FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin prediction

Bundesliga · · Mewa Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · Union Berlin · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin, Bundesliga on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FSV Mainz 05 host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Union Berlin are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FSV Mainz 05, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, FSV Mainz 05 have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Union Berlin have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 3.43. Union Berlin have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Union Berlin have conceded 17 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

FSV Mainz 05 (fifth) and Union Berlin (16th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FSV Mainz 05 the stronger side, 122 rating points above Union Berlin (FSV Mainz 05 1619, Union Berlin 1497, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin.

Team news

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-1-4-2): A. Schwolow, F. Gruber, S. Posch, K. Potulski, N. Amiri, K. Sano, P. Mwene, A. Caci, L. Jae-Sung, P. Tietz, S. Becker — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (7.0 per match over seven appearances, nine goals) and Nadiem Amiri (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 614 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Nadiem Amiri averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 761 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Union Berlin XI (4-2-3-1): F. Rønnow, T. Rothe, F. Uduokhai, Z. Van Den Bosch, L. Querfeld, R. Khedira, M. Aebischer, A. Schäfer, A. Kemlein, J. Woo-Yeong, E. Lath — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Leopold Querfeld (5.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Leopold Querfeld averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Mewa Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 0 · draws 3 · Union Berlin 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L · Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L

FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.13 / 6.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 6.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineUnion Berlin for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
18.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Tietz n 887.3
2.36/5
1.25/2
—
K. Potulski n 869.8
2.35/4
0.64/0
—
L. Maloney n 87.1
1.61/0
00/0
—
F. Gruber n 885
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
E. Martel n 868
1.55/3
0.84/1
—
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
3.58/8
1.98/5
R. Königsdörffer n 831.9
3.25/3
1.13/0
S. Becker n 872.3
2.66/5
25/5
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.66/2
1.23/2
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
1.36/2
0.11/0
S. Becker n 872.3
0.53/0
0.52/1
A. Caci n 867.1
0.31/1
0.53/0
N. Amiri n 887.5
0.31/1
0.42/1
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Ruoppi n 852.6
2.64/4
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
P. Mwene n 888
2.48/5
A. Caci n 867.1
2.25/3
S. Posch n 889.8
2.17/4
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 890
2.96/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4
Union Berlin
Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Kemlein n 851
25/3
00/0
—
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.97/3
0.52/1
—
T. Skarke n 835.5
1.94/2
2.25/1
—
R. Khedira n 887.1
1.88/5
0.42/1
—
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.86/4
2.18/4
—
Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Skarke n 835.5
3.25/4
2.23/3
K. Imeri n 862.9
26/4
1.15/1
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 857.4
26/3
0.42/0
Ilyas Ansah n 850.4
1.84/2
1.14/1
Livan Burcu n 852.4
1.55/1
0.63/0
Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Juranović n 856.3
0.21/0
0.83/1
T. Skarke n 835.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
K. Imeri n 862.9
0.21/0
0.52/1
O. Burke n 874.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
0.31/1
0.21/0
Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Rothe n 890
2.98/6
J. Juranović n 856.3
2.64/4
J. Haberer n 844.4
2.56/3
A. Schäfer n 879.3
2.37/4
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 881
2.26/6
Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Raab n 883.9
3.86/6
F. Rønnow n 882.6
3.57/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Union BerlinLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 0 · 3 draws · Union Berlin 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin
  • 2026-01-10 Union Berlin 2–2 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-01-19 Union Berlin 2–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-08-24 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Union Berlin
  • 2024-02-07 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Union Berlin
  • 2023-08-20 Union Berlin 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
FSV Mainz 05#5 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Union Berlin#16 pos5 pts6 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.33
Union Berlin scored0.83
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.67
Union Berlin conceded2.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Union Berlin?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 0, Union Berlin won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and Union Berlin?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L; Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L.

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