Fluminense v Palmeiras prediction
Team pages: Fluminense · Palmeiras · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Fluminense vs Palmeiras, CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 01:30 BST.
The match
Fluminense host Palmeiras in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Fluminense or Palmeiras (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
Eight of Fluminense’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Fluminense’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Fluminense have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.86. Fluminense have scored seven goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Fluminense have conceded seven goals, the 16th-most (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last three matches. Five of Palmeiras’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Palmeiras’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Palmeiras have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.00. Palmeiras have scored 10 goals, the fourth-most of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Palmeiras have conceded five goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Fluminense (second) and Palmeiras (second) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palmeiras the stronger side, 133 rating points above Fluminense (Palmeiras 1813, Fluminense 1680, after at least 47 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras.
Team news
Predicted Fluminense XI (4-2-3-1): Fabio, Guga, Ignacio, Rene, J. Freytes, Hercules, A. Canobbio, Martinelli, L. Acosta, Nonato, Hulk — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hulk (4.6 per match over 17 appearances, seven goals and five assists) and Rene (3.8 per match over 27 appearances, two assists) have been Fluminense’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fluminense (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Hulk averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 2083 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Rene averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 2239 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Palmeiras XI (3-4-2-1): C. Miguel, Murilo, G. Gomez, A. Gabriel, M. Freitas, J. Arias, A. Elias, A. Pereira, L. Evangelista, J. Piquerez, J. Lopez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Lopez (4.9 per match over 42 appearances, 16 goals and eight assists) and Allan Elias (4.5 per match over 31 appearances, five goals and six assists) have been Palmeiras’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Palmeiras (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Lopez averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 3318 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Allan Elias averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2383 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Estádio do Maracanã
- Referee: Facundo Tello
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Fluminense 3 · draws 1 · Palmeiras 2 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Fluminense 2W 0D 3L · Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L
TACTIX runs Fluminense v Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Fluminense for / against | Line | Palmeiras for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2our book | 1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.38 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.38 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.25 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.75 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Fluminense
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riquelme Felipe n 8 | 17.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 | — |
| Otavio n 8 | 43.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Canobbio n 8 | 72 | 2 | 3.4 | — |
| PH Ganso n 8 | 51.3 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| Julio Fidelis n 8 | 46 | 2 | 2.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hulk n 8 | 76.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| Jefferson Savarino n 8 | 34.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| L. Acosta n 8 | 39 | 2 | 0.9 |
| Guilherme Arana n 8 | 53.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| R. Castillo n 8 | 43.5 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hulk n 8 | 76.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Jefferson Savarino n 8 | 34.8 | 1 | 0 |
| L. Acosta n 8 | 39 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| K. Serna n 8 | 50.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Riquelme Felipe n 8 | 17.9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Riquelme Felipe n 8 | 17.9 | 3.1 |
| Guga n 8 | 88.8 | 3 |
| Julio Fidelis n 8 | 46 | 2.9 |
| Rene n 8 | 90.8 | 2.6 |
| Nonato n 8 | 73.5 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fabio n 8 | 91.6 | 3.7 |
Palmeiras
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Pacheco n 8 | 18.4 | 3.7 | 0 | — |
| Larson n 8 | 15.8 | 3.6 | 2.1 | — |
| Vitor Roque n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 | 4.5 | — |
| Felipe Anderson n 8 | 31.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | — |
| A. Barboza n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heittor n 5 | 13 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| Vitor Roque n 8 | 59.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| J. Lopez n 8 | 71.5 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| R. Sosa n 8 | 24.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| Mauricio n 8 | 46.4 | 3.2 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulinho n 8 | 27 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Giay n 8 | 71.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Vitor Roque n 8 | 59.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Lopez n 8 | 71.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Khellven n 8 | 35.8 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Felipe Anderson n 8 | 31.6 | 3.6 |
| A. Giay n 8 | 71.3 | 3.2 |
| Arthur Gabriel n 8 | 60.4 | 3 |
| Khellven n 8 | 35.8 | 2.8 |
| Lucas Evangelista n 8 | 80.9 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel n 8 | 90.6 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Fluminense v Palmeiras — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-15 Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras
- 2026-02-26 Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense
- 2025-11-23 Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense
- 2025-07-23 Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras
- 2024-12-08 Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense
- 2024-07-25 Fluminense 1–0 Palmeiras
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Fluminense v Palmeiras is Home or Away (best price 1.40 at Betvictor).
- What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Palmeiras?
- In their last 6 meetings, Fluminense won 3, Palmeiras won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Fluminense and Palmeiras?
- Recent form — Fluminense 2W 0D 3L; Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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