Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund prediction

Bundesliga · · Weserstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Werder Bremen host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Saturday 20 February (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Borussia Dortmund have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Werder Bremen have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Werder Bremen have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.86. Werder Bremen have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Werder Bremen have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Borussia Dortmund have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.63. Borussia Dortmund have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Werder Bremen (eighth) and Borussia Dortmund (second) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Borussia Dortmund the stronger side, 229 rating points above Werder Bremen (Borussia Dortmund 1814, Werder Bremen 1585, after at least 280 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Werder Bremen, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 9 October 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen.

Team news

Predicted Werder Bremen XI (4-2-3-1): K. Hein, O. Deman, M. Friedl, A. Pieper, Arthur, L. Reis, M. Grüll, Y. Regeer, C. José, E. Dinkçi, N. Füllkrug — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marco Grüll (7.1 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Niclas Füllkrug (6.4 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Werder Bremen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Werder Bremen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marco Grüll averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Niclas Füllkrug averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 546 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Borussia Dortmund XI (3-4-2-1): G. Kobel, W. Anton, K. Gadou, N. Schlotterbeck, J. Bellingham, D. Svensson, F. Nmecha, J. Ryerson, J. Veerman, M. Sabitzer, S. Guirassy — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (6.0 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Serhou Guirassy (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and two assists) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Serhou Guirassy averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 794 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Weserstadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Werder Bremen 0 · draws 3 · Borussia Dortmund 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L · Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L

Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.75
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2
Cards
against 1 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWerder Bremen for / againstLineBorussia Dortmund for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Itten n 820.5
3.33/2
0.51/0
—
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
2.36/4
0.94/2
—
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
2.34/2
1.54/0
—
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
22/0
21/1
—
R. Schmid n 875.1
1.87/3
0.74/1
—
Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
3.37/5
2.37/4
J. Stage n 883.1
27/5
1.45/4
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
22/0
11/0
M. Weiser n 857.8
1.95/3
13/2
J. Njinmah n 870.4
1.85/4
1.14/2
Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
0.82/0
0.41/0
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
1.16/1
00/0
M. Grüll n 876
0.32/0
0.64/0
J. Stage n 883.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
R. Schmid n 875.1
0.11/0
0.63/1
Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
4.95/0
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
3.14/2
O. Deman n 890
38/5
S. Lynen n 878.8
37/6
Y. Regeer n 870.9
2.97/6
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Hein n 890
3.67/4
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Konstantinos Karetsas n 850.8
26/2
1.65/2
—
M. Albert n 731.7
24/1
2.44/2
—
Fábio Silva n 841
1.95/2
1.44/1
—
S. Guirassy n 880.1
1.56/4
1.36/2
—
F. Nmecha n 868
1.56/3
2.66/5
—
Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Guirassy n 880.1
3.58/6
1.85/4
Fábio Silva n 841
36/2
1.94/2
M. Sabitzer n 841.8
2.23/2
0.51/1
S. Inacio n 854.8
2.14/3
1.24/2
E. Nwaneri n 849.5
25/3
1.44/2
Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Guirassy n 880.1
0.73/2
0.32/0
Fábio Silva n 841
0.52/0
0.52/0
S. Inacio n 854.8
0.62/1
00/0
F. Nmecha n 868
0.52/1
00/0
Joey Veerman n 862.6
00/0
0.53/0
Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kauã Prates n 824.4
4.25/3
W. Anton n 890
2.67/6
N. Schlotterbeck n 882.8
2.47/3
R. Bensebaïni n 866.8
2.44/3
J. Bellingham n 861.8
2.46/3
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 890
1.85/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Werder BremenWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Borussia DortmundWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Werder Bremen 0 · 3 draws · Borussia Dortmund 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-10-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2026-05-16 Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2026-01-13 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-01-25 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-08-31 Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-03-09 Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
League standing · 2026/27
Werder Bremen#8 pos9 pts6 pl0 GD
Borussia Dortmund#2 pos14 pts6 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Werder Bremen scored2
Borussia Dortmund scored1.83
Werder Bremen conceded2
Borussia Dortmund conceded0.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund?
In their last 6 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund?
Recent form — Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L; Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L.

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