Norwich v Cardiff prediction

Championship · · Carrow Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Cardiff, Championship on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Norwich host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Both teams scored in 13 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Norwich have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Norwich have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Norwich have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Norwich have conceded 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Cardiff have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.29. Cardiff have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cardiff have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Norwich (21st) and Cardiff (19th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Norwich the stronger side, 0 rating points above Cardiff (Norwich 1423, Cardiff 1423, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 August 2026, finished Cardiff 1–2 Norwich.

Team news

Predicted Norwich XI (4-2-3-1): V. Kovačević, J. Córdoba, R. McConville, J. Stacey, B. Chrisene, P. Mattsson, A. Brooks, O. Schwartau, K. McLean, J. Wright, M. Kvistgaarden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Stacey (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and D. Yongwa (4.1 per match over five appearances) have been Norwich’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Norwich (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Stacey averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 877 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. D. Yongwa averages 4.5 tackles per 90 over 342 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, G. Osho, J. Bagan, P. Ng, K. Bielik, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, J. Moylan, C. Willock, J. Colwill, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and Yousef Salech (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1355 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Yousef Salech averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 813 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Carrow Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 5 · draws 0 · Cardiff 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Norwich 0W 0D 5L · Cardiff 2W 1D 2L

Norwich v Cardiff (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorwich for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Norwich
Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.87/7
1.67/3
—
J. Makama n 850.3
2.56/2
1.14/1
—
M. Kvistgaarden n 845
25/3
1.86/1
—
S. Field n 831.9
1.84/1
2.53/2
—
D. Yongwa n 857.4
1.64/3
1.66/2
—
Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Crnac n 825
2.75/1
0.92/0
A. Musaba n 846.8
2.27/2
1.45/1
J. Makama n 850.3
25/3
0.72/1
A. Brooks n 872
1.96/3
0.93/2
M. Touré n 859.4
1.96/3
1.15/1
Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Touré n 859.4
0.94/1
00/0
Jacob Wright n 858.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
O. Schwartau n 857.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Kvistgaarden n 845
0.31/0
0.31/0
P. Maghoma n 840.8
00/0
0.62/0
Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Yongwa n 857.4
4.16/5
J. Stacey n 882.3
3.68/6
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.68/6
A. Ben Slimane n 847.5
2.66/4
B. Chrisene n 877.3
2.57/5
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 890
2.66/4
D. Grimshaw n 884.4
1.63/2
Cardiff
Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Colwill n 859.1
2.36/5
3.66/5
—
R. Colwill n 859.1
1.96/3
1.36/1
—
I. Davies n 818
1.92/1
0.61/0
—
P. Ng n 890
1.56/3
27/5
—
O. Tanner n 884.1
1.55/5
0.43/0
—
Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Salech n 879.1
3.38/6
27/4
O. Tanner n 884.1
2.77/6
0.75/0
C. Robinson n 834
2.66/1
1.75/0
J. Moylan n 872.9
2.55/3
1.54/3
D. Turnbull n 838.1
2.15/2
0.62/0
Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Moylan n 872.9
0.94/2
0.64/0
C. Robinson n 834
13/0
0.31/0
R. Colwill n 859.1
0.21/0
0.63/0
O. Tanner n 884.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 866.4
2.45/3
P. Ng n 890
28/4
D. Turnbull n 838.1
1.83/2
R. Kpakio n 847
1.73/3
C. Scanlon n 814.4
1.62/0
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.88/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwichLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
CardiffLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Norwich 5 · 0 draws · Cardiff 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-08-25 Cardiff 1–2 Norwich
  • 2025-05-03 Norwich 4–2 Cardiff
  • 2024-11-02 Cardiff 2–1 Norwich
  • 2024-02-17 Norwich 4–1 Cardiff
  • 2023-11-11 Cardiff 2–3 Norwich
  • 2023-02-25 Norwich 2–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Norwich#21 pos9 pts11 pl-4 GD
Cardiff#19 pos11 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Norwich scored1.55
Cardiff scored1.64
Norwich conceded1.91
Cardiff conceded1.55

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Cardiff?
In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 5, Cardiff won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Cardiff?
Recent form — Norwich 0W 0D 5L; Cardiff 2W 1D 2L.

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