SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli prediction

2. Bundesliga · · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SV Darmstadt 98 · FC St. Pauli · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli, 2. Bundesliga on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 17:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

SV Darmstadt 98 host FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 23 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is SV Darmstadt 98 or FC St. Pauli (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

SV Darmstadt 98 have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FC St. Pauli have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. FC St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of SV Darmstadt 98’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of SV Darmstadt 98’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, SV Darmstadt 98 have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.71. SV Darmstadt 98 have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of FC St. Pauli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC St. Pauli’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, FC St. Pauli have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. FC St. Pauli have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC St. Pauli have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SV Darmstadt 98 (17th) and FC St. Pauli (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC St. Pauli the stronger side, 285 rating points above SV Darmstadt 98 (FC St. Pauli 1631, SV Darmstadt 98 1345, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 May 2023, finished SV Darmstadt 98 0–3 FC St. Pauli.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, K. Klefisch (3.5 per match over eight appearances, two assists) and L. Duijvestijn (3.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal and three assists) have been SV Darmstadt 98’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SV Darmstadt 98 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Klefisch averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 701 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. L. Duijvestijn averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 599 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, M. Mathisen (5.7 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Abdoulie Ceesay (4.7 per match over six appearances, four goals) have been FC St. Pauli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC St. Pauli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Mathisen averages 4.3 tackles per 90 over 415 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances. Abdoulie Ceesay averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 384 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SV Darmstadt 98 2 · draws 2 · FC St. Pauli 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: SV Darmstadt 98 2W 0D 3L · FC St. Pauli 2W 3D 0L

SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.63
Corners
against 7.5 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSV Darmstadt 98 for / againstLineFC St. Pauli for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 7.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Darmstadt 98 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kleinhansl n 846.5
2.24/2
3.97/5
—
M. Smit n 887.9
27/4
1.26/2
—
Lee Ho-Jae n 843.8
1.84/1
1.53/2
—
C. Sickinger n 843.6
1.54/1
1.84/2
—
K. Klefisch n 887.6
1.46/3
2.68/6
—
SV Darmstadt 98 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Richter n 871.3
3.57/5
0.94/1
Lee Ho-Jae n 843.8
2.35/3
0.83/0
M. Merx n 327
2.21/1
00/0
M. Smit n 887.9
1.57/5
0.85/1
L. Duijvestijn n 863.6
1.44/3
0.52/1
SV Darmstadt 98 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Duijvestijn n 863.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
Lee Ho-Jae n 843.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Smit n 887.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Kehl n 539.2
0.51/0
00/0
N. Weißhaupt n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
SV Darmstadt 98 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kleinhansl n 846.5
3.45/4
Y. Furukawa n 833.4
3.45/2
I. El Kadiri n 823.6
2.94/1
K. Klefisch n 887.6
2.87/7
C. Lannert n 887.5
2.78/8
SV Darmstadt 98 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schuhen n 890
3.97/7
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samuel Klein n 840.8
3.35/4
1.43/2
—
Abdoulie Ceesay n 855.9
2.88/4
1.25/1
—
R. Jones n 819.1
2.43/1
1.22/0
—
B. Hrgota n 862.1
2.27/2
2.46/2
—
S. Banks n 831.8
1.83/2
1.43/1
—
FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdoulie Ceesay n 855.9
3.68/6
1.68/0
Samuel Klein n 840.8
2.56/2
1.13/1
R. Jones n 819.1
2.43/1
1.21/1
C. Metcalfe n 872.5
2.28/4
0.85/0
M. Kaars n 845.6
2.24/2
1.53/1
FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abdoulie Ceesay n 855.9
1.26/0
00/0
T. Hara n 847.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
M. Kaars n 845.6
0.52/0
00/0
C. Metcalfe n 872.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Hrgota n 862.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mathisen n 885.6
4.58/7
E. Ahlstrand n 831.5
3.95/4
A. Dźwigała n 853
3.27/3
M. Rasmussen n 879.3
2.77/7
B. Hrgota n 862.1
2.76/4
FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Voll n 890
3.27/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SV Darmstadt 98LWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
FC St. PauliDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SV Darmstadt 98 2 · 2 draws · FC St. Pauli 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2023-05-06 SV Darmstadt 98 0–3 FC St. Pauli
  • 2022-10-29 FC St. Pauli 1–1 SV Darmstadt 98
  • 2022-04-23 FC St. Pauli 1–2 SV Darmstadt 98
  • 2021-11-20 SV Darmstadt 98 4–0 FC St. Pauli
  • 2021-02-20 FC St. Pauli 3–2 SV Darmstadt 98
  • 2020-10-24 SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 FC St. Pauli
League standing · 2026/27
SV Darmstadt 98#17 pos7 pts8 pl-10 GD
FC St. Pauli#7 pos11 pts8 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
SV Darmstadt 98 scored1
FC St. Pauli scored1.38
SV Darmstadt 98 conceded2.25
FC St. Pauli conceded1.13

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SV Darmstadt 98 and FC St. Pauli?
In their last 6 meetings, SV Darmstadt 98 won 2, FC St. Pauli won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SV Darmstadt 98 and FC St. Pauli?
Recent form — SV Darmstadt 98 2W 0D 3L; FC St. Pauli 2W 3D 0L.

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