Portsmouth v Preston result

Full-time · Portsmouth 1–0 Preston

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portsmouth · Preston

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 1–0 Preston — Portsmouth won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portsmouth beat Preston 1–0 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Saturday 30 August. Portsmouth have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Portsmouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: A. Dozzell (41’, assisted by John Swift).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Dozzell’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Portsmouth 1.58, Preston 1.01, from 10 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Harrington showed three yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Portsmouth: A. Dozzell (48’); Preston: Jordan Storey (13’) and Andrew Hughes (34’).

What it changes

Portsmouth move up from 10th to sixth (shared) (four league matches played).

Preston move down from third to sixth (shared) (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, John Swift (Portsmouth) 5.4, A. Dozzell (Portsmouth) 5.0 and Zachary Swanson (Portsmouth) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portsmouth or Preston (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3530 of 4561).

Next up

Portsmouth next host Millwall on 24 October 2026.

Preston next host West Brom on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Portsmouth v Millwall, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Preston: Preston v West Brom, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 1–0 Preston · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: T. Harrington
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Portsmouth 1 · draws 0 · Preston 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 1W 2D 2L · Preston 3W 1D 1L

Portsmouth 1–0 Preston (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 6.14
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.63 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 2.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 2.71
Cards
against 2 / 1.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLinePreston for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.14 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
12.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.43 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.86 for · 8.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.71 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: T. Harrington.

Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Hayden n 842.3
2.13/3
1.64/1
—
T. Waddingham n 824
1.94/0
0.51/0
—
C. Lang n 857
1.85/2
2.85/4
—
R. Poole n 868.8
1.57/2
0.85/0
—
T. Devlin n 844.5
1.54/1
2.33/3
—
Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 872.6
2.57/4
1.46/2
C. Bishop n 884.6
2.36/4
1.56/2
J. Murphy n 886.6
2.17/4
0.84/2
Yang Min-Hyeok n 858.1
2.16/4
14/1
A. Aouchiche n 874.1
1.86/4
0.94/2
Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Bishop n 884.6
0.73/1
00/0
A. Segecic n 872.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Murphy n 886.6
00/0
0.64/1
M. Pack n 824
00/0
0.51/0
A. Aouchiche n 874.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Williams n 857.9
3.16/6
L. Le Roux n 880.5
2.88/3
J. Swift n 867.5
2.35/5
Z. Swanson n 859
2.36/4
I. Hayden n 842.3
2.13/2
Preston
Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pol Valentín n 857.9
2.36/4
0.61/1
—
R. Brady n 878.8
2.18/6
0.73/2
—
A. McCann n 883.9
1.77/4
0.53/1
—
M. Smith n 871
1.65/4
0.32/0
—
R. Ledson n 868.4
1.66/4
1.55/1
—
Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Smith n 871
2.26/2
1.15/1
M. Osmajić n 866.4
26/4
1.45/3
S. Þórðarson n 857.4
1.64/2
0.21/0
L. Lindsay n 861.6
1.54/2
1.14/2
R. Brady n 878.8
1.35/3
0.32/0
Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Osmajić n 866.4
0.74/0
00/0
E. Riis n 858.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Devine n 870.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
T. Carroll n 442.8
00/0
0.51/0
L. Lindsay n 861.6
0.42/0
00/0
Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. McCann n 883.9
3.57/5
Pol Valentín n 857.9
3.57/4
K. Kesler-Hayden n 872.3
3.16/5
A. Hughes n 868.1
2.36/3
R. Brady n 878.8
2.17/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthPreston
39%Possession61%
1.58Expected goals (xG)1.01
10Shots13
2Shots on target2
6Shots off target8
2Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box10
6Corners4
5Offsides3
11Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
283Passes442
67%Pass accuracy74%

Portsmouth player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Schmid9000000007.7
R. Poole9000000106.6
C. Shaughnessy9000000007.7
C. Ogilvie9000002206.9
J. Swift9001101306.6
A. Dozzell90101111Y8.2
J. Murphy9000402307.2
A. Segecic8900001206.3
C. Bishop8900110005.9
Z. Swanson7900100307.3
F. Bianchini6400000206.2
L. Le Roux sub2600000006.6
J. Knight sub1100000006.7
T. Devlin sub10000100–
T. Waddingham sub10000000–

Preston player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Iversen9000000006.5
L. Gibson9000000006.9
A. Hughes90000011Y6.7
Pol Valentín9000000306.9
B. Whiteman9000102006.9
A. McCann9000002307
T. Small9000211107
M. Smith9000200106.9
J. Storey88000003Y6.3
S. Þórðarson6700213106.3
D. Jebbison6700200206.2
M. Frokjaer-Jensen sub2300001006.6
L. Dobbin sub2300100006.7
O. Offiah sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Preston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PrestonDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Portsmouth 1 · 0 draws · Preston 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-03-15 Preston 2–1 Portsmouth
  • 2024-11-09 Portsmouth 3–1 Preston
League standing · 2025/26
Portsmouth#18 pos55 pts46 pl-15 GD
Preston#14 pos60 pts46 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.07
Preston scored1.2
Portsmouth conceded1.39
Preston conceded1.35

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v Preston?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Preston was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Preston?
In their last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 1, Preston won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Preston?
Recent form — Portsmouth 1W 2D 2L; Preston 3W 1D 1L.

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