Preston v Ipswich result

Full-time · Preston 1–0 Ipswich

Championship · · Deepdale

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Preston · Ipswich · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Preston 1–0 Ipswich — Preston won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Preston beat Ipswich 1–0 at Deepdale in the Championship on Saturday 23 August. Preston have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Preston led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Preston: Milutin Osmajić (11’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Milutin Osmajić’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Ipswich out-shot Preston 15 to 2 and created the better chances, 1.39 xG to 0.84 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

M. Donohue showed eight yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Preston: Andrew Hughes (26’), Pol Valentín (45+1’), Milutin Osmajić (82’), Thierry Small (84’), S. Þórðarson (90+2’) and Alistair McCann (90+5’); Ipswich: Ben Johnson (40’) and Kasey McAteer (84’).

What it changes

Preston move up from fifth to third (three league matches played).

Ipswich move down from 16th to 18th (three league matches played).

Preston are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Ipswich are winless in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Milutin Osmajić (Preston) 5.9, Azor Matusiwa (Ipswich) 5.2 and Benjamin Whiteman (Preston) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Preston next host West Brom on 24 October 2026.

Ipswich next host Nottingham Forest on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Preston: Preston v West Brom, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Preston 1–0 Ipswich · Championship
  • Venue: Deepdale · Preston
  • Referee: M. Donohue
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Preston 2 · draws 1 · Ipswich 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Preston 2W 2D 1L · Ipswich 0W 3D 2L

Preston 1–0 Ipswich (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.29 / 4
Corners
against 4.14 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.29 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.91 yellows
Referee · M. Donohue
2.18 home / 2.73 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePreston for / againstLineIpswich for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13.86 for · 13.29 against n 7
19.5standard
12.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
2.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.43 for · 8.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: M. Donohue — 4.91 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 22.27 fouls over 11 matches (2.18 to the home side, 2.73 to the away side).

Preston
Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Brady n 878.8
2.18/6
0.73/2
—
Pol Valentín n 863.6
2.17/4
1.13/2
Azor Matusiwa
M. Smith n 861
26/4
0.42/0
—
R. Ledson n 868.4
1.55/4
15/1
—
A. McCann n 887.6
1.36/3
0.94/2
Azor Matusiwa
Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Smith n 861
37/3
1.35/1
M. Osmajić n 876.4
1.97/4
14/3
S. Þórðarson n 864.6
1.64/3
0.32/0
R. Brady n 878.8
1.35/3
0.32/0
E. Riis n 858.5
1.24/1
0.83/1
Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Riis n 858.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Osmajić n 876.4
0.43/0
00/0
A. Devine n 855.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Okkels n 853.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Brady n 878.8
00/0
0.32/0
Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. McCann n 887.6
3.77/6
Pol Valentín n 863.6
3.47/5
K. Kesler-Hayden n 879.9
2.55/4
A. Hughes n 871.1
2.26/4
R. Brady n 878.8
2.17/4
Ipswich
Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ben Johnson n 864.6
2.16/3
0.32/0
—
L. Delap n 848.3
1.94/2
1.24/1
—
Azor Matusiwa n 876.9
1.55/3
1.55/2
A. McCann
George Hirst n 851.4
1.53/1
1.54/3
—
Jacob Greaves n 879.8
1.35/3
1.36/2
—
Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Enciso n 875.5
2.46/4
0.93/2
George Hirst n 851.4
2.25/4
1.15/0
S. Szmodics n 839.1
25/2
0.62/0
C. Chaplin n 845.6
1.73/2
0.21/0
L. Delap n 848.3
1.65/2
1.65/2
Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Enciso n 875.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
Azor Matusiwa n 876.9
0.11/0
0.42/1
Ben Johnson n 864.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
N. Broadhead n 842.6
0.52/0
00/0
George Hirst n 851.4
0.42/0
00/0
Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Young n 851
3.16/4
C. Ogbene n 849.8
2.36/2
Sam Morsy n 886.6
1.97/5
Jens-Lys Cajuste n 857.1
1.85/3
Ben Johnson n 864.6
1.75/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PrestonIpswich
28%Possession72%
0.84Expected goals (xG)1.39
2Shots15
1Shots on target2
1Shots off target7
0Blocked shots6
2Shots inside the box4
3Corners6
2Offsides5
14Fouls5
6Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves0
219Passes570
60%Pass accuracy85%

Preston player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Iversen9000000007
J. Storey9000000106.7
L. Gibson9000000207.2
B. Whiteman9000000206.9
A. McCann90000011Y6.2
M. Osmajić90101100Y7.2
T. Small86001002Y7
A. Hughes78000005Y7.9
Pol Valentín73000004Y6.9
A. Devine7300000306.5
M. Smith7300000106.3
O. Offiah sub1800000106.6
S. Þórðarson sub18000000Y6.7
D. Jebbison sub1800000006.2
L. Lindsay sub1300000006.7
A. Vukčević sub1100000006.9

Ipswich player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alex Palmer9000000006.3
Dara O'Shea9000001007.3
Jacob Greaves9000110306.6
Leif Davis9000101107
J. Taylor9000112206.2
George Hirst9000101005.9
Azor Matusiwa7700001407.2
S. Szmodics7700101006.9
Ben Johnson66002001Y6.5
Jack Clarke6600001106.7
Jaden Philogene-Bidace6600101107.2
A. Young sub2500001107.2
Kasey McAteer sub25001000Y6.2
C. Chaplin sub2500000006.5
Jens-Lys Cajuste sub1400000006.9
Chuba Akpom sub1400000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Preston v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PrestonLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
IpswichLLDDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Preston 2 · 1 draw · Ipswich 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2024-02-03 Preston 3–2 Ipswich
  • 2023-10-07 Ipswich 4–2 Preston
  • 2019-04-19 Preston 4–0 Ipswich
  • 2018-11-03 Ipswich 1–1 Preston
  • 2018-02-24 Preston 0–1 Ipswich
  • 2017-11-04 Ipswich 3–0 Preston
League standing · 2025/26
Preston#14 pos60 pts46 pl-7 GD
Ipswich#2 pos84 pts46 pl+33 GD
Goals per game
Preston scored1.2
Ipswich scored1.74
Preston conceded1.35
Ipswich conceded1.02

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Preston v Ipswich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Preston v Ipswich was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Ipswich?
In their last 6 meetings, Preston won 2, Ipswich won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Preston and Ipswich?
Recent form — Preston 2W 2D 1L; Ipswich 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →