West Brom v Middlesbrough prediction

Championship · · The Hawthorns

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: West Brom · Middlesbrough · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for West Brom v Middlesbrough, Championship on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

West Brom host Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Middlesbrough have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last six meetings with West Brom, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of West Brom’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of West Brom’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, West Brom have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. West Brom have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). West Brom have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Middlesbrough’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Middlesbrough’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Middlesbrough have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.50. Middlesbrough have scored 22 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Middlesbrough have conceded 16 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Brom (fifth) and Middlesbrough (third) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Middlesbrough the stronger side, 77 rating points above West Brom (Middlesbrough 1675, West Brom 1598, after at least 337 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom.

Team news

Predicted West Brom XI (4-4-2): M. O’Leary, C. Styles, G. Campbell, N. Phillips, C. Mepham, I. Price, J. Molumby, O. Diakité, R. Nzingoula, J. Morgan, A. Heggebø — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Isaac Price (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and two assists) and Callum Styles (4.8 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been West Brom’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for West Brom (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Isaac Price averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1598 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Callum Styles averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 1145 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Middlesbrough XI (3-4-2-1): R. Vítek, A. Phillips, N. Borges, C. Brittain, A. Morris, S. Berhalter, R. McGree, A. Cozier-Duberry, T. Conway, M. Arfsten, W. Lankshear — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Amario Cozier-Duberry (5.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) and Aidan Morris (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Middlesbrough’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Middlesbrough (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Amario Cozier-Duberry averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 583 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Aidan Morris averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1060 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · The Hawthorns
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Brom 0 · draws 0 · Middlesbrough 6 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Brom 2W 1D 2L · Middlesbrough 2W 3D 0L

West Brom v Middlesbrough (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWest Brom for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
19.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 9.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
West Brom
West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Heggebø n 847.1
1.94/2
0.72/1
—
B. Stewart n 829
1.94/1
1.22/1
—
Jimmy Morgan n 868.3
1.66/3
2.16/4
—
R. Nzingoula n 863.8
1.66/3
2.36/4
—
Tobias Christopher Collyer n 847.8
1.65/2
0.52/0
—
West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Price n 875.8
2.48/5
1.27/1
J. Morgan n 381.7
2.23/1
1.52/1
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.24/1
0.92/0
Jimmy Morgan n 868.3
25/2
0.72/1
A. Heggebø n 847.1
1.96/2
0.73/0
West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Morgan n 381.7
0.72/0
00/0
A. Heggebø n 847.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
I. Price n 875.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
Jimmy Morgan n 868.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Felix Horn Myhre n 856.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Harry Whitwell n 856.4
4.87/7
C. Styles n 890
4.38/7
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.63/2
N. Galves n 881
2.48/4
R. Nzingoula n 863.8
2.16/3
West Brom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. O’Leary n 890
2.66/4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Pukštas n 863.1
3.47/7
1.85/3
—
Maximilian Arfsten n 838.3
2.15/1
0.62/0
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
24/3
1.45/1
—
M. Peart-Harris n 837.9
1.84/2
1.55/0
—
Leo Castledine n 844.5
1.34/1
12/1
—
Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cozier-Duberry n 872.9
3.48/5
1.75/4
W. Lankshear n 869.5
2.96/6
1.96/4
R. Pukštas n 863.1
2.56/3
1.45/2
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
2.25/3
1.24/2
K. Joseph n 837.4
2.15/1
1.23/1
Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Sarmiento n 840.8
0.62/0
0.31/0
A. Cozier-Duberry n 872.9
0.32/0
0.53/0
W. Lankshear n 869.5
0.85/0
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
T. Conway n 852.9
0.21/0
0.62/1
Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Morris n 889.3
48/6
R. Pukštas n 863.1
2.75/4
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
2.65/3
C. Brittain n 890
2.47/4
J. Sarmiento n 840.8
2.25/3
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 893.8
2.56/3
R. Vítek n 890
2.46/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind West Brom v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West BromDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Brom 0 · 0 draws · Middlesbrough 6 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-29 Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom
  • 2026-01-16 West Brom 2–3 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-09-19 Middlesbrough 2–1 West Brom
  • 2025-01-21 Middlesbrough 2–0 West Brom
  • 2024-10-01 West Brom 0–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2023-12-23 Middlesbrough 1–0 West Brom
League standing · 2026/27
West Brom#5 pos20 pts11 pl+3 GD
Middlesbrough#3 pos22 pts11 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
West Brom scored1.36
Middlesbrough scored2
West Brom conceded1.09
Middlesbrough conceded1.45

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Middlesbrough?
In their last 6 meetings, West Brom won 0, Middlesbrough won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — West Brom 2W 1D 2L; Middlesbrough 2W 3D 0L.

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