Derby v Portsmouth prediction
Team pages: Derby · Portsmouth · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Portsmouth, Championship on Tue, 20 Apr 2027 19:45 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Derby host Portsmouth in the Championship on Tuesday 20 April (kick-off 19:45 UK).
The key numbers
Derby are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Derby are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Portsmouth, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
10 of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Derby have no wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.75. Derby have scored nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Derby have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Portsmouth have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Portsmouth have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Portsmouth have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Derby (23rd) and Portsmouth (13th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Portsmouth the stronger side, 183 rating points above Derby (Portsmouth 1509, Derby 1327, after at least 102 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Portsmouth 0–2 Derby.
Team news
Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Vickers, D. Sanderson, S. Langås, J. Ward, C. Taylor, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, S. Szmodics, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 690 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Portsmouth XI (4-2-3-1): N. Schmid, Z. Swanson, J. Meghoma, M. Dia, T. Devlin, A. Kamara, A. Segecic, M. Pack, R. Kavuma McQueen, E. Adams, M. Milovanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, R. Kavuma McQueen (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Ebrima Adams (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Portsmouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Portsmouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Kavuma McQueen averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 560 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Ebrima Adams averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 538 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Pride Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 3 · draws 3 · Portsmouth 0 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Derby 0W 2D 3L · Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L
Derby v Portsmouth (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Derby for / against | Line | Portsmouth for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.25 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Derby
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Meister n 8 | 34.3 | 3.9 | 1 | — |
| L. Salvesen n 8 | 28.8 | 2.7 | 0 | — |
| D. Ozoh n 8 | 74.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Bilbija n 8 | 48.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| L. Travis n 8 | 77.1 | 2 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Salvesen n 8 | 28.8 | 4.3 | 2 |
| H. Meister n 8 | 34.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| C. Blackett-Taylor n 8 | 23.1 | 1.9 | 1 |
| S. Szmodics n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| F. Bilbija n 8 | 48.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Salvesen n 8 | 28.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| S. Szmodics n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Fuseini n 8 | 62.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| F. Bilbija n 8 | 48.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| R. Brewster n 8 | 29.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ozoh n 8 | 74.3 | 3.6 |
| A. Mowatt n 8 | 85 | 2.5 |
| L. Travis n 8 | 77.1 | 2.5 |
| R. Hedges n 8 | 69.5 | 2.3 |
| J. Ward n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90.6 | 3.7 |
| J. Vickers n 8 | 89.5 | 2 |
Portsmouth
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mohamed n 8 | 33.5 | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 43.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | — |
| Rocco Robert Shein n 8 | 61.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | — |
| E. Adams n 8 | 40.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | — |
| R. Kavuma McQueen n 8 | 57.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kavuma McQueen n 8 | 57.1 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 43.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| A. Segecic n 8 | 82 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| E. Adams n 8 | 40.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 43.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| R. Kavuma McQueen n 8 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| O. Bailey n 8 | 28.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| H. Blair n 8 | 25.5 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Z. Swanson n 8 | 67.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Adams n 8 | 40.5 | 5.3 |
| I. Mohamed n 8 | 33.5 | 3.4 |
| Luke Brooke-Smith n 8 | 27.6 | 3.3 |
| M. Dia n 8 | 75.8 | 2.4 |
| T. Devlin n 8 | 61.9 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Bielica n 8 | 90 | 4.6 |
| N. Schmid n 8 | 91.1 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Derby v Portsmouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-01 Portsmouth 0–2 Derby
- 2026-03-16 Portsmouth 0–1 Derby
- 2025-12-20 Derby 1–1 Portsmouth
- 2025-04-12 Portsmouth 2–2 Derby
- 2024-12-13 Derby 4–0 Portsmouth
- 2024-04-02 Portsmouth 2–2 Derby
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Portsmouth?
- In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 3, Portsmouth won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Derby and Portsmouth?
- Recent form — Derby 0W 2D 3L; Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.