Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · · Estadio Centenario

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides over 0.5 the free pick for Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 21:00 BST.

Free pick
Home offsides over 0.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atletico Torque host Atletico-MG in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Atletico Torque offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last eight matches. Atletico-MG have scored in eight consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Atletico Torque’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Atletico Torque’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Atletico Torque have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.43. Atletico Torque have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Atletico Torque have conceded five goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.

Eight of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Atletico-MG have no wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 5 away matches — 0.60 points per game, scoring 0.60 and conceding 1.40. Atletico-MG have scored eight goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Atletico-MG have conceded six goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.

Atletico Torque (first) and Atletico-MG (first) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico-MG the stronger side, 154 rating points above Atletico Torque (Atletico-MG 1910, Atletico Torque 1756, after at least 20 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 October 2026, finished Atletico-MG 3–0 Atletico Torque.

Team news

Predicted Atletico Torque XI (4-3-3): F. Torgnascioli, E. Agüero, G. Kagelmacher, K. Silva, F. Silvera, G. Montes, P. Siles, F. Pizzichillo, S. Rodríguez, E. Obregón, L. Andrade — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Salomón Rodríguez (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and F. Pizzichillo (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Atletico Torque’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Torque (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Salomón Rodríguez averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 1077 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. F. Pizzichillo averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 937 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Atletico-MG XI (4-2-3-1): Everson, R. Lodi, R. Tressoldi, Lyanco, Natanael, Maycon, Cuello, A. Franco, Bernard, V. Hugo, M. Cassierra — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuello (4.2 per match over 38 appearances, eight goals and eight assists) and Fred (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Atletico-MG’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico-MG (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuello averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 2792 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Fred averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Estadio Centenario
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Atletico Torque 0 · draws 0 · Atletico-MG 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atletico Torque 3W 0D 2L · Atletico-MG 4W 1D 0L

As of 18 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.88
Corners
against 6.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 7.25
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 3.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtletico Torque for / againstLineAtletico-MG for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
7.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Atletico Torque
Atletico Torque — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José Tarán n 57
5.12/0
00/0
—
E. Busquets n 441
3.82/2
2.73/1
—
Sebastián Cáceres n 46.5
3.51/0
00/0
—
Luka Andrade n 515.2
2.42/0
5.94/1
—
Juan Quintana n 514.8
2.41/1
4.92/2
—
Atletico Torque — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alexander da Silva n 612.8
3.51/1
2.31/1
Luka Andrade n 515.2
2.42/0
00/0
Salomón Rodríguez n 889.6
2.37/6
1.56/4
F. Pizzichillo n 884.8
1.36/2
0.54/0
Eduardo Agüero n 890
1.16/2
0.42/1
Atletico Torque — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alexander da Silva n 612.8
1.21/0
00/0
Salomón Rodríguez n 889.6
0.84/2
0.11/0
F. Pizzichillo n 884.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Busquets n 441
00/0
0.51/0
Facundo Silvera n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Atletico Torque — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Diogo Guzmán n 823.9
2.83/1
José Tarán n 57
2.61/0
Eduardo Agüero n 890
2.48/6
Brian Gutiérrez n 447.5
2.42/2
Gary Kagelmacher n 889.9
26/5
Atletico Torque — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Franco Torgnascioli n 890
3.88/5
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mamady Cisse n 844.6
2.56/3
1.32/1
—
T. Borbas n 842.4
2.15/2
2.75/2
—
Fred n 880.3
1.87/3
2.57/6
—
A. Franco n 881.5
1.57/3
0.74/1
—
T. Perez n 868.8
1.56/2
0.21/0
—
Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Victor Hugo n 843.3
3.46/4
0.83/0
T. Borbas n 842.4
2.95/5
1.14/0
Cuello n 880.8
2.45/5
14/3
A. Minda n 834.3
2.35/2
13/0
Reinier n 852.4
2.15/4
1.54/3
Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Reinier n 852.4
0.93/1
0.21/0
T. Borbas n 842.4
0.83/0
0.31/0
Victor Hugo n 843.3
0.31/0
0.52/0
Bernard n 870.8
0.64/0
00/0
Igor Gomes n 837.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alexsander n 854.4
3.36/5
T. Perez n 868.8
2.36/4
Mamady Cisse n 844.6
2.33/2
Natanael n 881
2.15/4
Reinier n 852.4
2.15/3
Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Delfim n 891.5
3.26/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atletico TorqueWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Atletico-MGWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Atletico Torque 0 · 0 draws · Atletico-MG 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-10-14 Atletico-MG 3–0 Atletico Torque
League standing · 2026
Atletico Torque#1 pos13 pts6 pl+6 GD
Atletico-MG#1 pos10 pts6 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Atletico Torque scored1.83
Atletico-MG scored1.33
Atletico Torque conceded0.83
Atletico-MG conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG is Home offsides over 0.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Torque and Atletico-MG?
In their last 1 meetings, Atletico Torque won 0, Atletico-MG won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico Torque and Atletico-MG?
Recent form — Atletico Torque 3W 0D 2L; Atletico-MG 4W 1D 0L.

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