Omonia Nicosia v Benfica prediction

UEFA Europa League · · GSP Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.40 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 92 landed (95% range 76.1–90.7%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Omonia Nicosia host Benfica in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Benfica to win.

The key numbers

Three of Omonia Nicosia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Benfica have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. 12 of Benfica’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Omonia Nicosia have won their last three matches. Both teams scored in five of Omonia Nicosia’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Omonia Nicosia have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.57.

Both teams scored in nine of Benfica’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Benfica have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.71.

Omonia Nicosia (sixth) and Benfica (third) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Benfica the stronger side, 284 rating points above Omonia Nicosia (Benfica 1963, Omonia Nicosia 1679, after at least 24 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Omonia Nicosia XI (4-3-3): Fabiano, J. Duverne, J. Balkovec, Ľ. Šatka, S. Coulibaly, M. Marić, P. Andreou, M. Tankovic, L. Diony, Ewandro, J. Montnor — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Fabiano (4.0 per match over three appearances) and Ewandro (3.5 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Omonia Nicosia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Omonia Nicosia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fabiano averages 1.7 saves per 90 over 570 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last six appearances.

Predicted Benfica XI (4-2-3-1): A. Trubin, T. Araújo, S. El Karouani, A. Circati, C. Lenglet, J. Palhinha, F. Aursnes, D. Lukebakio, H. Sudakov, G. Prestianni, J. Duran — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Prestianni (8.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Vangelis Pavlidis (6.9 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and three assists) have been Benfica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Benfica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Prestianni averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 873 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Vangelis Pavlidis averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1118 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · GSP Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Omonia Nicosia 4W 0D 1L · Benfica 4W 0D 1L

Omonia Nicosia v Benfica (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.63
Goals
against 0.63 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.4 / 7.25
Corners
against 6.4 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 2.83 / 3 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.67 / 2.88
Cards
against 3.17 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOmonia Nicosia for / againstLineBenfica for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
3our book
2.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.4 for · 6.4 against n 5
9.5standard
7.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
10.4 for · 12.6 against n 5
19.5standard
18.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 2.83 against n 6
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.2 for · 14.8 against n 5
21.5standard
11.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.67 for · 3.17 against n 6
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Tănase n 843.8
3.96/6
0.51/1
—
J. Montnor n 852.1
2.86/4
1.34/2
—
Ewandro n 862
1.35/2
0.74/0
—
L. Brouwers n 826.4
1.32/1
0.91/1
—
I. Kousoulos n 863.4
1.25/1
1.13/2
—
Omonia Nicosia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Montnor n 852.1
2.25/3
1.13/2
A. Neophytou n 830.1
1.93/1
0.72/0
M. Tankovic n 869
1.84/3
1.34/2
Ewandro n 862
1.65/3
0.53/0
A. Kakoullis n 828.8
1.63/1
0.82/0
Omonia Nicosia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Kakoullis n 828.8
0.82/0
00/0
M. Tankovic n 869
0.53/0
0.21/0
A. Neophytou n 830.1
0.72/0
00/0
J. Montnor n 852.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
F. Tănase n 843.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Omonia Nicosia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Négo n 851.4
3.13/3
Ewandro n 862
2.47/3
F. Tănase n 843.8
2.16/2
J. Duverne n 879.3
26/5
M. Marić n 877.4
1.64/3
Omonia Nicosia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabiano n 893.8
1.75/3
Benfica
Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Barreiro n 861.4
2.68/3
3.37/6
—
J. Duran n 829.6
1.95/0
2.33/2
—
C. Echeverri n 829.1
1.93/1
2.76/1
—
V. Pavlidis n 860.5
1.75/2
1.96/2
—
João Palhinha n 869.8
1.67/3
1.96/4
—
Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
3.47/4
1.45/2
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
3.16/5
2.15/3
J. Duran n 829.6
2.73/1
1.12/1
C. Echeverri n 829.1
2.76/1
2.35/1
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
2.36/3
0.73/0
Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
0.53/0
0.84/1
J. Duran n 829.6
1.12/1
00/0
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
C. Echeverri n 829.1
00/0
0.82/0
S. El Karouani n 865.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Daniel Banjaqui n 387
3.83/3
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
3.56/3
E. Barrenechea n 838.3
2.64/2
João Palhinha n 869.8
2.16/3
G. Prestianni n 866.4
26/4
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 886.5
3.67/6
Samuel Soares n 890.9
1.22/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Omonia Nicosia v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Omonia NicosiaWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BenficaWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Omonia Nicosia#6 pos6 pts2 pl+4 GD
Benfica#3 pos6 pts2 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Omonia Nicosia scored2
Benfica scored3
Omonia Nicosia conceded0
Benfica conceded0.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Omonia Nicosia v Benfica is Away win (best price 1.40 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Omonia Nicosia and Benfica?
Recent form — Omonia Nicosia 4W 0D 1L; Benfica 4W 0D 1L.

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