RB Leipzig v 1. FC Heidenheim result

Full-time · RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim — RB Leipzig won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.7–69.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said RB Leipzig: 3.32 to 0.97 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 27th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

RB Leipzig beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–0 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: C. Baumgartner (48’, assisted by David Raum) and Rômulo (78’, assisted by R. Baku).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Baumgartner’s goal on 48 minutes.

Discipline

Frank Willenborg, Germany showed seven yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: Ezechiel Banzuzi (19’) and David Raum (61’); 1. FC Heidenheim: J. Föhrenbach (17’), M. Kaufmann (51’), M. Busch (54’), L. Kerber (59’) and S. Conteh (66’).

What it changes

RB Leipzig move up from 18th to ninth (two league matches played).

1. FC Heidenheim move down from 15th to 18th (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) 7.1, R. Baku (RB Leipzig) 6.8 and Rômulo (RB Leipzig) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or 1. FC Heidenheim, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).

Next up

RB Leipzig next travel to Real Madrid on 21 October 2026.

1. FC Heidenheim next host Energie Cottbus on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for RB Leipzig: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for 1. FC Heidenheim: 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
  • Referee: Frank Willenborg, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): RB Leipzig 3 · draws 1 · 1. FC Heidenheim 0 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: RB Leipzig 1W 2D 2L · 1. FC Heidenheim 2W 1D 2L

RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.86
Corners
against 6.88 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.25 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.5 yellows
Referee · Frank Willenborg, Germany
1.88 home / 2.63 away
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRB Leipzig for / againstLine1. FC Heidenheim for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
12.88 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.29 for · 13.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
10 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.43 for · 12.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: Frank Willenborg, Germany — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 21.38 fouls over 8 matches (1.88 to the home side, 2.63 to the away side).

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Poulsen n 816.8
4.74/3
23/0
—
X. Schlager n 842.6
2.45/4
1.33/2
L. Kerber
C. Baumgartner n 841.5
2.45/2
1.94/2
—
A. Haidara n 833.5
26/0
00/0
—
A. Vermeeren n 859
1.76/2
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Poulsen n 816.8
66/2
4.76/1
C. Baumgartner n 841.5
2.75/3
1.14/0
Benjamin Šeško n 858.6
2.15/4
1.24/2
J. Bakayoko n 838.9
24/2
1.73/2
X. Simons n 888.5
1.75/4
1.35/3
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Poulsen n 816.8
1.32/0
00/0
X. Simons n 888.5
0.53/1
0.42/1
R. Baku n 868.8
0.21/0
0.52/1
Y. Diomande n 864
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Bakayoko n 838.9
0.62/0
00/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Raum n 887.8
2.88/6
R. Baku n 868.8
2.87/3
C. Baumgartner n 841.5
2.74/3
Y. Diomande n 864
2.65/4
K. Nedeljković n 864
2.58/4
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 887.1
4.17/6
Maarten Vandevoordt n 882.5
1.94/2
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Keller n 835.1
2.96/2
1.62/1
—
L. Kerber n 828.4
2.86/1
0.82/0
X. Schlager
M. Kaufmann n 850.3
2.75/3
24/3
—
B. Gimber n 867.6
25/4
1.85/4
—
S. Conteh n 829.1
1.93/1
0.82/0
—
1. FC Heidenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Zivzivadze n 853.4
3.46/5
1.14/1
Leo Scienza n 849
2.55/4
1.14/1
S. Conteh n 829.1
2.33/2
0.82/0
M. Honsak n 846.5
2.26/2
13/1
A. Beck n 867.6
1.75/3
0.83/2
1. FC Heidenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leo Scienza n 849
0.52/0
0.52/0
M. Honsak n 846.5
0.73/0
00/0
P. Wanner n 840.3
00/0
0.62/0
B. Zivzivadze n 853.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Conteh n 829.1
0.41/0
00/0
1. FC Heidenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Wanner n 840.3
3.15/3
J. Schöppner n 877.4
2.57/6
J. Föhrenbach n 823.1
2.44/1
T. Keller n 835.1
2.22/1
F. Krätzig n 889.6
1.97/4
1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Frank Feller n 584
3.23/3
K. Müller n 886.3
36/3
D. Ramaj n 893.8
2.25/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RB Leipzig1. FC Heidenheim
66%Possession34%
2.23Expected goals (xG)1.02
19Shots5
5Shots on target3
10Shots off target1
4Blocked shots1
16Shots inside the box5
4Corners3
1Offsides2
7Fouls13
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
4Saves4
539Passes271
87%Pass accuracy72%

RB Leipzig player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Gulácsi9000000007.7
W. Orbán9000001107.9
C. Lukeba9000100107.9
D. Raum90010050Y8.3
X. Schlager9000002207.6
A. Nusa9000100206.9
R. Baku8901113008.9
C. Baumgartner8510512207.6
Rômulo8510420007.2
E. Banzuzi67001100Y6.6
J. Bakayoko6700000106.6
N. Seiwald sub2300000106.6
Y. Diomande sub2300100107
A. Ouédraogo sub1000100006.6
Loïs Openda sub1000000006.7
K. Nedeljković sub10000000–

1. FC Heidenheim player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Ramaj9000000006.9
M. Busch90000003Y6.2
P. Mainka9000000106.7
B. Gimber9000000306.6
J. Föhrenbach90000001Y6.2
Leo Scienza9000002106.9
M. Honsak7700220206.5
L. Kerber68000010Y6.2
N. Dorsch5800000106.2
A. Ibrahimović5800100206.2
M. Kaufmann57000001Y5.9
B. Zivzivadze sub3300001006.3
J. Niehues sub3200001106.7
S. Conteh sub32001100Y6.9
A. Beck sub2200000006.3
O. Traoré sub1300000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v 1. FC Heidenheim — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB LeipzigDDLWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
1. FC HeidenheimLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
RB Leipzig 3 · 1 draw · 1. FC Heidenheim 0 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2025-02-23 RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim
  • 2024-10-06 1. FC Heidenheim 0–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-04-20 FC Heidenheim 1–2 RB Leipzig
  • 2023-12-02 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Heidenheim
League standing · 2025/26
RB Leipzig#3 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD
1. FC Heidenheim#17 pos26 pts34 pl-31 GD
Goals per game
RB Leipzig scored1.94
1. FC Heidenheim scored1.21
RB Leipzig conceded1.38
1. FC Heidenheim conceded2.12

Shot map and expected goals

RB Leipzig 3.32 xG from 19 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.97 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Yan Diomande 89' · 0.48 xGMathias Honsak 12' · 0.41 xGChristoph Baumgartner 4' · 0.39 xGArijon Ibrahimovic 8' · 0.34 xGRômulo 11' · 0.33 xGBote Baku 70' · 0.30 xGMathias Honsak 7' · 0.12 xGRômulo 55' · 0.11 xGAntonio Nusa 64' · 0.11 xGCastello Lukeba 35' · 0.11 xGChristoph Baumgartner 27' · 0.10 xGRômulo 32' · 0.09 xGLoïs Openda 92' · 0.08 xGAntonio Nusa 69' · 0.07 xGEzechiel Banzuzi 11' · 0.07 xGSirlord Conteh 73' · 0.06 xGLéo Scienza 86' · 0.04 xGChristoph Baumgartner 64' · 0.04 xGLoïs Openda 92' · 0.03 xGAssan Ouédraogo 90' · 0.03 xGEzechiel Banzuzi 34' · 0.02 xGChristoph Baumgartner 66' · 0.01 xGRômulo 77' · 0.69 xG · goalChristoph Baumgartner 47' · 0.28 xG · goal
RB Leipzig (attacking right)1. FC Heidenheim (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
RB Leipzig1923.32
1. FC Heidenheim500.97

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for RB Leipzig v 1. FC Heidenheim?
TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Leipzig v 1. FC Heidenheim was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and 1. FC Heidenheim?
In their last 4 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, 1. FC Heidenheim won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and 1. FC Heidenheim?
Recent form — RB Leipzig 1W 2D 2L; 1. FC Heidenheim 2W 1D 2L.

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