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Major League Soccer top scorers 2026/27

Expected points (xPts) from match expected goals, beside actual points · Updated 2026-10-31 · 201 matches with xG on both sides · xG source: apisports_proxy

As of 31 October 2026, Philadelphia Union have 17.7 fewer points than their expected goals suggest — the unluckiest side in Major League Soccer on expected points. New England Revolution are the luckiest (10.6 more). Vancouver Whitecaps lead the Major League Soccer on 29 points; they also top the expected-points column on 26.8 xPts.

#	Club	P	Pts	xPts	Diff
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	13	29	26.8	+2.2
2	San Jose Earthquakes	14	29	20.8	+8.2
3	Nashville SC	12	27	19.2	+7.8
4	Inter Miami	13	25	21.8	+3.2
5	Real Salt Lake	13	25	20.8	+4.2
6	New England Revolution	13	25	14.4	+10.6
7	Seattle Sounders	12	24	18.3	+5.7
8	Chicago Fire	13	23	20.6	+2.4
9	FC Dallas	14	22	23.0	-1.0
10	Minnesota United FC	14	21	20.2	+0.8
11	Los Angeles FC	13	21	19.7	+1.3
12	Houston Dynamo	13	21	19.2	+1.8
13	Los Angeles Galaxy	14	19	21.0	-2.0
14	New York Red Bulls	14	19	19.8	-0.8
15	New York City FC	14	19	19.2	-0.2
16	Charlotte	14	18	17.6	+0.4
17	San Diego	14	17	18.4	-1.4
18	DC United	14	17	17.5	-0.5
19	FC Cincinnati	14	17	16.8	+0.2
20	Colorado Rapids	14	16	16.7	-0.7
21	Toronto FC	13	14	18.8	-4.8
22	Austin	14	14	13.1	+0.9
23	Orlando City SC	14	14	11.9	+2.1
24	Portland Timbers	12	14	11.6	+2.4
25	Columbus Crew	14	13	20.9	-7.9
26	St. Louis City	13	13	19.5	-6.5
27	CF Montreal	13	13	17.5	-4.5
28	Atlanta United FC	13	11	18.6	-7.6
29	Sporting Kansas City	13	11	10.9	+0.1
30	Philadelphia Union	14	7	24.7	-17.7

Sorted by actual points. Diff = points − xPts. Download this table as CSV.

How to Read This Table

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a side created and conceded; expected points convert each match’s xG pair into the points a side would earn on average from chances of that quality. A club well above its xPts has been winning tighter matches than the chances suggest; a club well below has been losing them. Neither is a prediction on its own, but a large gap is the first thing to check before trusting a position in the real table.

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Questions This Page Answers

What is an xG table?: An xG (expected-goals) table replaces goals with expected goals. For every finished Major League Soccer match, each club’s expected points (xPts) are computed from the two sides’ expected goals using a Poisson goal model; the table then shows those xPts beside the points actually won.
How is xPts calculated?: For each match the probabilities of a home win, a draw and an away win are derived from the two expected-goal figures (a Poisson model over 0–10 goals per side). xPts for a side is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw). A club’s season xPts is the sum over its matches with expected-goals data on both sides.
What does the diff column mean?: Diff is actual points minus expected points. A positive number means the club has taken more points than its underlying chances suggest — often finishing or goalkeeping above the model, or luck; a negative number means the reverse. Over a season the column tends to shrink towards zero.

Expected goals and expected points are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ — please gamble responsibly (BeGambleAware.org).