Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo prediction
Team pages: Estudiantes L.P. · Flamengo
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo, CONMEBOL Libertadores on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 01:30 BST.
The match
Estudiantes L.P. host Flamengo in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Friday 16 October (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Estudiantes L.P. or Flamengo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Flamengo are unbeaten in their last nine matches. Flamengo have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.
Form and the table
Seven of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Estudiantes L.P. have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.57. Estudiantes L.P. have scored six goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Estudiantes L.P. have conceded five goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Seven of Flamengo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Flamengo’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Flamengo have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.00. Flamengo have scored 14 goals, the second-most of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Flamengo have conceded two goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Estudiantes L.P. (second) and Flamengo (first) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Flamengo the stronger side, 129 rating points above Estudiantes L.P. (Flamengo 2018, Estudiantes L.P. 1889, after at least 40 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P..
Team news
Predicted Estudiantes L.P. XI (4-4-2): F. Muslera, S. Núñez, T. Palacios, L. Pírez, G. Benedetti, E. Piovi, A. Castro, M. Amondarain, T. Palacios, G. Carrillo, J. Correa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Medina (3.8 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Tiago Palacios (3.5 per match over 26 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Estudiantes L.P.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Estudiantes L.P. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Medina averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 2749 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Tiago Palacios averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1649 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Flamengo XI (4-2-3-1): A. Rossi, E. Royal, A. Lucas, L. Pereira, L. Ortiz, S. Lino, Jorginho, J. Carrascal, E. Pulgar, G. de Arrascaeta, B. Henrique — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Samuel Lino (4.3 per match over 40 appearances, 10 goals and eight assists) and Pedro (4.2 per match over 40 appearances, 19 goals and nine assists) have been Flamengo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Flamengo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Samuel Lino averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2752 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Pedro averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2882 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
- Referee: Juan Gabriel Benitez
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Estudiantes L.P. 1 · draws 1 · Flamengo 2 · 1.75 goals/game
- Recent form: Estudiantes L.P. 2W 1D 2L · Flamengo 3W 2D 0L
As of 14 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estudiantes L.P. for / against | Line | Flamengo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2our book | 1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.71 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.14 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.14 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.57 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
Estudiantes L.P.
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 65.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | — |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 71.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 48.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| M. Monsalve n 8 | 41.8 | 1.9 | 3 | — |
| Brian Aguirre n 8 | 29.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Carrillo n 8 | 44.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Joaquín Tobio Burgos n 8 | 57.8 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Brian Aguirre n 8 | 29.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 48.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 48.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Eros Mancuso n 8 | 72 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 71.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| J. Correa n 8 | 59.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Neves n 8 | 60.4 | 3.7 |
| Alexis Castro n 8 | 64.6 | 3.5 |
| Eros Mancuso n 8 | 72 | 3.1 |
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 65.4 | 2.9 |
| Eric Meza n 8 | 50.3 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fabricio Iacovich n 8 | 92 | 3.3 |
| Fernando Muslera n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
Flamengo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sandro n 8 | 58.1 | 2.9 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Henrique n 8 | 34 | 2.6 | 3.3 | — |
| Everton n 8 | 35 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — |
| N. de la Cruz n 8 | 25 | 2.3 | 3.6 | — |
| E. Pulgar n 8 | 73.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton n 8 | 35 | 3.2 | 1 |
| Pedro n 8 | 57.3 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| N. de la Cruz n 8 | 25 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Samuel Lino n 8 | 63.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 64.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Valencia n 8 | 43.6 | 1 | 0 |
| Jorge Carrascal n 8 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| G. de Arrascaeta n 8 | 61.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Pedro n 8 | 57.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 64.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luiz Araujo n 8 | 38.4 | 3.8 |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 64.8 | 3 |
| Samuel Lino n 8 | 63.3 | 2.8 |
| Anthony Valencia n 8 | 43.6 | 2.6 |
| E. Pulgar n 8 | 73.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Rossi n 8 | 90.6 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-21 Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2026-04-30 Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo
- 2025-09-26 Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Flamengo
- 2025-09-19 Flamengo 2–1 Estudiantes L.P.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo?
- In their last 4 meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1, Flamengo won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo?
- Recent form — Estudiantes L.P. 2W 1D 2L; Flamengo 3W 2D 0L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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