Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · Al-Rashid Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · Esteghlal FC

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC, AFC Champions League Elite on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai host Esteghlal FC in AFC Champions League Elite on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.50.

Seven of Esteghlal FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Esteghlal FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Esteghlal FC have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 2.13.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (fourth) and Esteghlal FC (second) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shabab Al Ahli Dubai the stronger side, 115 rating points above Esteghlal FC (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1864, Esteghlal FC 1749, after at least 44 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2017, finished Esteghlal FC 1–1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · Al-Rashid Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 · draws 1 · Esteghlal FC 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 4W 0D 1L · Esteghlal FC 3W 0D 2L

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.57
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 5.71
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameShabab Al Ahli Dubai for / againstLineEsteghlal FC for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7
Shots
13.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.57 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.71 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.43 for · 10.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Marcelo n 826.8
5.97/4
0.82/0
—
Eid Khamis n 850.3
2.77/3
1.33/3
—
S. Ezatolahi n 885.5
2.48/5
1.35/3
—
Mohammad Juma n 746.4
1.95/2
2.23/2
—
Breno Cascardo n 859.5
1.75/2
0.63/0
—
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuri César n 882.1
38/6
1.67/3
S. Azmoun n 868.5
2.67/4
1.55/3
Mateusão n 844.5
2.54/4
1.53/3
João Marcelo n 826.8
2.52/2
1.32/1
J. Markelo n 833
2.43/2
13/0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Azmoun n 868.5
13/3
0.21/0
F. Cartabia n 875.8
0.32/0
0.43/0
Mohammad Juma n 746.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Guilherme Bala n 878
0.11/0
0.43/0
Mateusão n 844.5
0.52/0
00/0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Seifi n 844.5
3.87/5
Mohammad Juma n 746.4
36/3
Eid Khamis n 850.3
2.96/4
Mateus Henrique n 847.8
2.66/2
Kauan Santos n 880.3
1.86/3
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matheus Donelli n 890.8
2.65/4
Hamad Al Meqebaali n 890
2.14/2
Esteghlal FC
Esteghlal FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Zamani n 525.2
2.93/1
00/0
—
Saleh Hardani n 872.9
1.96/4
27/4
—
J. Masharipov n 859.1
1.96/3
2.97/4
—
A. Razzaghinia n 869.4
1.86/4
0.21/0
—
E. Saitmuratov n 844.5
1.84/2
24/3
—
Esteghlal FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Saharkhizan n 866.6
2.57/5
1.47/1
D. Nazon n 826.8
2.55/1
1.74/0
J. Asani n 878.1
1.97/5
1.67/3
A. Koushki n 857.1
1.88/1
0.83/1
E. Saitmuratov n 844.5
1.85/2
1.55/1
Esteghlal FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Nuriddinov n 416.3
00/0
1.41/0
J. Asani n 878.1
0.64/0
0.32/0
E. Saitmuratov n 844.5
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Saharkhizan n 866.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. El Haddadi n 859
0.21/0
0.21/0
Esteghlal FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Nuriddinov n 416.3
6.93/2
Saleh Hardani n 872.9
3.97/6
A. Zamani n 525.2
3.62/1
J. Masharipov n 859.1
2.77/4
D. Ndong n 880.5
2.58/5
Esteghlal FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Habib Far Abbasi n 390
4.33/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Esteghlal FCWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 · 1 draw · Esteghlal FC 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2017-04-25 Esteghlal FC 1–1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
  • 2017-02-20 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–1 Esteghlal FC
League standing · 2026/27
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai#4 pos6 pts2 pl+2 GD
Esteghlal FC#2 pos6 pts2 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai scored1.5
Esteghlal FC scored2.5
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai conceded0.5
Esteghlal FC conceded0.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Esteghlal FC is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Esteghlal FC?
In their last 2 meetings, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai won 1, Esteghlal FC won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Esteghlal FC?
Recent form — Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 4W 0D 1L; Esteghlal FC 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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