46.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | — |
| Dimitris Rallis n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Bernardo Vital n 8 | 90.1 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Imaz n 8 | 68.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Sergio Lozano n 8 | 37.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| A. Cirkovic n 8 | 39.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| O. Sow n 8 | 49.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| K. Jozwiak n 8 | 27.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Prelec n 8 | 74.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Jesús Imaz n 8 | 68.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| O. Sow n 8 | 49.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| K. Jozwiak n 8 | 27.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Y. Sylla n 8 | 25.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Romanczuk n 8 | 83.1 | 4.1 |
| Rodrigo Conceição n 8 | 67.8 | 3.3 |
| Bartłomiej Wdowik n 8 | 38.5 | 2.9 |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 8 | 84.8 | 2.7 |
| N. Wojtuszek n 8 | 69.3 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sławomir Abramowicz n 8 | 90.4 | 3.6 |
Anderlecht
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Llansana n 8 | 65 | 3.5 | 0.9 | — |
| T. Aasgaard n 8 | 35.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Maamar n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Winkler n 8 | 69.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | — |
| Oleg Reabciuk n 8 | 83.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danylo Sikan n 8 | 45.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| T. Bentayeb n 8 | 46 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| K. Nga n 7 | 34.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Mihajlo Cvetković n 8 | 53.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| M. Winkler n 8 | 69.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bentayeb n 8 | 46 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| M. Winkler n 8 | 69.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| I. Koutsoupias n 8 | 55.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Mihajlo Cvetković n 8 | 53.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| K. Nga n 7 | 34.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Llansana n 8 | 65 | 3.3 |
| N. Cobiella n 6 | 20 | 3 |
| G. Biancone n 8 | 63.8 | 2.5 |
| Joshua-Williame Bethume n 4 | 61.8 | 2.2 |
| A. Maamar n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Coosemans n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Jagiellonia v Anderlecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Jagiellonia v Anderlecht?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Jagiellonia v Anderlecht is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Jagiellonia and Anderlecht?
- Recent form — Jagiellonia 1W 0D 4L; Anderlecht 2W 0D 3L.
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