TACTIX Football Blog — page 2

214 posts, newest first

predictions

Champions League results review: the model's calls, Wed 14 Oct

Champions League results review for Wednesday 14 October 2026: the results, the biggest surprises against the model and how the published predictions graded.

15 October 2026
fpl

FPL GW6 2026/27 review: TACTIX squad scored 35, average 58

FPL GW6 2026/27 review: the TACTIX squad scored 35 points against an FPL average of 58. Every pick, with FPL’s own points.

13 October 2026
predictions

Major League Soccer weekly roundup — 11 Oct 2026

Major League Soccer weekly roundup for the week to Sunday 11 October 2026: results reviewed, goals, how the rated picks landed and the calls ahead.

12 October 2026
predictions

Ligue 1 week in review — 11 Oct 2026

Ligue 1 week in review: nothing was as emphatic as Stade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers, won by 4 goals.

12 October 2026
predictions

Serie A week in review — 11 Oct 2026

Serie A week in review: nothing was as emphatic as Inter 3–0 Parma, won by 3 goals.

12 October 2026
predictions

Bundesliga week in review — 11 Oct 2026

Bundesliga week in review: the result that most surprised the model was FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München, where its Bronze pick, Bayern München win at 73%, did…

12 October 2026
predictions

La Liga week in review — 11 Oct 2026

La Liga week in review: Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna was the round’s most one-sided result, a 3-goal margin.

12 October 2026
predictions

Championship week in review — 11 Oct 2026

Championship week in review: nothing was as emphatic as Watford 0–4 Burnley, won by 4 goals.

12 October 2026
predictions

Premier League week in review — 11 Oct 2026

Premier League week in review: nothing was as emphatic as Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth, won by 4 goals.

12 October 2026
fpl

FPL tips for GW6 2026/27: captain picks Haaland, Saka or Groß?

FPL tips for GW6 2026/27: the TACTIX model’s captain options, each framed by ownership as a shield or a sword. Deadline Sat 10 Oct 11:00 UK.

9 October 2026
fpl

FPL wildcard draft for GW6: the TACTIX fifteen for Gameweeks 6–11

The TACTIX model’s Fantasy Premier League wildcard draft for Gameweek 6: a legal fifteen for Gameweeks 6–11, its formation and four of its names.

5 October 2026
analysis

Ligue 1 season preview 2026/27: the model's view

Ligue 1 season preview 2026/27: the projected table, title and relegation odds from 10,000 simulations, and opening-six fixture difficulty.

3 October 2026
analysis

Serie A season preview 2026/27: the model's view

Serie A season preview 2026/27: the projected table, title and relegation odds from 10,000 simulations, and opening-six fixture difficulty.

3 October 2026
analysis

Bundesliga season preview 2026/27: the model's view

Bundesliga season preview 2026/27: the projected table, title and relegation odds from 10,000 simulations, and opening-six fixture difficulty.

3 October 2026
analysis

La Liga season preview 2026/27: the model's view

La Liga season preview 2026/27: the projected table, title and relegation odds from 10,000 simulations, and opening-six fixture difficulty.

3 October 2026
analysis

Championship season preview 2026/27: the model's view

Championship season preview 2026/27: the projected table, title and relegation odds from 10,000 simulations, and opening-six fixture difficulty.

3 October 2026
analysis

Premier League season preview 2026/27: the model's view

Premier League season preview 2026/27: the projected table, title and relegation odds from 10,000 simulations, and opening-six fixture difficulty.

1 October 2026
analysis

Ligue 1 discipline report 2026/27: cards by team and referee

Ligue 1 discipline report, 2026/27: 3.54 cards per match over 79 matches — by team, by referee and by minute, updated weekly.

1 October 2026
analysis

Serie A discipline report 2026/27: cards by team and referee

Serie A discipline report, 2026/27: 3.44 cards per match over 99 matches — by team, by referee and by minute, updated weekly.

1 October 2026
analysis

Bundesliga discipline report 2026/27: cards by team and referee

Bundesliga discipline report, 2026/27: 3.74 cards per match over 74 matches — by team, by referee and by minute, updated weekly.

1 October 2026
analysis

La Liga discipline report 2026/27: cards by team and referee

La Liga discipline report, 2026/27: 4.71 cards per match over 106 matches — by team, by referee and by minute, updated weekly.

1 October 2026
analysis

Premier League discipline report 2026/27: cards by team

Premier League discipline report, 2026/27: 4.34 cards per match over 92 matches — by team, by referee and by minute, updated weekly.

1 October 2026
guides

Betting odds explained: implied probability, margin and value

Betting odds explained: implied probability, the bookmaker’s margin, odds-on and odds-against, expected value, closing line value and how prices move.

28 September 2026
guides

Bankroll management and staking: Kelly, plans and variance

Bankroll management explained: setting a fixed fund, choosing a staking plan, what the Kelly criterion does, and why variance makes short runs misleading.

28 September 2026