Norwich v Watford prediction

Championship · · Carrow Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Watford, Championship on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Norwich host Watford in the Championship on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Norwich have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Norwich have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Norwich have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Norwich have conceded 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Watford have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 2.50. Watford have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Watford have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Norwich (21st) and Watford (20th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Norwich the stronger side, 142 rating points above Watford (Norwich 1423, Watford 1281, after at least 241 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 December 2025, finished Norwich 0–1 Watford.

Team news

Predicted Norwich XI (4-2-3-1): V. Kovačević, J. Córdoba, R. McConville, J. Stacey, B. Chrisene, P. Mattsson, A. Brooks, O. Schwartau, K. McLean, J. Wright, M. Kvistgaarden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Stacey (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and D. Yongwa (4.1 per match over five appearances) have been Norwich’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Norwich (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Stacey averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 877 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. D. Yongwa averages 4.5 tackles per 90 over 342 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted Watford XI (4-2-3-1): F. Ravaglia, M. Pollock, K. Keben, S. Coulibaly, J. Zemura, H. Kyprianou, E. Kayembe, I. Bravo, O. Maamma, M. Payero, M. Doumbia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hector Kyprianou (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) and Marc Bola (3.4 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Watford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Watford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hector Kyprianou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1411 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Carrow Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 4 · draws 0 · Watford 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Norwich 0W 0D 5L · Watford 1W 0D 4L

Norwich v Watford (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorwich for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Norwich
Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.87/7
1.67/3
—
J. Makama n 850.3
2.56/2
1.14/1
—
M. Kvistgaarden n 845
25/3
1.86/1
—
S. Field n 831.9
1.84/1
2.53/2
—
D. Yongwa n 857.4
1.64/3
1.66/2
—
Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Crnac n 825
2.75/1
0.92/0
A. Musaba n 846.8
2.27/2
1.45/1
J. Makama n 850.3
25/3
0.72/1
A. Brooks n 872
1.96/3
0.93/2
M. Touré n 859.4
1.96/3
1.15/1
Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Touré n 859.4
0.94/1
00/0
Jacob Wright n 858.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
O. Schwartau n 857.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Kvistgaarden n 845
0.31/0
0.31/0
P. Maghoma n 840.8
00/0
0.62/0
Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Yongwa n 857.4
4.16/5
J. Stacey n 882.3
3.68/6
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.68/6
A. Ben Slimane n 847.5
2.66/4
B. Chrisene n 877.3
2.57/5
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 890
2.66/4
D. Grimshaw n 884.4
1.63/2
Watford
Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Doumbia n 857.9
2.38/3
00/0
—
M. Payero n 847
1.75/2
1.74/2
—
Rocco Vata n 828
1.63/1
0.41/0
—
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.56/5
1.16/2
—
E. Bove n 859.1
1.55/2
1.54/3
—
Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Payero n 847
3.16/3
0.73/0
M. Boadu n 827
2.54/1
0.82/0
M. Doumbia n 857.9
1.95/4
1.24/2
Rocco Vata n 828
1.63/1
0.82/0
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.55/3
0.52/2
Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amin Nabizada n 845.1
0.52/0
00/0
Rocco Vata n 828
00/0
0.41/0
M. Boadu n 827
0.41/0
00/0
Iker Bravo n 865.1
00/0
0.32/0
E. Kayembe n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Bove n 859.1
2.78/4
Albert Eames n 544.8
2.44/2
K. Diatta n 882.6
2.37/4
O. Maamma n 857.5
2.37/4
M. Payero n 847
2.27/2
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 890
4.68/8

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwichLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
WatfordLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Norwich 4 · 0 draws · Watford 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-29 Norwich 0–1 Watford
  • 2025-12-06 Watford 3–2 Norwich
  • 2025-08-12 Watford 1–2 Norwich
  • 2025-02-01 Watford 0–1 Norwich
  • 2024-09-21 Norwich 4–1 Watford
  • 2024-02-13 Norwich 4–2 Watford
League standing · 2026/27
Norwich#21 pos9 pts11 pl-4 GD
Watford#20 pos11 pts11 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Norwich scored1.55
Watford scored0.91
Norwich conceded1.91
Watford conceded1.73

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Watford?
In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 4, Watford won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Watford?
Recent form — Norwich 0W 0D 5L; Watford 1W 0D 4L.

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