Ross County v Ayr Utd result

Full-time · Ross County 2–1 Ayr Utd

Championship – Scotland · · Global Energy Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ross County 2–1 Ayr Utd — Ross County won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ross County beat Ayr Utd 2–1 at Global Energy Stadium in the Championship – Scotland on Saturday 18 April. It is Ross County’s first win over Ayr Utd since 19 April 2019, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Ross County: R. Duncan (4’) and A. Iacovitti (70’, assisted by R. Duncan); Ayr Utd: A. Dowds (42’, assisted by L. Dick).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Iacovitti’s goal on 70 minutes.

Discipline

D. McFarlane showed five yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ross County: C. Randall (28’), R. Duncan (63’) and J. Lindsay (79’); Ayr Utd: S. McMann (39’) and B. Dempsey (53’).

What it changes

Ross County stay 10th after this result (34 league matches played).

Ayr Utd move down from fifth to seventh (34 league matches played).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Ayr Utd, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Ross County next host Airdrie United on 24 October 2026.

Ayr Utd next travel to Morton on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ross County: Ross County v Airdrie United, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Ayr Utd: Morton v Ayr Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Ross County 2–1 Ayr Utd · Championship – Scotland
  • Venue: Global Energy Stadium · Dingwall
  • Referee: D. McFarlane
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ross County 2 · draws 3 · Ayr Utd 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ross County 0W 1D 4L · Ayr Utd 1W 1D 3L

Ross County 2–1 Ayr Utd (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ross County v Ayr Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ross CountyLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Ayr UtdLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ross County 2 · 3 draws · Ayr Utd 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 Ayr Utd 0–0 Ross County
  • 2025-11-08 Ross County 3–3 Ayr Utd
  • 2025-09-13 Ayr Utd 1–1 Ross County
  • 2020-01-18 Ayr Utd 1–0 Ross County
  • 2019-04-19 Ayr Utd 1–3 Ross County
  • 2019-02-26 Ross County 3–2 Ayr Utd
League standing · 2025/26
Ross County#10 pos34 pts36 pl-21 GD
Ayr Utd#7 pos39 pts36 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Ross County scored1
Ayr Utd scored1.06
Ross County conceded1.58
Ayr Utd conceded1.31

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ross County v Ayr Utd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ross County v Ayr Utd was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ross County and Ayr Utd?
In their last 6 meetings, Ross County won 2, Ayr Utd won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ross County and Ayr Utd?
Recent form — Ross County 0W 1D 4L; Ayr Utd 1W 1D 3L.

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