Free model picks
A-League predictions: free model picks, graded
7 A-League fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory (Sun, 18 Oct 2026 03:00 BST). 5 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Auckland lead the table on 3 points after 1 game, level with Macarthur. Lachlan Bayliss leads the scorers with 2 goals.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming A-League fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.6% across 8M+ settled predictions — the full win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Brisbane Roar are winless in their last 12 (all competitions we cover)
Newcastle Jets have scored in their last 12 (all competitions we cover)
Western Sydney Wanderers are winless in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Melbourne City have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
What the data says about A-League
TACTIX lists seven upcoming A-League fixtures in the next ten days, five of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.6% mean calibration error across an 8M+-prediction track record; the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 17 Oct 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
Seven fixtures in the A-League fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory (Sun, 18 Oct 2026 03:00 BST). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 5 of the seven fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro.
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A-League at a glance
Long-run averages the model fits for A-League — the baseline every A-League match starts from before team form.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Current A-League standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Season leaders
Top scorers
- Lachlan Bayliss2 G
- Ali Auglah1 G
- Oliver Lavale1 G
- P. Wood1 G
- Q. Macnicol1 G
Top assists
How these picks work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard.
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Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy (BeGambleAware, GamCare, GAMSTOP).
A-League player stats
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See the full forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets for every fixture.