Gamba Osaka v Buriram United prediction
Team pages: Gamba Osaka · Buriram United
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Gamba Osaka v Buriram United, AFC Champions League Elite on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT.
The match
Gamba Osaka host Buriram United in AFC Champions League Elite on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 10:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Gamba Osaka or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Gamba Osaka are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Buriram United are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Gamba Osaka have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Gamba Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gamba Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Gamba Osaka have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 1.40 points per game, scoring 2.20 and conceding 1.00.
Six of Buriram United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Buriram United’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Buriram United have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.25.
Gamba Osaka (second) and Buriram United (11th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gamba Osaka the stronger side, 209 rating points above Buriram United (Gamba Osaka 1740, Buriram United 1531, after at least 16 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Gamba Osaka XI (4-2-3-1): J. Ichimori, S. Nakatani, S. Fukuoka, T. Kishimoto, R. Hatsuse, S. Abe, R. Meshino, E. Adams, R. Mito, I. Jebali, Y. Toshida — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Shuto Abe (3.4 per match over 16 appearances, two assists) and Deniz Hümmet (3.3 per match over 19 appearances, nine goals) have been Gamba Osaka’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gamba Osaka (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Shuto Abe averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1091 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances. Deniz Hümmet averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 1278 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Buriram United XI (4-4-2): N. Etheridge, C. Good, N. Cardoso, Caju, S. Haiprakhon, K. Schindler, P. Sookjitthammakul, U. Radaković, S. Moyano, Bissoli, S. Schimmer — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · Panasonic Stadium Suita
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L · Buriram United 0W 3D 2L
Gamba Osaka v Buriram United (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Gamba Osaka for / against | Line | Buriram United for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.71 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.43 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.43 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.71 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Gamba Osaka
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issam Jebali n 8 | 63.4 | 3 | 1.1 | — |
| G. Nawata n 8 | 38.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | — |
| Eli Adams n 8 | 66.1 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — |
| Ryotaro Meshino n 8 | 49.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Y. Toshida n 4 | 69 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Toshida n 4 | 69 | 3.6 | 1 |
| Issam Jebali n 8 | 63.4 | 3 | 1.2 |
| Deniz Hümmet n 8 | 60.6 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Eli Adams n 8 | 66.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Harumi Minamino n 8 | 50.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Adams n 8 | 66.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Issam Jebali n 8 | 63.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Harumi Minamino n 8 | 50.9 | 0.9 | 0 |
| G. Nawata n 8 | 38.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Y. Toshida n 4 | 69 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Nawata n 8 | 38.1 | 3.2 |
| Rin Mito n 8 | 74.4 | 3 |
| Shuto Abe n 8 | 71.6 | 2.5 |
| Takeru Kishimoto n 8 | 76.4 | 1.9 |
| Issam Jebali n 8 | 63.4 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Ichimori n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Buriram United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Stojković n 8 | 86.9 | 2.3 | 1 | — |
| S. Walsh n 8 | 53.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| K. Dougall n 8 | 90.3 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| V. Savićević n 7 | 64 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| S. Chaided n 8 | 62.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bissoli n 8 | 87 | 3 | 1.7 |
| S. Schimmer n 8 | 26 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| S. Mueanta n 8 | 55.1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| V. Savićević n 7 | 64 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| P. Žulj n 8 | 97.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mueanta n 8 | 55.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| P. Žulj n 8 | 97.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Bissoli n 8 | 87 | 0.4 | 0 |
| S. Schimmer n 8 | 26 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Caju n 8 | 66.9 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Caju n 8 | 66.9 | 3 |
| S. Walsh n 8 | 53.1 | 2.8 |
| S. Haiprakhon n 8 | 49 | 2.8 |
| F. Stojković n 8 | 86.9 | 2.5 |
| Toni Moya n 8 | 67.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Etheridge n 8 | 97.5 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Gamba Osaka v Buriram United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Gamba Osaka v Buriram United?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Gamba Osaka v Buriram United is Home or Draw.
- What is the recent form of Gamba Osaka and Buriram United?
- Recent form — Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L; Buriram United 0W 3D 2L.
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