AIK Stockholm v IFK Goteborg prediction

Allsvenskan · · Strawberry Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for AIK Stockholm v IFK Goteborg, Allsvenskan on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.5% of 646 landed (95% range 61.7–69%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

AIK Stockholm host IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

AIK Stockholm are winless in their last five matches.

IFK Goteborg are unbeaten in their last six matches. IFK Goteborg have scored in six consecutive matches.

Form and the table

11 of AIK Stockholm’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of AIK Stockholm’s last 15 results (67%). At home, AIK Stockholm have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.71. AIK Stockholm have scored 36 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). AIK Stockholm have conceded 40 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs.

Eight of IFK Goteborg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of IFK Goteborg’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, IFK Goteborg have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.67. IFK Goteborg have scored 32 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). IFK Goteborg have conceded 41 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

AIK Stockholm (ninth) and IFK Goteborg (eighth) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have IFK Goteborg the stronger side, 231 rating points above AIK Stockholm (IFK Goteborg 1785, AIK Stockholm 1554, after at least 293 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished IFK Goteborg 1–2 AIK Stockholm.

Team news

Predicted AIK Stockholm XI (3-4-3): K. Nordfeldt, H. Matthys, W. Olofsson, M. Thychosen, A. Ali, Y. Geiger, J. Hove, A. Kouame, L. Carlstrand, K. Filling, L. Assadi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zadok Yohanna (5.8 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and J. Hove (4.4 per match over 21 appearances, eight goals and two assists) have been AIK Stockholm’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for AIK Stockholm (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Zadok Yohanna averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. J. Hove averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1890 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted IFK Goteborg XI (4-2-3-1): V. Andersson, N. Tolf, F. Eriksson, H. Hermannsson, J. Bager, D. Kruse, O. Mansson, T. Heintz, S. Larsson, K. Thordarson, A. Simmelhack — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sam Larsson (6.1 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and two assists) and Tobias Heintz (4.9 per match over 22 appearances, six goals and five assists) have been IFK Goteborg’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for IFK Goteborg (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Sam Larsson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 837 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Tobias Heintz averages 3.5 key passes per 90 over 1830 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Allsvenskan · Strawberry Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AIK Stockholm 4 · draws 1 · IFK Goteborg 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: AIK Stockholm 0W 2D 3L · IFK Goteborg 5W 0D 0L

AIK Stockholm v IFK Goteborg (Allsvenskan): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 13 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.38 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.63 / 8.13
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 7.13 / 3.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAIK Stockholm for / againstLineIFK Goteborg for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
8.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 7.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
AIK Stockholm
AIK Stockholm — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sixten Gustafsson n 828.9
3.55/2
1.64/0
—
A. Helm n 433.8
23/0
1.32/0
—
L. Carlstrand n 880.3
1.86/5
1.47/2
—
A. Mujanic n 863
1.85/3
2.16/4
—
E. Edh n 872.4
1.66/2
0.83/2
—
AIK Stockholm — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Carlstrand n 880.3
3.58/8
27/6
Sixten Gustafsson n 828.9
3.15/3
2.35/1
A. Kouame n 873.6
2.16/4
1.14/3
V. Andersson n 837.1
2.16/1
0.92/1
J. Hove n 890
1.57/4
16/2
AIK Stockholm — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sixten Gustafsson n 828.9
1.63/1
00/0
A. Helm n 433.8
0.71/0
0.71/0
L. Carlstrand n 880.3
0.73/2
0.11/0
K. Filling n 878.8
0.11/0
0.74/1
J. Hove n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
AIK Stockholm — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Järeteg n 819.9
44/3
E. Edh n 872.4
2.88/6
A. Helm n 433.8
2.72/2
Mads Dohr Thychosen n 885.5
2.47/6
W. Olofsson n 864.5
2.45/4
AIK Stockholm — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Nordfeldt n 890.9
4.67/5
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Radakovic n 37.3
8.21/1
00/0
—
Kolbeinn Thordarson n 847
3.16/5
1.24/1
—
I. Seidu n 822.6
35/1
23/1
—
O. Mansson n 885.6
2.46/5
1.16/1
—
K. Ackermann n 857.1
2.25/5
1.44/3
—
IFK Goteborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Radakovic n 37.3
8.22/0
4.11/0
M. Fenger n 831.5
2.93/2
1.13/0
Alfons Boren n 821.4
2.64/1
1.12/0
N. Žugelj n 843.6
2.35/3
0.83/0
A. Bergmark-Wiberg n 879.8
27/4
15/2
IFK Goteborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Larsson n 881.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
T. Heintz n 881.8
00/0
0.63/1
Alexander Illum Simmelhack n 849.4
0.52/0
00/0
Alfons Boren n 821.4
0.51/0
00/0
S. Clemmensen n 862.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
IFK Goteborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Radakovic n 37.3
4.11/0
O. Mansson n 885.6
3.98/8
K. Ackermann n 857.1
3.97/4
Kolbeinn Thordarson n 847
3.85/5
Noah Tolf n 878.8
2.67/4
IFK Goteborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Andersson n 890
2.14/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AIK Stockholm v IFK Goteborg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AIK StockholmDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
IFK GoteborgWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AIK Stockholm 4 · 1 draw · IFK Goteborg 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-07-05 IFK Goteborg 1–2 AIK Stockholm
  • 2025-08-17 IFK Goteborg 2–1 AIK Stockholm
  • 2025-06-29 AIK Stockholm 3–0 IFK Goteborg
  • 2024-10-21 IFK Goteborg 1–2 AIK Stockholm
  • 2024-05-27 AIK Stockholm 5–2 IFK Goteborg
  • 2023-11-06 IFK Goteborg 1–1 AIK Stockholm
League standing · 2026
AIK Stockholm#9 pos33 pts23 pl-4 GD
IFK Goteborg#8 pos35 pts23 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
AIK Stockholm scored1.57
IFK Goteborg scored1.39
AIK Stockholm conceded1.74
IFK Goteborg conceded1.78

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win AIK Stockholm v IFK Goteborg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AIK Stockholm v IFK Goteborg is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AIK Stockholm and IFK Goteborg?
In their last 6 meetings, AIK Stockholm won 4, IFK Goteborg won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AIK Stockholm and IFK Goteborg?
Recent form — AIK Stockholm 0W 2D 3L; IFK Goteborg 5W 0D 0L.

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