Ratchaburi v Kashiwa Reysol prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · Dragon Solar Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Ratchaburi v Kashiwa Reysol, AFC Champions League Elite on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 12:15 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ratchaburi host Kashiwa Reysol in AFC Champions League Elite on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 12:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Ratchaburi are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Ratchaburi’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Ratchaburi’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Ratchaburi have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.57.

Seven of Kashiwa Reysol’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Kashiwa Reysol’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Kashiwa Reysol have two wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33.

Ratchaburi (12th) and Kashiwa Reysol (eighth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kashiwa Reysol the stronger side, 306 rating points above Ratchaburi (Kashiwa Reysol 1505, Ratchaburi 1200, after at least eight rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Ratchaburi XI (4-4-2): K. Phatomakkakul, S. Van Wermeskerken, T. Aggoun, J. Curran, J. Khemdee, R. Mesa, Tana, E. Panya, M. Rakotoharimalala, B. Mendes, J. Viera — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered.

Predicted Kashiwa Reysol XI (4-4-2): R. Kojima, H. Mitsumaru, T. Koga, S. Baba, T. Kubo, K. Yuba, Y. Konishi, R. Harakawa, N. Nakagawa, Y. Kakita, K. Yuruki — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Nobuteru Nakagawa (3.8 per match over 22 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Tojiro Kubo (3.5 per match over 19 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Kashiwa Reysol’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kashiwa Reysol (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nobuteru Nakagawa averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1824 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Tojiro Kubo averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1469 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · Dragon Solar Park
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Ratchaburi 0W 1D 4L · Kashiwa Reysol 2W 0D 3L

Ratchaburi v Kashiwa Reysol (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.33 / 4.63
Corners
against 7.17 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
6.17 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.67 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRatchaburi for / againstLineKashiwa Reysol for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.33 for · 7.17 against n 6
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
12.17 for · 16.17 against n 6
19.5standard
11.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.17 for · 5.67 against n 6
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.33 for · 13.17 against n 6
21.5standard
8 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Ratchaburi
Ratchaburi — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Limwanasathian n 843
2.44/3
0.83/0
—
Roque Mesa n 863.3
24/3
36/6
—
J. Kaewprom n 644
1.74/1
12/1
—
Gleyson n 549.2
1.52/1
00/0
—
K. Srisuwan n 430.3
1.52/0
1.51/1
—
Ratchaburi — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Mendes n 351
3.53/2
2.43/1
Denilson Junior n 872.6
3.38/5
2.25/4
Martin Njiva Rakotoharimalala n 875.3
1.86/4
1.36/2
Ekanit Panya n 860.5
1.76/3
0.94/1
Tana n 595.8
1.34/2
1.14/2
Ratchaburi — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Denilson Junior n 872.6
0.82/2
0.53/0
Tana n 595.8
0.93/2
0.21/0
Gleyson n 549.2
0.41/0
0.41/0
Martin Njiva Rakotoharimalala n 875.3
0.41/1
0.32/0
S. Allardice n 860.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Ratchaburi — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sidcley n 867.3
2.78/4
Tana n 595.8
2.15/4
Roque Mesa n 863.3
2.15/2
Sai Van Wermeskerken n 883.4
1.98/2
S. Allardice n 860.3
1.97/1
Ratchaburi — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Phatomakkakul n 893.8
3.57/6
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yusuke Segawa n 835.8
3.16/2
0.92/1
—
Hinata Yamauchi n 843.1
2.14/3
1.33/2
—
Shota Fujio n 846.5
1.74/2
13/1
—
Koki Kumasaka n 864.3
1.64/4
0.53/0
—
Yuki Kakita n 860.8
1.55/3
1.34/2
—
Kashiwa Reysol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mao Hosoya n 829.1
3.17/1
1.54/0
Hinata Yamauchi n 843.1
2.36/2
1.85/2
Tojiro Kubo n 875.6
1.85/4
0.94/2
Yuki Kakita n 860.8
1.56/1
0.63/0
Shota Fujio n 846.5
1.54/1
0.73/0
Kashiwa Reysol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mao Hosoya n 829.1
0.82/0
0.41/0
Yuki Kakita n 860.8
0.63/0
0.42/0
K. Yuba n 367.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Yoshio Koizumi n 881.1
0.32/0
0.42/1
Seiya Baba n 837.5
00/0
0.62/0
Kashiwa Reysol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Koki Kumasaka n 864.3
3.58/6
Seiya Baba n 837.5
2.13/2
Riki Harakawa n 839.1
25/1
Tojiro Kubo n 875.6
1.96/3
Wataru Harada n 878.3
1.76/4
Kashiwa Reysol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kengo Nagai n 788.1
2.55/2
Ryosuke Kojima n 890
2.36/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ratchaburi v Kashiwa Reysol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RatchaburiLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Kashiwa ReysolWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Ratchaburi#12 pos0 pts2 pl-3 GD
Kashiwa Reysol#8 pos3 pts2 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Ratchaburi scored2
Kashiwa Reysol scored3
Ratchaburi conceded3.5
Kashiwa Reysol conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Ratchaburi v Kashiwa Reysol?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ratchaburi v Kashiwa Reysol is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Ratchaburi and Kashiwa Reysol?
Recent form — Ratchaburi 0W 1D 4L; Kashiwa Reysol 2W 0D 3L.

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