Lillestrom v Real Sociedad prediction
Team pages: Lillestrom · Real Sociedad
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Lillestrom v Real Sociedad, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Lillestrom host Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Lillestrom or Real Sociedad (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 12 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
Real Sociedad have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Lillestrom’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lillestrom’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Lillestrom have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.75.
10 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Real Sociedad have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.75.
Lillestrom are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Lillestrom (23rd) and Real Sociedad (22nd) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Sociedad the stronger side, 316 rating points above Lillestrom (Real Sociedad 1767, Lillestrom 1452, after at least six rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Lillestrom XI (4-3-3): P. Dahlberg, R. Gabrielsen, L. Ranger, F. Elkær, S. Foss, F. Ottosson, G. Nyheim, Y. Ibrahimaj, F. Vá, F. Gulbrandsen, D. Bassi — derived from the last 4 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Felix Vá (5.1 per match over 25 appearances, six goals and six assists) and Lars Ranger (4.7 per match over 22 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lillestrom’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lillestrom (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Felix Vá averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2063 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Lars Ranger averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 1863 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Real Sociedad XI (4-4-2): U. Marrero, S. Gómez, M. Sarr, J. Martín, Zubeldia, Y. Herrera, J. Gorrotxategi, B. Turrientes, Barrenetxea, M. Oyarzabal, O. Óskarsson — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Aramburu (4.1 per match over seven appearances) and Unai Marrero (4.1 per match over three appearances) have been Real Sociedad’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Aramburu averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1047 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Unai Marrero averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League
- Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Lillestrom 1W 2D 2L · Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L
Lillestrom v Real Sociedad (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lillestrom for / against | Line | Real Sociedad for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 19 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.13 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.5 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.25 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Lillestrom
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harald Woxen n 8 | 29.4 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim n 8 | 75.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 53.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Henrik Melland n 8 | 37.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 1.3 | 2.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lehne Olsen n 8 | 47.8 | 4 | 1.4 |
| G. Nordh n 6 | 14 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Henrik Melland n 8 | 37.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 1.9 | 0 |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 53.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Nordh n 6 | 14 | 0 | 1.1 |
| T. Lehne Olsen n 8 | 47.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Felix Vá n 8 | 87.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 53.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Frederik Elkær n 8 | 68.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 4 |
| K. Krygård n 8 | 44.9 | 3.5 |
| Henrik Melland n 8 | 37.6 | 3.3 |
| G. Nordh n 6 | 14 | 3.2 |
| Harald Woxen n 8 | 29.4 | 3.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg n 8 | 90 | 4.9 |
Real Sociedad
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Aramburu n 8 | 85.9 | 3.3 | 2.4 | — |
| Y. Herrera n 8 | 68.5 | 3 | 1.8 | — |
| Barrenetxea n 8 | 59.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| J. Ochieng n 8 | 54.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| O. Óskarsson n 8 | 68.6 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Óskarsson n 8 | 68.6 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal n 8 | 70.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Gonçalo Guedes n 8 | 56 | 2 | 0.8 |
| L. Sučić n 8 | 66.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Barrenetxea n 8 | 59.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Óskarsson n 8 | 68.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| J. Ochieng n 8 | 54.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Héctor Fort n 8 | 29.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Soler n 8 | 67.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Barrenetxea n 8 | 59.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Aihen Muñoz n 8 | 40.4 | 3.1 |
| J. Aramburu n 8 | 85.9 | 2.9 |
| Y. Herrera n 8 | 68.5 | 2.8 |
| Zubeldia n 8 | 66.6 | 2.4 |
| Alex Garcia n 8 | 41.4 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Álex Remiro n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
| Unai Marrero n 8 | 97.5 | 3.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lillestrom v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Lillestrom v Real Sociedad?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lillestrom v Real Sociedad is Home or Away (best price 1.22 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Lillestrom and Real Sociedad?
- Recent form — Lillestrom 1W 2D 2L; Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L.
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