Every FIFA World Cup fixture in the upcoming window, run through the TACTIX model and graded by confidence tier. The tier is shown free; the selection and win probability are part of TACTIX Pro.

Calibrated, not hyped — see the full model track record (every league and market, losers included).

Updated 19 July 2026

TACTIX fixture coverage this window1fixture modelled · FIFA World CupEvery match gradedby model confidence

What the Data Says

For the upcoming FIFA World Cup card, the model has graded every fixture by how confident it is — Gold, Silver or Bronze — with the tier shown free and the selection plus win probability kept for Pro members. Instead of quoting one eye-catching accuracy number, TACTIX reports calibration: the honest question of whether a high-confidence call lands about as often as claimed, measured openly and refreshed continuously on the scoreboard. Because the hit-rates pool many markets, they describe the long run rather than any single match, so use the confidence grades to steer your own analysis toward the strongest fixtures.

FIFA World Cup Fixtures

Spain vs Argentina — full timeSASpainArgentinaFull time · 1–0

Full time: Spain 1–0 Argentina · Free pick Home or Draw: Landed

Key Stats Before Kick-Off

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSpain for / againstLineArgentina for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.25our book
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.43 for · 2 against n 7
9.5standard
4.83 for · 1.83 against n 6
Shots
17.14 for · 6.29 against n 7
19.5standard
12.67 for · 6.5 against n 6
Shots on target
6 for · 1.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.5 for · 1.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.43 for · 10 against n 7
21.5standard
11.83 for · 11.5 against n 6
Cards shown
0.86 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 6

Referee: Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia.

Spain

Spain Goalkeeper

Spain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Unai Simón790630 min101.4 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Spain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 890
1.54/1

Spain Defensive

Spain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Marc Cucurella790630 min71 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90152.1 /9071 /9010.1 /90
Pau Cubarsí Paredes790630 min60.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90202.9 /9040.6 /9010.1 /90
Aymeric Laporte790629 min50.7 /90131.9 /9000 /90243.4 /9040.6 /9010.1 /90
Pedro Porro589444 min122.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90275.5 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Marcos Llorente290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90105 /9021 /9000 /90
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Spain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marc Cucurella n 890
1.36/3
0.53/1
—
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
Aymeric Laporte n 889.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
Rodri n 881.9
1.55/3
0.84/1
A. Mac Allister
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Spain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 890
0.94/1
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
0.84/2
Aymeric Laporte n 889.9
0.84/1
Rodri n 881.9
37/5
Mikel Oyarzabal n 876.8
0.74/1
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Spain Attacking

Spain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal778543 min50.8 /9010.2 /90203.3 /90111.8 /9061 /9010.2 /90
Ferran Torres635211 min00 /9010.4 /9083.4 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
Rodri790627 min00 /9000 /9030.4 /9000 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90
Lamine Yamal771495 min10.2 /9000 /90173.1 /90101.8 /9061.1 /90224 /90
Pedri672429 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9091.9 /9040.8 /90
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Spain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Aymeric Laporte n 889.9
0.52/2
0.11/0
Rodri n 881.9
0.54/0
0.11/0
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Spain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 890
00/0
0.31/1
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
00/0
00/0
Aymeric Laporte n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
Rodri n 881.9
00/0
00/0
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Argentina

Argentina Goalkeeper

Argentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez790630 min50.7 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Argentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
0.81/1

Argentina Defensive

Argentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nahuel Molina664383 min92.1 /9051.2 /9000 /90122.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
N. Tagliafico583417 min40.9 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90153.2 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
Cristian Romero581406 min112.4 /9092 /9020.4 /90245.3 /9081.8 /9020.4 /90
N. Otamendi552262 min10.3 /9072.4 /9010.3 /90103.4 /9041.4 /9000 /90
Lisandro Martínez486342 min71.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90153.9 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
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Argentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Martínez n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
1.14/1
0.73/1
—
A. Mac Allister n 876
1.35/3
1.87/3
Rodri
L. Messi n 881.3
0.43/0
2.88/5
—
R. de Paul n 874.3
0.53/0
2.45/3
—
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Argentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
0.42/0
A. Mac Allister n 876
2.77/5
L. Messi n 881.3
15/2
R. de Paul n 874.3
1.76/3
Nahuel Molina n 870.4
2.17/4
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Argentina Attacking

Argentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julián Alvarez760423 min00 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9051.1 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90
L. Messi678470 min91.7 /9030.6 /90234.4 /90152.9 /90214 /90203.8 /90
Lautaro Martínez647283 min20.6 /9010.3 /9092.9 /9031 /9020.6 /9000 /90
N. González638227 min00 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9052 /9020.8 /90
Franco Mastantuono24691 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9022 /90
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Argentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
1.66/2
1.16/0
A. Mac Allister n 876
14/3
0.43/0
L. Messi n 881.3
4.27/7
2.56/5
R. de Paul n 874.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Argentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Mac Allister n 876
00/0
00/0
L. Messi n 881.3
1.46/3
0.42/1
R. de Paul n 874.3
00/0
0.52/1
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Team pages: Spain · Argentina

Recent form — SpainRecent form — SpainWWWWWWRecent form — SpainRecent form — SpainWWWWWWRecent form — ArgentinaRecent form — ArgentinaWWLWWWRecent form — ArgentinaRecent form — ArgentinaWWLWWWHead-to-head Spain vs ArgentinaHead-to-head — Spain vs Argentina2Last meetings: 1–0, 6–1Head-to-head Spain vs ArgentinaHead-to-headSpain vs Argentina2Last meetings:1–0, 6–1

How we model this: TACTIX grades every fixture by model confidence and reports its accuracy in the open. See the live track record and how the model works.

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This post is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically. How it works →

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