Santos v Deportivo Recoleta result

Full-time · Santos 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · · Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Santos 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta — this CONMEBOL Sudamericana match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home fouls total under 12.5.

Free pick
Home fouls total under 12.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santos and Deportivo Recoleta drew 1–1 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 15 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Santos out-shot Deportivo Recoleta 17 to 1 and created the better chances, 2.85 xG to 0.79 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Santos: Neymar (4’); Deportivo Recoleta: Richard Ortiz (45’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Richard Ortiz’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Santos: Neymar (33’) and Gabriel Bontempo (42’); Deportivo Recoleta: M. Pereira (22’), F. Galeano (79’), O. Toledo (84’) and Richard Ortiz (89’).

What it changes

Deportivo Recoleta are unbeaten in at least their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gustavo Henrique Pereira (Santos) 9.7, Neymar (Santos) 8.5 and Richard Ortiz (Deportivo Recoleta) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Santos fouls total under 12.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Santos next host Bahia on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santos: Santos v Bahia, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Santos 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira · Santos
  • Referee: F. Vejar
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Santos 2W 1D 2L · Deportivo Recoleta 0W 2D 0L

Santos 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SantosDeportivo Recoleta
78%Possession22%
2.85Expected goals (xG)0.79
17Shots1
5Shots on target1
6Shots off target0
6Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box1
6Corners2
2Offsides3
10Fouls19
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Saves4
603Passes176
87%Pass accuracy64%

Santos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Brazão9000000006.5
Adonis Frías9000200206.6
Luan Peres9000001006.3
Gustavo Henrique Pereira90000011007.2
Willian Arão9000000007.2
Neymar90103160Y8.7
Igor Vinícius8400001206.9
Gonzalo Escobar7500001406.7
Gabriel Bontempo64002110Y6.6
Moisés6400000106.2
Gabriel Barbosa6400211007.3
Benjamín Rollheiser sub2600000007.2
Miguelito sub2600111007.2
Thaciano sub2600000006.7
Rafael Gonzaga sub1500110006.9
L. Díaz sub1400000106.6

Deportivo Recoleta player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Toledo90000000Y7.9
M. Pereira90000001Y7.2
L. Cardozo9000000206.9
L. Mendoza9000000206.7
R. Dominguez9000000406.6
Richard Ortiz90101102Y7.3
Héctor López8400000006
F. Galeano84000003Y6
Manuel Shupp7200000106.2
Claudio Figueredo6000000106.9
T. Vidal6000000006.5
Blas Medina sub3000000106.7
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca sub3000000006
J. Nunez sub1800000006.7
Mathias Masi sub1400000006.3
C. Garay sub1400000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Santos v Deportivo Recoleta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SantosDWLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Deportivo RecoletaDD
Last 2: 0W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
Santos#2 pos7 pts6 pl+2 GD
Deportivo Recoleta#1 pos8 pts6 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Santos scored1.33
Deportivo Recoleta scored1
Santos conceded1
Deportivo Recoleta conceded0.83

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Santos v Deportivo Recoleta?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Santos v Deportivo Recoleta was Home fouls total under 12.5.
What is the recent form of Santos and Deportivo Recoleta?
Recent form — Santos 2W 1D 2L; Deportivo Recoleta 0W 2D 0L.

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