Holstein Kiel v Hannover 96 result

Full-time · Holstein Kiel 1–2 Hannover 96

2. Bundesliga · · Holstein-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Holstein Kiel · Hannover 96 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Holstein Kiel 1–2 Hannover 96 — Hannover 96 won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hannover 96 won 2–1 at Holstein-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 30 August. It is Hannover 96’s first win over Holstein Kiel since 25 February 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Hannover 96 came from behind: Holstein Kiel led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Holstein Kiel: P. Harres (21’, assisted by J. Tolkin); Hannover 96: V. Ghiță (62’, assisted by Enzo Leopold) and B. Källman (69’, assisted by Enzo Leopold).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Källman’s goal on 69 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Holstein Kiel 0.00, Hannover 96 0.00, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Gansloweit showed five yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Holstein Kiel: Magnus Knudsen (38’) and J. Therkelsen (46’); Hannover 96: I. Okon (76’), B. Tomiak (80’) and M. Neubauer (80’).

What it changes

Holstein Kiel move down from 11th to 13th (four league matches played).

Hannover 96 stay first after this result (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enzo Leopold (Hannover 96) 10.9, J. Tolkin (Holstein Kiel) 8.0 and V. Ghiță (Hannover 96) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Holstein Kiel or Hannover 96 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3530 of 4561).

Next up

Holstein Kiel next host Dynamo Dresden on 25 October 2026.

Hannover 96 next travel to Eintracht Braunschweig on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Holstein Kiel: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Hannover 96: Eintracht Braunschweig v Hannover 96, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Holstein Kiel 1–2 Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Holstein-Stadion · Kiel
  • Referee: T. Gansloweit
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Holstein Kiel 3 · draws 1 · Hannover 96 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Holstein Kiel 2W 0D 3L · Hannover 96 3W 1D 1L

Holstein Kiel 1–2 Hannover 96 (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 6.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5.5 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.63 / 3
Cards
against 2.13 / 4 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
3.2 yellows
Referee · T. Gansloweit
1.2 home / 2 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHolstein Kiel for / againstLineHannover 96 for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4 against n 4
Shots
14.13 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 9.25 against n 4
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 2.25 against n 4
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
15 for · 15.25 against n 4
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 4 against n 4

Referee: T. Gansloweit — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.8 fouls over 5 matches (1.2 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Davidsen n 642.8
3.24/2
0.72/0
—
S. Schwab n 824.5
2.34/1
0.51/0
—
F. Porath n 825.1
2.23/1
2.24/1
—
R. Wagner n 837.6
2.13/2
0.62/0
H. Matsuda
D. Zec n 891.3
26/4
0.22/0
—
Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Niehoff n 464.5
2.42/2
0.72/0
A. Bernhardsson n 872.8
2.28/5
1.76/4
S. Machino n 866.6
2.26/3
1.55/2
P. Harres n 846.5
2.24/3
12/1
F. Porath n 825.1
2.23/1
0.41/0
Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Machino n 866.6
0.73/1
0.21/0
A. Bernhardsson n 872.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
A. Gigović n 880.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Therkelsen n 867.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
S. Schwab n 824.5
00/0
0.51/0
Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Davidsen n 642.8
3.94/3
S. Schwab n 824.5
3.75/3
T. Becker n 887
2.58/6
L. Rosenboom n 865.3
2.46/3
A. Bernhardsson n 872.8
2.28/4
Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Dähne n 890
3.97/6
Hannover 96
Hannover 96 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Aséko Nkili n 463.5
54/4
1.42/1
—
H. Matsuda n 486.3
2.13/2
1.83/2
R. Wagner
H. Chakroun n 380.3
1.93/1
33/3
—
M. Bundu n 876.1
1.97/4
1.57/2
—
B. Pichler n 845.8
1.54/2
2.75/3
—
Hannover 96 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Källman n 849.6
2.35/3
1.45/1
M. Bundu n 876.1
2.16/4
1.24/2
K. Oudenne n 359.3
1.52/1
0.51/0
B. Pichler n 845.8
1.54/2
0.73/0
N. Aséko Nkili n 463.5
1.43/1
1.43/1
Hannover 96 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Bundu n 876.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
B. Källman n 849.6
0.73/0
00/0
M. Neubauer n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
N. Aséko Nkili n 463.5
0.41/0
00/0
I. Okon n 487.3
0.31/0
00/0
Hannover 96 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hendry Aron Blank n 853.8
3.65/4
H. Chakroun n 380.3
3.43/3
N. Aséko Nkili n 463.5
3.24/2
E. Leopold n 889
38/7
V. Ghiță n 889.4
2.57/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Holstein KielHannover 96
41%Possession59%
9Shots12
3Shots on target4
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box6
1Corners5
0Offsides3
23Fouls16
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves2
365Passes534
77%Pass accuracy86%

Holstein Kiel player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Krumrey9000000006.7
J. Tolkin9001002407
D. Zec9000001206.6
C. Johansson9000000006.3
M. Komenda9000000506.9
S. Skrzybski9000001006.3
R. Wagner8000000005.6
J. Therkelsen70001001Y6.3
P. Harres7010210207.7
A. Bernhardsson6300101206.3
M. Knudsen45000000Y6.2
K. Davidsen sub4500000106.2
A. Kaprálik sub2700110106.5
M. Müller sub2000110006.3
N. Niehoff sub2000000006.7
S. Schwab sub1000000106.7

Hannover 96 player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Noll9000000006.7
B. Tomiak90000001Y6.6
V. Ghiță9010311208.7
H. Matsuda9000000106.7
E. Leopold9002004308.3
M. Neubauer90002110Y6.9
M. Bundu8500101206.7
I. Okon77000000Y6.6
N. Aséko Nkili6100001006.2
B. Pichler6000001006.9
J. Rochelt6000110006.7
B. Källman sub3010110007.5
D. Yokota sub3000000107.3
W. Taïbi sub2900001006.7
Hendry Aron Blank sub1300000206.9
F. Roggow sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Holstein Kiel v Hannover 96 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Holstein KielLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Hannover 96DWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Holstein Kiel 3 · 1 draw · Hannover 96 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2024-05-19 Hannover 96 1–2 Holstein Kiel
  • 2023-12-16 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Hannover 96
  • 2023-05-28 Hannover 96 1–5 Holstein Kiel
  • 2022-11-11 Holstein Kiel 1–1 Hannover 96
  • 2022-02-25 Hannover 96 2–0 Holstein Kiel
  • 2021-09-18 Holstein Kiel 0–3 Hannover 96
League standing · 2025/26
Holstein Kiel#12 pos41 pts34 pl-4 GD
Hannover 96#4 pos60 pts34 pl+16 GD
Goals per game
Holstein Kiel scored1.29
Hannover 96 scored1.76
Holstein Kiel conceded1.41
Hannover 96 conceded1.29

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Holstein Kiel v Hannover 96?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Holstein Kiel v Hannover 96 was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and Hannover 96?
In their last 6 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 3, Hannover 96 won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Holstein Kiel and Hannover 96?
Recent form — Holstein Kiel 2W 0D 3L; Hannover 96 3W 1D 1L.

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