Nottingham Forest v Derby result

Full-time · Nottingham Forest 1–0 Derby

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Derby

Nottingham Forest 1–0 Derby — Nottingham Forest won this Championship match.

Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Derby: Sheffield Utd v Derby, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Derby · Championship
  • Referee: Robert Jones, England
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Nottingham Forest 0 · draws 2 · Derby 1 · 0.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 1L · Derby 1W 2D 2L

Nottingham Forest 1–0 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.6 / 4.57
Corners
against 7 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.6 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 6.8 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.2 / 2.29
Cards
against 1.2 / 2.14 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 February 2019. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 February 2019. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNottingham Forest for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.6 for · 7 against n 5
9.5standard
4.57 for · 6 against n 7
Shots
11 for · 16.8 against n 5
19.5standard
12 for · 13.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.6 for · 6.8 against n 5
8.5standard
3.57 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.8 for · 10 against n 5
21.5standard
12.57 for · 12.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.2 for · 1.2 against n 5
3.5standard
2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: Robert Jones, England.

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Ansarifard n 68.5
3.52/0
1.81/0
—
B. Watson n 890
2.37/5
0.63/2
—
A. Guédioura n 869.6
2.37/4
1.85/5
—
Y. Benalouane n 689.8
2.26/3
0.53/0
—
L. Grabban n 855.6
2.26/3
0.63/0
—
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Bonatini n 828
3.65/1
0.41/0
J. Lolley n 880.1
3.28/6
0.75/0
D. Murphy n 868.4
2.56/5
0.74/0
L. Grabban n 855.6
2.45/4
1.24/2
M. Cash n 878
1.95/3
0.11/0
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Guédioura n 869.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Murphy n 868.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Wagué n 765.7
0.42/0
00/0
L. Grabban n 855.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Léo Bonatini n 828
00/0
0.41/0
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Guédioura n 869.6
1.95/3
J. Colback n 890
1.86/5
Y. Benalouane n 689.8
1.73/2
S. Janko n 873.8
1.76/3
B. Osborn n 890
1.66/5
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pantilimon n 890
4.38/7
L. Steele n 876.3
3.25/4
Derby
Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Bennett n 835
3.55/4
13/0
—
F. Jozefzoon n 840.3
2.56/2
0.83/0
—
C. Bryson n 884.6
2.37/4
1.14/2
—
B. Johnson n 863.6
1.85/4
1.85/3
—
M. Waghorn n 890.4
1.77/4
1.26/3
—
Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Lawrence n 880.6
2.88/6
0.43/0
H. Wilson n 885.1
2.58/6
0.74/1
D. Nugent n 845.8
2.56/3
0.52/0
M. Mount n 887.1
2.17/4
0.63/1
J. Marriott n 879
2.16/5
0.74/1
Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Waghorn n 890.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
H. Wilson n 885.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
T. Lawrence n 880.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Marriott n 879
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Holmes n 872.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Bennett n 835
2.94/2
D. Nugent n 845.8
1.53/2
F. Tomori n 893.8
1.45/4
J. Bogle n 890.4
1.46/4
M. Bird n 513
1.41/0
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 February 2019. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Roos n 893.8
23/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Nottingham Forest player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Pantilimon9000000007.3
T. Darikwa9000000207
A. Milošević9000000007.1
Y. Benalouane9010210008.2
J. Robinson9001003007.5
J. Lolley9000514208.2
R. Yates90003000Y6.4
J. Colback90000003Y6.8
B. Osborn8900002106.3
D. Murphy8500302006.5
B. Watson7100000106.6
A. Guédioura sub1900200006.4
Léo Bonatini sub1200000106.5
M. Wagué sub10000000–

Derby player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Roos9000000006.6
J. Bogle9000001406.6
R. Keogh9000000007.1
F. Tomori90001001Y6.6
A. Cole9000000306.2
D. Holmes90000020Y7.1
M. Waghorn9000210006.4
J. Marriott9000000006.3
H. Wilson71000000Y6.6
A. King5300000006.5
T. Huddlestone4500100106.6
F. Jozefzoon4500110006.7
B. Johnson3700100006.7
M. Bennett1900000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nottingham ForestWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
DerbyDWDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Nottingham Forest 0 · 2 draws · Derby 1 · 0.67 goals/game
  • 2018-12-17 Derby 0–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2018-03-11 Nottingham Forest 0–0 Derby
  • 2017-10-15 Derby 2–0 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2018/19
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Nottingham Forest#9 pos66 pts46 pl+7 GD
Derby#6 pos74 pts46 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Nottingham Forest scored1.33
Derby scored1.5
Nottingham Forest conceded1.17
Derby conceded1.17

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Derby?
In their last 3 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0, Derby won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 0.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Derby?
Recent form — Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 1L; Derby 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →