Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque prediction
Team pages: Atletico-MG · Atletico Torque
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home corners total under 6.5 the free pick for Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:00 BST.
The match
Atletico-MG host Atletico Torque in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 14 October (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Atletico-MG corners total under 6.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last six matches. Atletico-MG have scored in six consecutive matches.
Form and the table
Eight of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Atletico-MG have seven wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 9 home matches — 2.56 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.00. Atletico-MG have scored eight goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Atletico-MG have conceded six goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Seven of Atletico Torque’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Atletico Torque’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Atletico Torque have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00. Atletico Torque have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Atletico Torque have conceded five goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Atletico-MG (first) and Atletico Torque (first) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Torque the stronger side, 68 rating points above Atletico-MG (Atletico Torque 1867, Atletico-MG 1798, after at least 19 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Atletico-MG XI (4-2-3-1): Everson, R. Lodi, R. Tressoldi, Natanael, V. Hugo, Maycon, A. Franco, Cuello, Bernard, V. Hugo, M. Cassierra — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuello (4.2 per match over 36 appearances, eight goals and eight assists) and Fred (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Atletico-MG’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico-MG (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuello averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 2679 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Fred averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Atletico Torque XI (5-4-1): F. Torgnascioli, G. Kagelmacher, E. Agüero, K. Silva, F. Silvera, F. Romero, G. Montes, P. Siles, F. Pizzichillo, E. Obregón, S. Rodríguez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Salomón Rodríguez (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and F. Pizzichillo (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Atletico Torque’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Torque (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Salomón Rodríguez averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. F. Pizzichillo averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Arena MRV
- Referee: Carlos Betancur
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Atletico-MG 3W 2D 0L · Atletico Torque 3W 1D 1L
Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atletico-MG for / against | Line | Atletico Torque for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.75 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.38 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atletico-MG
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Borbas n 8 | 38.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | — |
| Mamady Cisse n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 | 2 | — |
| A. Franco n 8 | 81.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Preciado n 8 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.7 | — |
| Igor Gomes n 8 | 29.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuello n 8 | 89 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Victor Hugo n 8 | 54.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| T. Borbas n 8 | 38.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Fred n 8 | 80.3 | 2 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier n 8 | 55.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| T. Borbas n 8 | 38.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Igor Gomes n 8 | 29.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Cuello n 8 | 89 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Fred n 8 | 80.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Preciado n 8 | 59 | 3.2 |
| Alexsander n 8 | 45.5 | 3 |
| Reinier n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 |
| Mamady Cisse n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 |
| Natanael n 8 | 78.8 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Delfim n 8 | 92.4 | 3.7 |
Atletico Torque
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Tarán n 5 | 7 | 5.1 | 0 | — |
| E. Busquets n 3 | 51.3 | 4.1 | 2.3 | — |
| Sebastián Cáceres n 4 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0 | — |
| Alexander da Silva n 5 | 15 | 2.4 | 0 | — |
| Juan Quintana n 5 | 14.8 | 2.4 | 4.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander da Silva n 5 | 15 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Salomón Rodríguez n 8 | 89.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Luka Andrade n 4 | 16.8 | 1.3 | 0 |
| F. Pizzichillo n 8 | 85.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Esteban Obregón n 8 | 89.9 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander da Silva n 5 | 15 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Salomón Rodríguez n 8 | 89.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| E. Busquets n 3 | 51.3 | 0 | 0.6 |
| F. Pizzichillo n 8 | 85.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Facundo Silvera n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Diogo Guzmán n 8 | 23.6 | 2.9 |
| Brian Gutiérrez n 3 | 33.3 | 2.7 |
| José Tarán n 5 | 7 | 2.6 |
| Eduardo Agüero n 8 | 89.1 | 2.3 |
| Gary Kagelmacher n 8 | 89.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Franco Torgnascioli n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque is Home corners total under 6.5.
- What is the recent form of Atletico-MG and Atletico Torque?
- Recent form — Atletico-MG 3W 2D 0L; Atletico Torque 3W 1D 1L.
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