Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix prediction

A-League · · Suncorp Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brisbane Roar · Wellington Phoenix · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix, A-League on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 06:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Brisbane Roar host Wellington Phoenix in the A-League on Saturday 23 January (kick-off 06:00 UK).

The key numbers

Brisbane Roar are winless in their last 12 matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Brisbane Roar have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches — 0.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.88.

Nine of Wellington Phoenix’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Wellington Phoenix’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Wellington Phoenix have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Wellington Phoenix the stronger side, 117 rating points above Brisbane Roar (Wellington Phoenix 1401, Brisbane Roar 1285, after at least 240 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Wellington Phoenix are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Brisbane Roar. The most recent meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Brisbane Roar 1–2 Wellington Phoenix.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · A-League · Suncorp Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brisbane Roar 1 · draws 1 · Wellington Phoenix 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brisbane Roar 0W 2D 3L · Wellington Phoenix 3W 0D 2L

As of 30 July 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 7.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrisbane Roar for / againstLineWellington Phoenix for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samuel Klein n 840.8
3.35/4
1.43/2
—
Jacob Brazete n 414
3.21/1
00/0
—
Noah Maieroni n 881.1
2.56/6
0.73/2
—
Justin Vidic n 847
2.26/2
1.75/2
—
Henry Hore n 871.9
26/3
0.84/1
—
Brisbane Roar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Q. Macnicol n 824.4
3.75/1
1.83/1
Justin Vidic n 847
3.46/3
13/1
Ben Halloran n 627.2
2.82/1
1.71/1
N. D'Agostino n 841.9
2.75/4
1.65/1
Samuel Klein n 840.8
2.56/2
1.13/1
Brisbane Roar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Q. Macnicol n 824.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
C. Long n 868.3
0.53/0
00/0
N. D'Agostino n 841.9
0.52/0
00/0
Niall Thom n 634.3
0.41/0
00/0
Samuel Klein n 840.8
0.31/0
00/0
Brisbane Roar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jacob Brazete n 414
3.21/1
E. Shaw n 713.9
2.83/0
Youstin Salas n 889.8
2.68/7
Jordan Lauton n 833.8
2.34/2
J. McGarry n 884
1.96/4
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Duke n 833.3
2.45/2
0.72/0
—
Ifeanyi Eze n 887.4
2.28/6
1.87/4
—
Sander Erik Kartum n 840.4
26/1
1.43/1
—
J. McGarry n 884
1.96/4
1.15/3
—
A. Rufer n 878.3
1.97/5
1.45/3
—
Wellington Phoenix — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Durán n 846.1
2.76/4
1.54/2
Sander Erik Kartum n 840.4
2.23/3
1.12/2
Luke Brooke-Smith n 815.9
2.13/0
1.42/0
Corban Piper n 886.3
27/4
0.73/2
J. McGarry n 884
1.64/4
0.94/2
Wellington Phoenix — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Durán n 846.1
0.52/0
0.52/0
Luke Brooke-Smith n 815.9
00/0
0.71/0
Corban Piper n 886.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
Tim Payne n 868
00/0
0.52/1
Ifeanyi Eze n 887.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Wellington Phoenix — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fin Conchie n 827.3
3.35/3
Paulo Retre n 887.9
3.28/4
A. Rufer n 878.3
37/7
Kazuki Nagasawa n 882
2.57/4
M. James n 853.6
2.56/4
Wellington Phoenix — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joshua Oluwayemi n 890
3.57/5
H. Gray n 889.8
36/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Brisbane RoarLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Wellington PhoenixWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brisbane Roar 1 · 1 draw · Wellington Phoenix 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Brisbane Roar 1–2 Wellington Phoenix
  • 2026-01-03 Brisbane Roar 0–3 Wellington Phoenix
  • 2025-10-26 Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Brisbane Roar
  • 2025-04-26 Brisbane Roar 1–0 Wellington Phoenix
  • 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Brisbane Roar
  • 2024-03-30 Wellington Phoenix 1–0 Brisbane Roar
League standing · 2026/27
Brisbane Roar#8 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD
Wellington Phoenix#9 pos0 pts0 pl0 GD

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix?
In their last 6 meetings, Brisbane Roar won 1, Wellington Phoenix won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix?
Recent form — Brisbane Roar 0W 2D 3L; Wellington Phoenix 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →