IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF prediction

Allsvenskan · · Borås Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: IF Elfsborg · Malmo FF · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF, Allsvenskan on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

IF Elfsborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan on Friday 23 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is IF Elfsborg or Malmo FF (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

IF Elfsborg have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. IF Elfsborg are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of IF Elfsborg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of IF Elfsborg’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, IF Elfsborg have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.86. IF Elfsborg have scored 37 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). IF Elfsborg have conceded 24 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Eight of Malmo FF’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Malmo FF’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Malmo FF have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 0.83. Malmo FF have scored 38 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Malmo FF have conceded 34 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs.

IF Elfsborg (fifth) and Malmo FF (seventh) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have IF Elfsborg the stronger side, 190 rating points above Malmo FF (IF Elfsborg 1823, Malmo FF 1634, after at least 294 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg.

Team news

Predicted IF Elfsborg XI (4-2-3-1): I. Pettersson, T. Isherwood, A. Jensen, N. Hult, R. Wikström, M. Kamara, J. Beck, J. Magnusson, A. Zeneli, S. Olsson, L. Östman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (4.5 per match over 20 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Julius Magnusson (3.9 per match over 23 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been IF Elfsborg’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for IF Elfsborg (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Momoh Ibrahim Kamara averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1358 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Julius Magnusson averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 2064 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Malmo FF XI (4-3-3): R. Olsen, Busanello, J. Stryger, A. Djuric, M. Palsson, A. Skogmar, O. Rosengren, T. Lundbergh, S. Haksabanovic, D. T. Gudjohnsen, A. Höög — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, O. Rosengren (4.3 per match over 22 appearances, three goals and four assists) and S. Haksabanovic (4.2 per match over 23 appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Malmo FF’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Malmo FF (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), O. Rosengren averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 1882 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. S. Haksabanovic averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1896 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Allsvenskan · Borås Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): IF Elfsborg 2 · draws 1 · Malmo FF 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: IF Elfsborg 3W 1D 1L · Malmo FF 2W 1D 2L

IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF (Allsvenskan): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6.25
Corners
against 5.13 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIF Elfsborg for / againstLineMalmo FF for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
15.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Frick n 841.5
4.35/4
1.43/2
—
Leo Östman n 885.8
2.17/5
0.54/0
—
D. Krasniqi n 823.3
1.93/1
12/0
—
A. Jensen n 890
1.47/3
1.15/2
—
J. Beck n 886.5
1.47/3
2.25/4
—
IF Elfsborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Zeneli n 871.1
38/7
0.84/1
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara n 889.4
2.68/6
16/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Leo Östman n 885.8
27/5
1.25/3
Taylor Silverholt n 833.3
24/2
0.31/0
IF Elfsborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leo Östman n 885.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
Ari Sigurpálsson n 826.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara n 889.4
0.64/1
0.11/0
Niklas Hult n 888.8
00/0
0.54/0
D. Krasniqi n 823.3
00/0
0.51/0
IF Elfsborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Beck n 886.5
2.16/4
Ari Sigurpálsson n 826.6
2.14/1
Niklas Hult n 888.8
27/5
A. Jensen n 890
1.85/4
Simon Olsson n 868.8
1.65/3
IF Elfsborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Isak Pettersson n 890
2.35/4
Malmo FF
Malmo FF — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ekong n 823.8
3.85/3
1.42/1
—
O. Rosengren n 878.4
3.28/7
15/2
—
B. Kurtulus n 821.9
3.11/1
1.53/0
—
Erik Botheim n 857.9
2.78/3
1.96/3
—
Anders Christiansen n 833.6
2.75/1
0.31/0
—
Malmo FF — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Erik Botheim n 857.9
3.97/4
1.74/2
Jovan Milosavljević n 832.8
3.16/2
2.75/2
D. T. Gudjohnsen n 848
34/4
1.93/2
Anders Christiansen n 833.6
2.74/2
0.72/0
Diego García n 840.8
2.56/2
1.75/1
Malmo FF — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mayckel Lahdo n 838.9
0.31/0
0.62/0
Erik Botheim n 857.9
0.41/1
0.42/0
Diego García n 840.8
0.83/0
00/0
B. Kurtulus n 821.9
0.51/0
00/0
O. Rosengren n 878.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Malmo FF — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Anton Höög n 870.5
3.57/5
V. Jeppsson n 39
3.31/0
K. Busuladzic n 878.6
2.96/5
Busanello n 884.8
2.48/5
Jovan Milosavljević n 832.8
2.44/2
Malmo FF — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Olsen n 890
2.87/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IF ElfsborgLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Malmo FFDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
IF Elfsborg 2 · 1 draw · Malmo FF 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-07-26 Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg
  • 2025-09-14 IF Elfsborg 2–2 Malmo FF
  • 2025-04-07 Malmo FF 2–1 IF Elfsborg
  • 2024-05-28 Malmo FF 2–1 IF Elfsborg
  • 2024-05-05 IF Elfsborg 3–1 Malmo FF
  • 2023-11-12 Malmo FF 1–0 IF Elfsborg
League standing · 2026
IF Elfsborg#5 pos41 pts24 pl+13 GD
Malmo FF#7 pos36 pts24 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
IF Elfsborg scored1.54
Malmo FF scored1.58
IF Elfsborg conceded1
Malmo FF conceded1.42

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF?
TACTIX’s free model pick for IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF?
In their last 6 meetings, IF Elfsborg won 2, Malmo FF won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF?
Recent form — IF Elfsborg 3W 1D 1L; Malmo FF 2W 1D 2L.

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