FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln prediction

Bundesliga · · Mewa Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · 1. FC Köln · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FSV Mainz 05 host 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln are unbeaten in the last five meetings with FSV Mainz 05.

Form and the table

Nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, FSV Mainz 05 have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 14 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%). Away from home, 1. FC Köln have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.25. 1. FC Köln have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Köln have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FSV Mainz 05 (fifth) and 1. FC Köln (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FSV Mainz 05 the stronger side, 214 rating points above 1. FC Köln (FSV Mainz 05 1619, 1. FC Köln 1405, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished 1. FC Köln 2–1 FSV Mainz 05.

Team news

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-1-4-2): A. Schwolow, F. Gruber, S. Posch, K. Potulski, N. Amiri, K. Sano, P. Mwene, A. Caci, L. Jae-Sung, P. Tietz, S. Becker — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (7.0 per match over seven appearances, nine goals) and Nadiem Amiri (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 614 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Nadiem Amiri averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 761 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted 1. FC Köln XI (5-3-2): M. Schwäbe, J. Simpson-Pusey, L. Lochoshvili, G. Mensah, A. Castro-Montes, B. Sosa, T. Krauß, Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson, L. Maina, S. El Mala, M. Bülter — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tom Krauß (3.9 per match over seven appearances) and Linton Maina (3.8 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) have been 1. FC Köln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Köln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tom Krauß averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 573 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Linton Maina averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 418 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Mewa Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 3 · 1. FC Köln 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L · 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L

FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.75
Corners
against 4.13 / 6 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 5.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLine1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
18.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Tietz n 887.3
2.36/5
1.25/2
—
K. Potulski n 869.8
2.35/4
0.64/0
—
L. Maloney n 87.1
1.61/0
00/0
—
F. Gruber n 885
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
E. Martel n 868
1.55/3
0.84/1
—
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
3.58/8
1.98/5
R. Königsdörffer n 831.9
3.25/3
1.13/0
S. Becker n 872.3
2.66/5
25/5
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.66/2
1.23/2
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
1.36/2
0.11/0
S. Becker n 872.3
0.53/0
0.52/1
A. Caci n 867.1
0.31/1
0.53/0
N. Amiri n 887.5
0.31/1
0.42/1
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Ruoppi n 852.6
2.64/4
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
P. Mwene n 888
2.48/5
A. Caci n 867.1
2.25/3
S. Posch n 889.8
2.17/4
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 890
2.96/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Lochoshvili n 887.9
1.86/4
0.64/1
—
T. Krauß n 878.9
1.66/3
1.36/2
—
S. El Mala n 861.8
1.66/2
1.15/1
—
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler n 841.1
1.65/1
0.82/1
—
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.56/5
0.53/1
—
1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Reigan Heskey n 310.3
8.73/0
2.91/0
S. El Mala n 861.8
3.86/6
1.54/3
T. Dallinga n 831.6
2.85/2
1.43/1
M. Moore n 862
2.57/4
1.55/2
R. Ache n 859.5
2.16/3
1.34/2
1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Dallinga n 831.6
0.71/1
0.41/0
R. Ache n 859.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
L. Maina n 857.9
0.21/0
0.63/0
M. Moore n 862
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. El Mala n 861.8
0.42/0
00/0
1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Krauß n 878.9
3.16/6
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 868.9
2.85/4
B. Sosa n 857.1
2.85/3
A. Castro-Montes n 863.9
2.56/5
E. Martel n 868
26/3
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
3.87/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
1. FC KölnLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 1 · 3 draws · 1. FC Köln 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-08-24 FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-04-28 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-12-10 1. FC Köln 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-04-15 1. FC Köln 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2022-10-21 FSV Mainz 05 5–0 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2026/27
FSV Mainz 05#5 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
1. FC Köln#12 pos7 pts6 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.33
1. FC Köln scored1.33
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.67
1. FC Köln conceded1.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, 1. FC Köln won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L; 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L.

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