Who will win the Bundesliga 2026-27?
10,000 season simulations · run · recomputed daily
As of 30 October 2026, across 10,000 season simulations, Bayern München are the most likely Bundesliga champions at 89.4%, ahead of Borussia Dortmund on 9.8%. These are probabilities from the simulations, not certainties.
The Top Five, With Probabilities
| # | Club | Title | Top 4 | Avg pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 89.4% | >99.9% | 80.4 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9.8% | 97.5% | 69.4 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0.4% | 61.4% | 58.2 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 0.3% | 60.4% | 57.6 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | <0.1% | 20.8% | 51 |
How Is This Calculated?
Each covered league is simulated thousands of times from the current table and remaining fixtures using the same calibrated match model that prices every TACTIX prediction. The full table is on the Supercomputer hub; today's Bundesliga match predictions are on the league hub. Free embeddable versions are at /widgets.
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties, and nothing here is betting advice. Please gamble responsibly — BeGambleAware.org.