Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Düsseldorf Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Hapoel Beer Sheva

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.35 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 216 landed (95% range 71.8–82.8%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union St. Gilloise host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Union St. Gilloise to win.

The key numbers

Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Hapoel Beer Sheva are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Union St. Gilloise have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Union St. Gilloise’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Union St. Gilloise’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Union St. Gilloise have four wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 0.75.

Six of Hapoel Beer Sheva’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Hapoel Beer Sheva’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Hapoel Beer Sheva have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50.

Union St. Gilloise (12th) and Hapoel Beer Sheva (25th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Union St. Gilloise the stronger side, 270 rating points above Hapoel Beer Sheva (Union St. Gilloise 1806, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1536, after at least 30 rated matches each).

Team news

Union St. Gilloise have nine names on the availability list: A. Ait El Hadj (out, Off the roster), I. Hurtevent (out, Knock), I. Pavlic (out, Off the roster), K. Mac Allister (out, Knee Injury), K. Rodriguez (out, Muscle Injury), O. Kricfalusi (out, Knock) and three more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-22. Predicted Union St. Gilloise XI (4-4-2): H. Koffi, N. Havenaar, M. Sylla, N. Chibani, K. Van de Perre, L. Patris, B. Zeneli, D. Olaru, G. Carvalho, R. Mofokeng, M. Biondic — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Massiré Sylla (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Kevin Mac Allister (5.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Union St. Gilloise’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union St. Gilloise (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Massiré Sylla averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 929 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Kevin Mac Allister averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Hapoel Beer Sheva have five names on the availability list: D. Biton (out, Heart Problems), Y. Stoyanov (out, Off the roster), I. Nachmias (doubtful, Injury), I. Rotman (doubtful, Knee Injury) and Lucas Ventura (doubtful, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-22. Predicted Hapoel Beer Sheva XI (4-4-2): O. Marciano, G. Mizrahi, P. Amador, M. Vítor, D. Diop, A. Forson, N. Yehoshua, Z. Ahmed, M. Baltaxa, I. Zlatanović, J. East — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Miguel Vítor (4.1 per match over four appearances) and Zahi Ahmed (3.9 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Hapoel Beer Sheva’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hapoel Beer Sheva (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Zahi Ahmed averages 0.8 shots per 90 over 354 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Düsseldorf Arena
  • Referee: Mikola Balakin
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Union St. Gilloise 3W 2D 0L · Hapoel Beer Sheva 2W 1D 2L

Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.86 / 3.2
Corners
against 3.43 / 4.6 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
8 / 4.8
Shots on target
against 2.86 / 5.4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.86 / 3.2
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.4 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUnion St. Gilloise for / againstLineHapoel Beer Sheva for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.25our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
3.2 for · 4.6 against n 5
Shots
19.14 for · 11.14 against n 7
19.5standard
10.6 for · 12.6 against n 5
Shots on target
8 for · 2.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.8 for · 5.4 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.4 for · 13 against n 5
Cards shown
1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
3.2 for · 1.4 against n 5
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
3.92/1
00/0
—
N. Chibani n 438
32/1
1.22/0
—
R. Florucz n 828.3
2.42/2
0.82/0
—
N. Havenaar n 860.6
2.25/4
0.95/0
—
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
2.25/2
2.53/1
—
Union St. Gilloise — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
5.12/1
3.92/1
R. Florucz n 828.3
4.45/4
23/1
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
3.85/3
2.25/2
K. Rodríguez n 835.4
3.55/3
1.63/1
Dylan Aquino n 847.9
3.16/4
0.72/1
Union St. Gilloise — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
1.31/0
1.31/0
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
0.93/0
0.31/0
R. Florucz n 828.3
1.22/1
00/0
Mateo Biondic n 879.3
0.43/0
0.62/2
A. Ait El Hadj n 860.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
Union St. Gilloise — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Mac Allister n 887.8
48/8
M. Sylla n 889.9
3.87/6
O. Kričfaluši n 867.5
3.76/6
N. Chibani n 438
3.62/2
L. Patris n 882
3.28/8
Union St. Gilloise — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Koffi n 890
24/3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Djibril Diop n 859.9
2.66/4
0.62/1
—
Eliel Peretz n 887.8
2.47/5
1.26/2
—
A. Ugarriza n 847.9
2.17/2
2.35/3
—
Mohamad Abu Rumi n 445.3
22/1
22/1
—
Yonas Malede n 831.6
1.83/2
4.66/4
—
Hapoel Beer Sheva — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joao Victor n 414.5
3.12/0
00/0
Igor Zlatanović n 841.1
2.23/3
1.63/2
Mohamad Abu Rumi n 445.3
23/1
1.52/1
A. Forson n 841.6
1.94/2
0.51/1
J. East n 746.4
1.43/2
0.62/0
Hapoel Beer Sheva — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Forson n 841.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Igor Zlatanović n 841.1
0.52/0
00/0
Guy Mizrahi n 868.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Zahi Ahmed n 488.5
00/0
0.31/0
J. East n 746.4
0.31/0
00/0
Hapoel Beer Sheva — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohamad Abu Rumi n 445.3
43/2
N. Yehoshua n 469
3.34/3
M. Baltaxa n 859
2.36/2
Zahi Ahmed n 488.5
24/2
M. Vítor n 874
26/3
Hapoel Beer Sheva — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Marciano n 893.8
3.67/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union St. GilloiseWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Hapoel Beer ShevaWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Union St. Gilloise#12 pos4 pts2 pl+3 GD
Hapoel Beer Sheva#25 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Union St. Gilloise scored2
Hapoel Beer Sheva scored0.5
Union St. Gilloise conceded0.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva is Home win (best price 1.35 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Recent form — Union St. Gilloise 3W 2D 0L; Hapoel Beer Sheva 2W 1D 2L.

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