Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC result

Full-time · Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC

2. Bundesliga · · Holstein-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Holstein Kiel · Hertha BSC

The model’s pre-match pick

Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC drew 0–0 at Holstein-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 16 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Hertha BSC out-shot Holstein Kiel 15 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.71 xG to 0.59 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

The bookings — Holstein Kiel: S. Schonlau (38’) and D. Zec (68’); Hertha BSC: D. Zeefuik (34’) and P. Seguin (90’).

What it changes

Holstein Kiel stay 16th after this result (eight league matches played).

Hertha BSC stay first after this result (eight league matches played).

It was the only goalless draw of round 8, across nine matches. Holstein Kiel are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Weiner (Holstein Kiel) 5.9, K. Sessa (Hertha BSC) 5.6 and Leon Parduzi (Holstein Kiel) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Holstein Kiel next host Dynamo Dresden on 25 October 2026.

Hertha BSC next host Arminia Bielefeld on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Holstein Kiel: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Hertha BSC: Hertha BSC v Arminia Bielefeld, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Holstein-Stadion · Kiel
  • Referee: Jarno Wienefeld
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Holstein Kiel 1 · draws 1 · Hertha BSC 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Holstein Kiel 0W 2D 3L · Hertha BSC 5W 0D 0L

Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 7.13
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3
Cards
against 2.75 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHolstein Kiel for / againstLineHertha BSC for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.75our book
2.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
20.88 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
3.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Jarno Wienefeld.

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Ugoh n 840.4
3.14/3
0.83/0
—
K. Davidsen n 866.9
2.77/4
1.96/2
—
J. Therkelsen n 858.3
2.36/4
2.36/2
—
G. Kvilitaia n 856.4
2.25/4
0.83/1
—
S. Skrzybski n 853.5
2.15/4
1.96/3
—
Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Harres n 890
3.18/7
1.37/3
F. Alidou n 834.6
2.34/2
0.31/0
G. de Regt n 844.3
1.85/1
0.51/1
G. Kvilitaia n 856.4
1.65/1
1.23/1
G. Balzi n 883.8
1.57/3
0.74/1
Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Harres n 890
0.65/0
0.32/0
A. Bernhardsson n 873.6
0.31/1
0.53/0
G. de Regt n 844.3
00/0
0.52/0
A. Kaprálik n 882.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
G. Kvilitaia n 856.4
0.42/0
00/0
Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Ivezić n 877.4
3.17/6
H. Sekine n 889.9
2.98/6
I. Ugoh n 840.4
2.55/2
K. Davidsen n 866.9
2.47/4
I. Nekić n 890
2.17/5
Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Weiner n 890
2.15/4
Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Klemens n 822.3
23/1
00/0
—
M. Winkler n 869.5
1.85/2
1.96/5
—
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht n 830.8
1.83/2
1.13/0
—
D. Zeefuik n 859.8
1.75/3
1.13/2
—
M. Dárdai n 845.1
1.75/2
1.25/0
—
Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Nilsson n 824.9
55/3
3.25/2
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht n 830.8
3.77/3
1.54/0
Oluwaseun Adewumi n 845.5
37/3
2.26/2
Soufian Gouram n 841.8
37/2
0.52/0
S. Grønning n 865.8
2.96/5
0.95/0
Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht n 830.8
0.72/0
0.72/0
J. Brekalo n 893.3
0.53/1
0.64/1
M. Winkler n 869.5
0.52/1
0.31/1
Oluwaseun Adewumi n 845.5
0.73/0
00/0
M. Pedersen n 860.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Eitschberger n 890.4
2.97/5
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht n 830.8
2.64/2
P. Klemens n 822.3
2.55/0
D. Zeefuik n 859.8
2.47/4
Oluwaseun Adewumi n 845.5
26/1
Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Gersbeck n 894.1
3.16/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Holstein KielHertha BSC
43%Possession57%
0.59Expected goals (xG)1.71
6Shots15
3Shots on target7
2Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box11
1Corners6
2Offsides2
18Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves3
350Passes461

Holstein Kiel player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Harres9000320006.5
N. Madsen9000000006.3
J. Meffert9000000106
Leon Parduzi9000001407.3
H. Sekine9000000006.6
T. Weiner9000000007.9
A. Kaprálik8200110006.4
J. Therkelsen8200101105.9
T. Wiese6400000206.3
G. Balzi6400101106.3
S. Schonlau50000000Y6.4
D. Zec40000001Y6.1
G. de Regt2600000006.6
I. Ugoh2600000306.7
G. Kvilitaia800000106.5
Mark Richter Monserrat800000006.9

Hertha BSC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Zeefuik90001002Y6.1
J. Brekalo9000101006.5
L. Gechter9000001107.4
N. Kolbe9000101006.8
P. Seguin90001021Y7.2
K. Sessa9000210506.4
M. Gersbeck9000001007.4
Oluwaseun Adewumi8900331006.5
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson7600100006.9
J. Eitschberger6900001305.9
S. Grønning6900210206.2
M. Pedersen2100101006.3
L. Schuler2100220006.6
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht1400002106.7
Soufian Gouram100000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Holstein KielLDLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Hertha BSCWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Holstein Kiel 1 · 1 draw · Hertha BSC 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel
  • 2025-11-29 Holstein Kiel 0–1 Hertha BSC
  • 2024-03-01 Hertha Berlin 2–2 Holstein Kiel
  • 2023-09-24 Holstein Kiel 2–3 Hertha Berlin
League standing · 2026/27
Holstein Kiel#18 pos5 pts8 pl-4 GD
Hertha BSC#1 pos22 pts8 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Holstein Kiel scored0.88
Hertha BSC scored2.38
Holstein Kiel conceded1.38
Hertha BSC conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC?
In their last 4 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 1, Hertha BSC won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC?
Recent form — Holstein Kiel 0W 2D 3L; Hertha BSC 5W 0D 0L.

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