Who will win Ligue 1 2026-27?
10,000 season simulations · run · recomputed daily
As of 31 October 2026, across 10,000 season simulations, Paris Saint Germain are the most likely Ligue 1 champions at 83.1%, ahead of Lens on 5.7%. These are probabilities from the simulations, not certainties.
The Top Five, With Probabilities
| # | Club | Title | Top 3 | Avg pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 83.1% | 97.6% | 72.4 |
| 2 | Lens | 5.7% | 48.4% | 59.3 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3.9% | 39.6% | 58 |
| 4 | Lille | 2.9% | 35.8% | 57.7 |
| 5 | Rennes | 1.8% | 26.4% | 55.9 |
How Is This Calculated?
Each covered league is simulated thousands of times from the current table and remaining fixtures using the same calibrated match model that prices every TACTIX prediction. The full table is on the Supercomputer hub; today's Ligue 1 match predictions are on the league hub. Free embeddable versions are at /widgets.
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties, and nothing here is betting advice. Please gamble responsibly — BeGambleAware.org.