Union Berlin v RB Leipzig prediction

Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Bundesliga on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union Berlin host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Union Berlin have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Union Berlin have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Union Berlin have conceded 17 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in eight of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, RB Leipzig have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 3.00. RB Leipzig have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Union Berlin (17th) and RB Leipzig (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have RB Leipzig the stronger side, 156 rating points above Union Berlin (RB Leipzig 1653, Union Berlin 1497, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin.

Team news

Predicted Union Berlin XI (4-2-3-1): F. Rønnow, T. Rothe, F. Uduokhai, Z. Van Den Bosch, L. Querfeld, R. Khedira, M. Aebischer, A. Schäfer, J. Woo-Yeong, A. Kemlein, E. Lath — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Leopold Querfeld (5.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Leopold Querfeld averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-5-1): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, E. Banzuzi, N. El Aynaoui, N. Seiwald, R. Reitz, A. Maksimović, T. Gomis — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.3 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and Brajan Gruda (5.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1519 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Brajan Gruda averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 465 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union Berlin 1 · draws 2 · RB Leipzig 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L · RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L

Union Berlin v RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.25
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.5
Corners
against 6.38 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUnion Berlin for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Union Berlin
Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Kemlein n 851
25/3
00/0
—
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.97/3
0.52/1
—
T. Skarke n 835.5
1.94/2
2.25/1
—
R. Khedira n 887.1
1.88/5
0.42/1
—
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.86/4
2.18/4
—
Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Skarke n 835.5
3.25/4
2.23/3
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.85/4
1.15/1
Ilyas Ansah n 850.4
1.84/2
1.14/1
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 857.4
1.45/1
0.42/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.34/2
0.83/1
Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Juranović n 856.3
0.21/0
0.83/1
T. Skarke n 835.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
K. Imeri n 862.9
0.21/0
0.52/1
O. Burke n 874.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
0.31/1
0.21/0
Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Rothe n 890
2.98/6
J. Juranović n 856.3
2.64/4
J. Haberer n 844.4
2.56/3
A. Schäfer n 879.3
2.37/4
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 881
2.26/6
Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Raab n 883.9
3.86/6
F. Rønnow n 882.6
3.57/3
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Konate n 310.3
2.91/0
2.91/0
—
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.28/4
1.34/3
—
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Marc Guiu n 847.5
2.15/3
0.73/0
—
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
1.72/1
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Konate n 310.3
5.82/0
00/0
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
34/2
1.33/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
2.86/4
13/1
B. Gruda n 866
2.46/5
1.24/2
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 863.5
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Maksimović n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
0.52/0
0.51/1
R. Reitz n 860
0.21/0
0.63/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.77/7
N. Seiwald n 849.3
2.76/3
R. Reitz n 860
2.64/4
Max Finkgräfe n 853.5
2.55/3
L. Klostermann n 830
2.33/2
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.58/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union Berlin v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union BerlinLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
RB LeipzigWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union Berlin 1 · 2 draws · RB Leipzig 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin
  • 2025-12-12 Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-02-01 Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-09-14 RB Leipzig 0–0 Union Berlin
  • 2024-02-04 RB Leipzig 2–0 Union Berlin
  • 2023-09-03 Union Berlin 0–3 RB Leipzig
League standing · 2026/27
Union Berlin#17 pos5 pts6 pl-12 GD
RB Leipzig#7 pos9 pts6 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Union Berlin scored0.83
RB Leipzig scored2.67
Union Berlin conceded2.83
RB Leipzig conceded1.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig?
In their last 6 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, RB Leipzig won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Berlin and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L; RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L.

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