1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 prediction

Bundesliga · · RheinEnergieStadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · FC Schalke 04 · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04, Bundesliga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

1. FC Köln host FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is 1. FC Köln or FC Schalke 04 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

FC Schalke 04 have scored four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FC Schalke 04, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 14 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results (93%). At home, 1. FC Köln have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.86. 1. FC Köln have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Köln have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FC Schalke 04 are winless in their last three matches. Eight of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, FC Schalke 04 have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.88. FC Schalke 04 have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

1. FC Köln (12th) and FC Schalke 04 (14th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Schalke 04 the stronger side, 89 rating points above 1. FC Köln (FC Schalke 04 1544, 1. FC Köln 1455, after at least 176 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 February 2025, finished 1. FC Köln 1–0 FC Schalke 04.

Team news

Predicted 1. FC Köln XI (4-3-1-2): M. Schwäbe, J. Simpson-Pusey, L. Lochoshvili, G. Mensah, A. Castro-Montes, T. Krauß, Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson, L. Maina, E. Skhiri, S. El Mala, M. Bülter — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Borna Sosa (4.3 per match over three appearances) and Linton Maina (3.8 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) have been 1. FC Köln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Köln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Linton Maina averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 418 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted FC Schalke 04 XI (3-4-2-1): L. Karius, N. Katić, H. Kuruçay, T. Becker, S. El-Faouzi, S. Tanaka, R. Gosens, J. Dina Ebimbe, D. Ljubičić, A. Gantenbein, M. Sylla — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soufian El-Faouzi (4.1 per match over seven appearances) and Hasan Kuruçay (3.9 per match over seven appearances) have been FC Schalke 04’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Schalke 04 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soufian El-Faouzi averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 660 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Hasan Kuruçay averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 616 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · RheinEnergieStadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 5 · draws 1 · FC Schalke 04 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L · FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 2L

1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.75 / 3.75
Corners
against 6 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLineFC Schalke 04 for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Lochoshvili n 887.9
1.86/4
0.64/1
—
T. Krauß n 878.9
1.66/3
1.36/2
—
S. El Mala n 861.8
1.66/2
1.15/1
—
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler n 841.1
1.65/1
0.82/1
—
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.56/5
0.53/1
—
1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Reigan Heskey n 310.3
8.73/0
2.91/0
S. El Mala n 861.8
3.86/6
1.54/3
T. Dallinga n 831.6
2.85/2
1.43/1
M. Moore n 862
2.57/4
1.55/2
R. Ache n 859.5
2.16/3
1.34/2
1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Dallinga n 831.6
0.71/1
0.41/0
R. Ache n 859.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
L. Maina n 857.9
0.21/0
0.63/0
M. Moore n 862
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. El Mala n 861.8
0.42/0
00/0
1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Krauß n 878.9
3.16/6
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 868.9
2.85/4
B. Sosa n 857.1
2.85/3
A. Castro-Montes n 863.9
2.56/5
E. Martel n 868
26/3
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
3.87/5
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Adamu n 852.9
2.65/4
1.96/2
—
A. Gantenbein n 828.4
2.44/1
1.22/1
—
Maximilian Wöber n 833.5
23/2
0.31/0
—
Hwang Hee-Chan n 832.8
1.74/1
1.72/2
—
C. Antwi-Adjei n 848.1
1.43/2
1.23/1
—
FC Schalke 04 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sylla n 880.1
2.26/4
1.33/3
A. Aouchiche n 874.6
26/4
1.25/2
J. Adamu n 852.9
1.74/3
0.93/1
K. Karaman n 878.8
1.66/3
0.73/1
E. Džeko n 842.1
1.62/2
0.81/1
FC Schalke 04 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Džeko n 842.1
0.51/1
0.31/0
J. Adamu n 852.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
D. Ljubičić n 872.6
0.52/1
00/0
A. Gantenbein n 828.4
00/0
0.41/0
K. Karaman n 878.8
0.32/0
00/0
FC Schalke 04 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. N'Diaye n 856
4.87/6
Maximilian Wöber n 833.5
4.76/3
A. Gantenbein n 828.4
4.45/3
H. Kuruçay n 888.3
3.88/8
J. Dina Ebimbe n 860.1
3.76/5
FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Karius n 893.8
4.26/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
FC Schalke 04DWDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Köln 5 · 1 draw · FC Schalke 04 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-02-09 1. FC Köln 1–0 FC Schalke 04
  • 2024-09-01 FC Schalke 04 1–3 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-01-29 FC Schalke 04 0–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2022-08-07 1. FC Köln 3–1 FC Schalke 04
  • 2021-05-22 1. FC Köln 1–0 FC Schalke 04
  • 2021-01-20 FC Schalke 04 1–2 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2026/27
1. FC Köln#12 pos7 pts6 pl-3 GD
FC Schalke 04#14 pos5 pts6 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1.33
FC Schalke 04 scored0.67
1. FC Köln conceded1.83
FC Schalke 04 conceded1.17

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and FC Schalke 04?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 5, FC Schalke 04 won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and FC Schalke 04?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L; FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 2L.

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