Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors prediction
Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Boca Juniors
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 01:30 BST.
The match
Vasco DA Gama host Boca Juniors in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Vasco DA Gama or Boca Juniors (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Vasco DA Gama have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 0.67. Vasco DA Gama have scored 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Vasco DA Gama have conceded six goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Seven of Boca Juniors’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Boca Juniors’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Boca Juniors have three wins, six draws and no defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.00.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vasco DA Gama the stronger side, 113 rating points above Boca Juniors (Vasco DA Gama 1924, Boca Juniors 1811, after at least 17 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 October 2026, finished Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Team news
Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-2-3-1): L. Jardim, R. Renan, Cuiabano, P. Rodríguez, A. Saldivia, T. Mendes, C. Barros, A. Gómez, R. Rique, N. Moreira, C. Spinelli — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.3 per match over 29 appearances, two goals and four assists) and F. Colidio (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 2187 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. F. Colidio averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2268 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Boca Juniors XI (4-3-3): A. Montero, L. Blanco, L. Lozano, L. Di Lollo, A. Costa, S. Ascacibar, M. Delgado, L. Paredes, M. Merentiel, L. Flores, S. Villa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Flores (4.7 per match over 17 appearances, four goals and three assists) and D. Gorosito (4.3 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Boca Juniors’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Boca Juniors (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Flores averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 1352 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. D. Gorosito averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 647 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Vasco DA Gama 1 · draws 0 · Boca Juniors 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 3W 1D 1L · Boca Juniors 3W 1D 1L
Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Vasco DA Gama for / against | Line | Boca Juniors for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.14 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.86 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.43 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.43 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David n 8 | 28.4 | 3.2 | 2 | — |
| Santiago Sosa n 8 | 67.1 | 2.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Jair n 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| Claudio Spinelli n 8 | 41.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| Ramon Rique n 8 | 36.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David n 8 | 28.4 | 4 | 2 |
| F. Colidio n 8 | 71.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Claudio Spinelli n 8 | 41.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| Adson n 8 | 49.4 | 3 | 1.1 |
| Marino Hinestroza n 8 | 34.8 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David n 8 | 28.4 | 1.2 | 0 |
| F. Colidio n 8 | 71.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bruno Duarte n 8 | 63.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Ramon Rique n 8 | 36.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Lescano n 8 | 71.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Cuiabano n 8 | 74.4 | 3.5 |
| Ramon Rique n 8 | 36.8 | 2.8 |
| Alan Saldivia n 8 | 85.3 | 2.6 |
| Andrés Gómez n 8 | 64.6 | 2.3 |
| Adson n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim n 8 | 90.9 | 2.4 |
Boca Juniors
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Valencia n 8 | 45 | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Velasco n 8 | 57.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | — |
| M. Delgado n 8 | 78.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | — |
| M. Braida n 8 | 80 | 1.5 | 2 | — |
| Sebastián Villa n 8 | 41.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Velasco n 8 | 57.3 | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| Sebastián Villa n 8 | 41.3 | 3 | 1.1 |
| Miguel Merentiel n 8 | 62.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Angel Romero n 8 | 26 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| S. Ascacibar n 8 | 68.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Valencia n 8 | 45 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| L. Flores n 8 | 63.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Angel Romero n 8 | 26 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Miguel Merentiel n 8 | 62.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| L. Blanco n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Paredes n 8 | 73.8 | 3.1 |
| M. Braida n 8 | 80 | 3 |
| M. Delgado n 8 | 78.3 | 3 |
| D. Gorosito n 8 | 80.9 | 2.6 |
| L. Blanco n 8 | 87.1 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Montero n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| L. Brey n 8 | 86.5 | 1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-14 Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Boca Juniors?
- In their last 1 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 1, Boca Juniors won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Boca Juniors?
- Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 3W 1D 1L; Boca Juniors 3W 1D 1L.
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