Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln prediction

Bundesliga · · Deutsche Bank Park

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.39 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Eintracht Frankfurt host 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga on Friday 16 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

13 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%).

1. FC Köln have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Both teams scored in every one of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results (100%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 15 results (80%). At home, Eintracht Frankfurt have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. Eintracht Frankfurt have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded 16 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

12 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%). Away from home, 1. FC Köln have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.25. 1. FC Köln have scored eight goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Köln have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eintracht Frankfurt (14th) and 1. FC Köln (10th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Eintracht Frankfurt the stronger side, 62 rating points above 1. FC Köln (Eintracht Frankfurt 1500, 1. FC Köln 1438, after at least 245 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 1. FC Köln.

Team news

Eintracht Frankfurt have three names on the availability list: J. Maluze (out, Illness), M. Pimpong (out, Injury) and J. Ngankam (doubtful, Hamstring Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted Eintracht Frankfurt XI (4-4-2): N. Atubolu, R. Koch, L. Brassier, K. Kosugi, E. Baum, R. Onyedika, C. Uzun, N. Aséko Nkili, F. Chaïbi, J. Burkardt, Y. Ebnoutalib — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Younes Ebnoutalib (5.4 per match over five appearances, four goals and one assist) and Jonathan Burkardt (5.3 per match over five appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Eintracht Frankfurt’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eintracht Frankfurt (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Younes Ebnoutalib averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 476 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Jonathan Burkardt averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 510 minutes, with a shot in five of the last eight appearances.

1. FC Köln have five names on the availability list: A. Castro-Montes (out, Muscle Injury), R. Ache (out, Thigh Injury), T. Dallinga (out, Knee Injury), T. Hubers (out, Knee Injury) and E. Skhiri (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted 1. FC Köln XI (4-2-3-1): M. Schwäbe, J. Simpson-Pusey, L. Lochoshvili, G. Mensah, B. Sosa, T. Krauß, Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson, L. Maina, M. Moore, P. Okon-Engstler, S. El Mala — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (4.0 per match over six appearances, three goals) and Linton Maina (4.0 per match over six appearances, one goal and three assists) have been 1. FC Köln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Köln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 911 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Linton Maina averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 350 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Deutsche Bank Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Eintracht Frankfurt 1 · draws 3 · 1. FC Köln 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Eintracht Frankfurt 1W 2D 2L · 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L

Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.63 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.71 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.71 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 7.71 / 5.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEintracht Frankfurt for / againstLine1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored
3 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 17.29 against n 7
19.5standard
16.13 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.57 for · 7.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
8.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Götze n 838.8
2.34/3
0.31/0
—
A. Amenda n 865.8
2.17/3
0.52/1
—
R. Onyedika n 863.9
2.16/4
0.52/1
—
A. Knauff n 846.3
1.97/1
0.52/0
—
N. Aséko Nkili n 869.3
1.86/3
2.66/5
—
Eintracht Frankfurt — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ebnoutalib n 860.5
37/6
1.77/1
J. Burkardt n 863.8
1.95/4
1.14/2
C. Uzun n 868.6
1.87/3
0.83/2
A. Amaimouni n 825.3
1.84/0
0.41/0
F. Chaïbi n 867.1
1.76/3
0.53/0
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ebnoutalib n 860.5
0.72/1
0.21/0
M. Dahoud n 841.9
00/0
0.83/0
J. Burkardt n 863.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
E. Skhiri n 861.1
00/0
0.42/0
C. Uzun n 868.6
0.31/1
00/0
Eintracht Frankfurt — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Elias Baum n 849.6
3.26/4
A. Amaimouni n 825.3
2.74/1
K. Kosugi n 878.8
2.18/4
N. Collins n 873.5
2.17/4
R. Onyedika n 863.9
2.15/4
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
4.48/7
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Waldschmidt n 819.4
3.53/1
0.61/0
—
E. Martel n 878.3
1.66/4
1.45/2
—
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.56/5
0.53/1
—
S. El Mala n 861.3
1.55/2
0.94/1
—
J. Schmied n 838.1
1.55/0
1.22/1
—
1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Waldschmidt n 819.4
6.46/3
3.54/2
S. El Mala n 861.3
3.56/5
1.75/3
T. Dallinga n 831.6
2.85/2
1.43/1
M. Moore n 869.3
2.48/4
1.35/2
R. Ache n 859.5
2.16/3
1.34/2
1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Waldschmidt n 819.4
1.22/0
0.61/0
T. Dallinga n 831.6
0.71/1
0.41/0
R. Ache n 859.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
L. Maina n 858.3
0.21/0
0.63/0
S. El Mala n 861.3
0.63/0
00/0
1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 871.6
2.86/4
A. Castro-Montes n 865
2.87/6
T. Krauß n 878.9
2.36/6
E. Martel n 878.3
27/4
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.77/3
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
3.27/4

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
1. FC KölnWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 · 3 draws · 1. FC Köln 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2025-11-22 1. FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2024-02-03 1. FC Köln 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2023-09-03 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-02-12 1. FC Köln 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2022-08-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2026/27
Eintracht Frankfurt#14 pos5 pts5 pl-7 GD
1. FC Köln#10 pos7 pts5 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Eintracht Frankfurt scored1.8
1. FC Köln scored1.6
Eintracht Frankfurt conceded3.2
1. FC Köln conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln?
In their last 6 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1, 1. FC Köln won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln?
Recent form — Eintracht Frankfurt 1W 2D 2L; 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L.

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