Arminia Bielefeld v Dynamo Dresden result

Full-time · Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 12:30 BST · SchücoArena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arminia Bielefeld · Dynamo Dresden · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 Dynamo Dresden — Dynamo Dresden won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Dynamo Dresden won 2–1 at SchücoArena in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 24 August. Arminia Bielefeld have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Dynamo Dresden led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Dynamo Dresden: N. Hauptmann (21’) and L. Herrmann (90’, assisted by K. Faber); Arminia Bielefeld: J. Grodowski (57’, assisted by C. Lannert). C. Lannert (74’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Herrmann’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Arminia Bielefeld 0.00, Dynamo Dresden 0.00, from 12 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Bauer showed six yellow cards and one red — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arminia Bielefeld: J. Kania (67’), M. Corboz (76’) and F. Hagmann (78’); Dynamo Dresden: L. Boeder (45+2’), L. Bünning (67’) and S. Kutschke (87’).

What it changes

Arminia Bielefeld move down from first to third (three league matches played).

Dynamo Dresden move up from 15th to 11th (three league matches played).

It is Dynamo Dresden’s first win over Arminia Bielefeld since 23 February 2018, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Herrmann (Dynamo Dresden) 5.9, J. Grodowski (Arminia Bielefeld) 5.8 and M. Mehlem (Arminia Bielefeld) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (414 of 630).

Next up

Arminia Bielefeld next travel to Hertha BSC on 24 October 2026.

Dynamo Dresden next travel to Holstein Kiel on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arminia Bielefeld: Hertha BSC v Arminia Bielefeld, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Dynamo Dresden: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: SchücoArena · Bielefeld
Referee: T. Bauer
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Arminia Bielefeld 5 · draws 0 · Dynamo Dresden 1 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Arminia Bielefeld 4W 0D 1L · Dynamo Dresden 1W 0D 4L

Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 0.88

Goals

against 1 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 6.33

Corners

against 5.33 / 4.33 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

5.67 / 4.33

Shots on target

against 3.33 / 5.67 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

4 / 1

Cards

against 3.67 / 2 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

3.5 yellows

Referee · T. Bauer

1.5 home / 2 away

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Arminia Bielefeld for / against	Line	Dynamo Dresden for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 5.33 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	6.33 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	13.33 for · 12 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	20 for · 10.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	5.67 for · 3.33 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	4.33 for · 5.67 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.67 for · 13.33 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	11.33 for · 12.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	4 for · 3.67 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 2 against n 3 Last 5

Referee: T. Bauer — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.33 fouls over 6 matches (1.5 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Home 1.5Away 2

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Grodowski n 3	79	2.7 3/2	2.7 2/2	—
Benjamin Bediako Boakye n 4	34	2.6 3/1	1.3 1/1	—
M. Mehlem n 8	41.8	2.4 5/2	1.6 4/2	—
S. Russo n 3	75.7	1.6 2/1	0.8 2/0	V. Šapina
T. Handwerker n 8	77.4	1.2 5/2	1.5 5/3	L. Bünning

Arminia Bielefeld — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kania n 3	37.7	4.8 2/2	2.4 2/1
N. Sarenren Bazee n 8	38.4	1.8 3/2	1.5 3/2
J. Grodowski n 3	79	1.5 2/1	0.4 1/0
Benjamin Bediako Boakye n 4	34	1.3 2/0	0.7 1/0
T. Handwerker n 8	77.4	1.2 4/3	0.3 2/0

Arminia Bielefeld — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Kania n 3	37.7	0.8 1/0	0 0/0
Benjamin Bediako Boakye n 4	34	0 0/0	0.7 1/0
N. Sarenren Bazee n 8	38.4	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
T. Handwerker n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
J. Grodowski n 3	79	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Arminia Bielefeld — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Mehlem n 8	41.8	2.4 3/3
J. Kania n 3	37.7	2.4 2/1
T. Handwerker n 8	77.4	2 7/5
S. Schreck n 8	62.3	2 4/2
C. Lannert n 3	90	1.7 3/1

Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Casar n 6	48	2.5 4/3	1.3 3/1	—
J. Oehmichen n 3	30.3	2 1/1	0 0/0	—
K. Faber n 8	60.4	1.7 5/2	1.7 5/2	—
V. Šapina n 3	88	1.4 3/1	0.3 1/0	S. Russo
L. Bünning n 3	87	1.4 3/1	2.4 3/2	T. Handwerker

Dynamo Dresden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Daferner n 7	58.4	2.6 6/4	1.3 5/1
D. Kother n 6	58.5	2.3 4/3	1.5 4/2
J. Oehmichen n 3	30.3	2 2/0	0 0/0
N. Fröling n 8	57.4	1.8 7/2	0.6 3/0
S. Kutschke n 8	35.9	1.6 4/1	0.9 2/1

Dynamo Dresden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Kother n 6	58.5	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
A. Casar n 6	48	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
J. Lemmer n 3	81	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
C. Daferner n 7	58.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
N. Hauptmann n 5	50.8	0 0/0	0.4 1/0

Dynamo Dresden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kofi Jeremy Amoako n 6	35.3	3.4 3/2
J. Oehmichen n 3	30.3	3 3/0
A. Casar n 6	48	2.2 5/1
K. Faber n 8	60.4	2 5/3
A. Rossipal n 8	71.9	1.9 7/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Arminia Bielefeld		Dynamo Dresden
57%	Possession	43%
12	Shots	21
2	Shots on target	7
8	Shots off target	8
2	Blocked shots	6
10	Shots inside the box	16
4	Corners	5
2	Offsides	2
13	Fouls	17
3	Yellow cards	3
1	Red cards	0
5	Saves	1
425	Passes	321
77%	Pass accuracy	69%

Arminia Bielefeld player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Oppermann	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
M. Großer	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Handwerker	90	0	0	1	0	4	1	0	7.7
S. Russo	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.3
M. Corboz	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	5.9
M. Mehlem	90	0	0	1	0	3	3	0	6.9
J. Grodowski	78	1	0	4	2	0	1	0	7.6
C. Lannert	74	0	1	0	0	2	0	R	6.3
L. Schneider	63	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
S. Schreck	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
N. Sarenren Bazee	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
Benjamin Bediako Boakye sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
J. Kania sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
J. Felix sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
F. Hagmann sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Lukas Kunze sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Dynamo Dresden player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Schreiber	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. Faber	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	7
L. Boeder	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	Y	6.6
L. Bünning	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	6.5
S. Risch	90	0	0	1	0	2	3	0	6.9
V. Šapina	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.3
J. Lemmer	85	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	6.2
D. Kother	71	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6.7
Kofi Jeremy Amoako	60	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
N. Hauptmann	60	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
N. Fröling	60	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.7
Tony Menzel sub	31	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Casar sub	31	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
S. Kutschke sub	31	0	0	3	1	0	0	Y	6.3
J. Oehmichen sub	20	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	7
L. Herrmann sub	18	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	8.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Arminia Bielefeld v Dynamo Dresden — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Arminia BielefeldWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Dynamo DresdenWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Arminia Bielefeld 5 · 0 draws · Dynamo Dresden 1 · 3.67 goals/game

2020-06-15 Arminia Bielefeld 4–0 Dynamo Dresden
2019-10-26 Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld
2019-01-30 Dynamo Dresden 3–4 Arminia Bielefeld
2018-08-11 Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 Dynamo Dresden
2018-02-23 Arminia Bielefeld 2–3 Dynamo Dresden
2017-09-20 Dynamo Dresden 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld

League standing · 2025/26

Arminia Bielefeld#13 pos39 pts34 pl+2 GD

Dynamo Dresden#11 pos41 pts34 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Arminia Bielefeld scored1.56

Dynamo Dresden scored1.59

Arminia Bielefeld conceded1.5

Dynamo Dresden conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Arminia Bielefeld v Dynamo Dresden?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Arminia Bielefeld v Dynamo Dresden was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Arminia Bielefeld and Dynamo Dresden?: In their last 6 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 5, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arminia Bielefeld and Dynamo Dresden?: Recent form — Arminia Bielefeld 4W 0D 1L; Dynamo Dresden 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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