Wrexham v West Brom result

Full-time · Wrexham 2–3 West Brom

Championship · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 2–3 West Brom — West Brom won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

West Brom won 3–2 at Wrexham in the Championship on Saturday 16 August. Wrexham have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — West Brom: Isaac Price (20’; 81’, assisted by Michael Johnston) and Jed Wallace (74’, assisted by Michael Johnston); Wrexham: L. O'Brien (42’, assisted by James McClean) and Samuel Smith (90’, assisted by Ryan Longman).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jed Wallace’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wrexham 2.01, West Brom 2.37, from 15 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Busby showed two yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wrexham: Lewis Brunt (27’) and Samuel Smith (90+5’).

What it changes

Wrexham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. West Brom are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, George Dobson (Wrexham) 8.5, Isaac Price (West Brom) 8.1 and L. O'Brien (Wrexham) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wrexham or West Brom (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Wrexham next travel to Blackburn on 24 October 2026.

West Brom next travel to Preston on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Blackburn v Wrexham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for West Brom: Preston v West Brom, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Wrexham 2–3 West Brom · Championship
Referee: J. Busby
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Wrexham 3W 1D 1L · West Brom 2W 2D 1L

Wrexham 2–3 West Brom (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.8 / 4.88

Corners

against 5 / 5 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3.8 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4.4 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1 / 2.25

Cards

against 2 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 5 matches

4.1 yellows

Referee · J. Busby

1.8 home / 2.3 away

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Wrexham for / against	Line	West Brom for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.8 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.8 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.2 for · 8.2 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Busby — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.3 to the away side).

Home 1.8Away 2.3

Wrexham

Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Fletcher n 8	24.5	2.3 4/1	1.8 3/1	—
J. Marriott n 8	10.9	2.1 2/0	0 0/0	—
O. Rathbone n 8	86.5	1.7 6/5	1.2 6/2	—
J. Rodríguez n 8	65.3	1.7 6/2	1.6 5/2	—
R. Barnett n 8	33.8	1.7 4/1	0.7 2/0	—

Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Fletcher n 8	24.5	3.7 5/3	2.8 5/1
J. Windass n 8	69.5	2.6 6/5	1.3 5/1
R. Hardie n 8	73.6	2.3 7/4	1.5 6/3
J. Marriott n 8	10.9	2.1 2/0	2.1 2/0
S. Smith n 8	76.8	1.8 7/3	0.9 4/2

Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Marriott n 8	10.9	1 1/0	0 0/0
J. McClean n 8	64.1	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
R. Barnett n 8	33.8	0 0/0	0.7 2/0
J. Windass n 8	69.5	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
J. Rodríguez n 8	65.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Rathbone n 8	86.5	3 7/6
L. Brunt n 8	88.1	2 8/4
M. Cleworth n 8	90	1.8 7/5
M. James n 8	90	1.8 7/4
R. Longman n 8	75.8	1.8 6/2

West Brom

West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Diangana n 8	41.4	2.4 5/2	1.9 4/3	—
A. Heggebø n 8	87.6	1.9 7/5	1.2 6/2	—
D. Dike n 8	23.4	1.9 4/0	2.9 3/2	—
W. Lankshear n 8	45	1.8 4/3	3 7/3	—
Darnell Furlong n 8	86.6	1.6 5/3	1.8 7/5	—

West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Dike n 8	23.4	2.9 4/1	1 2/0
A. Armstrong n 8	37.6	2.4 5/1	1.8 5/1
A. Heggebø n 8	87.6	2.3 7/5	1.4 7/4
I. Price n 8	74	1.8 7/3	0.9 4/1
O. Diakité n 8	48.8	1.6 4/2	0.5 2/0

West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Dike n 8	23.4	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0
A. Heggebø n 8	87.6	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
Tom Fellows n 8	74.8	0.3 1/1	0.5 2/1
C. Styles n 8	85.1	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
I. Price n 8	74	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Diangana n 8	41.4	3 4/3
M. Holgate n 8	67.1	2.7 6/5
C. Styles n 8	85.1	2.4 7/6
I. Price n 8	74	2.1 8/2
J. Swift n 8	69	2 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Wrexham		West Brom
51%	Possession	49%
2.01	Expected goals (xG)	2.37
15	Shots	17
3	Shots on target	5
10	Shots off target	8
2	Blocked shots	4
13	Shots inside the box	15
5	Corners	5
2	Offsides	1
5	Fouls	7
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
489	Passes	484
85%	Pass accuracy	86%

Wrexham player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Ward	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Cleworth	90	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	6.6
C. Coady	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
L. Brunt	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
G. Dobson	90	0	0	0	0	2	8	0	7.9
L. O'Brien	90	1	0	1	1	2	4	0	7.9
J. McClean	90	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	6.9
K. Moore	90	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. James	80	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	7.5
R. Barnett	70	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
J. Windass	30	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
N. Broadhead sub	61	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.2
R. Longman sub	21	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.3
S. Smith sub	11	1	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.5

West Brom player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
J. Griffiths	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Darnell Furlong	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.5
N. Phillips	90	0	0	3	2	0	0	6.5
G. Campbell	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.5
C. Styles	90	0	0	2	0	2	4	6.2
J. Molumby	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
A. Heggebø	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	6.5
I. Price	87	2	0	2	2	0	0	8.3
A. Mowatt	79	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
Tom Fellows	74	0	0	1	0	2	1	7.2
K. Ahearne-Grant	73	0	0	2	0	1	0	6
M. Johnston sub	18	0	2	0	0	2	1	7.9
J. Wallace sub	17	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.3
O. Diakité sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
Tobias Christopher Collyer sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v West Brom — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WrexhamWWWLD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

West BromLDWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Wrexham#7 pos71 pts46 pl+4 GD

West Brom#21 pos51 pts46 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Wrexham scored1.5

West Brom scored1.04

Wrexham conceded1.41

West Brom conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v West Brom?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v West Brom was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and West Brom?: Recent form — Wrexham 3W 1D 1L; West Brom 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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