RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen prediction

Bundesliga · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen, Bundesliga on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

RB Leipzig host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 30 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

13 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Werder Bremen have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, RB Leipzig have six wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.33 and conceding 0.33. RB Leipzig have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Werder Bremen have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Werder Bremen have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Werder Bremen have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig (seventh) and Werder Bremen (eighth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have RB Leipzig the stronger side, 68 rating points above Werder Bremen (RB Leipzig 1653, Werder Bremen 1585, after at least 280 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig.

Team news

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-3-3): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, E. Banzuzi, N. El Aynaoui, N. Seiwald, T. Gomis, A. Nusa, C. Nkunku — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.1 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Maarten Vandevoordt (4.9 per match over 10 appearances) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1592 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Maarten Vandevoordt averages 5.1 saves per 90 over 990 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Werder Bremen XI (4-2-3-1): K. Hein, O. Deman, M. Friedl, A. Pieper, Arthur, L. Reis, M. Grüll, Y. Regeer, C. José, E. Dinkçi, N. Füllkrug — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Marco Grüll (7.1 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Niclas Füllkrug (6.4 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Werder Bremen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Werder Bremen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marco Grüll averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Niclas Füllkrug averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 546 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Red Bull Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): RB Leipzig 3 · draws 2 · Werder Bremen 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L · Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L

RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 8.13 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1
Cards
against 1.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRB Leipzig for / againstLineWerder Bremen for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 8.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1 against n 8
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Konate n 310.3
2.91/0
2.91/0
—
C. Baumgartner n 879.8
2.37/5
0.85/1
—
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.28/4
1.34/3
—
Marc Guiu n 847.5
2.15/3
0.73/0
—
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
1.72/1
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Konate n 310.3
5.82/0
00/0
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
34/2
1.33/0
T. Gomis n 839
2.96/3
1.44/1
B. Gruda n 866
2.46/5
1.24/2
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.25/4
0.63/1
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Maksimović n 832
0.72/0
0.41/0
T. Gomis n 839
0.93/0
00/0
C. Nkunku n 870
0.62/1
0.21/0
R. Reitz n 852.1
0.21/0
0.63/0
C. Baumgartner n 879.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Max Finkgräfe n 845.8
3.45/4
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.77/7
R. Reitz n 852.1
2.43/3
N. Seiwald n 857.6
2.36/3
L. Klostermann n 830
2.33/2
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.88/7
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Itten n 820.5
3.33/2
0.51/0
—
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
2.36/4
0.94/2
—
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
2.34/2
1.54/0
—
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
22/0
21/1
—
R. Schmid n 875.1
1.87/3
0.74/1
—
Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
3.37/5
2.37/4
J. Stage n 883.1
27/5
1.45/4
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
22/0
11/0
M. Weiser n 857.8
1.95/3
13/2
J. Njinmah n 870.4
1.85/4
1.14/2
Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
0.82/0
0.41/0
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
1.16/1
00/0
M. Grüll n 876
0.32/0
0.64/0
J. Stage n 883.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
R. Schmid n 875.1
0.11/0
0.63/1
Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
4.95/0
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
3.14/2
O. Deman n 890
38/5
S. Lynen n 878.8
37/6
Y. Regeer n 870.9
2.97/6
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Hein n 890
3.67/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB LeipzigLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Werder BremenWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
RB Leipzig 3 · 2 draws · Werder Bremen 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2026-04-04 Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-11-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-05-10 Werder Bremen 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-05-11 RB Leipzig 1–1 Werder Bremen
League standing · 2026/27
RB Leipzig#7 pos9 pts6 pl+5 GD
Werder Bremen#8 pos9 pts6 pl0 GD
Goals per game
RB Leipzig scored2.67
Werder Bremen scored2
RB Leipzig conceded1.83
Werder Bremen conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen?
In their last 6 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, Werder Bremen won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen?
Recent form — RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L; Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L.

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