Alcazar v Malaga prediction

Copa del Rey ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Alcazar v Malaga, Copa del Rey on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1558 landed (95% range 73–77.2%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Alcazar host Malaga in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Alcazar or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Malaga are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in eight of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Malaga have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, David Larrubia (4.4 per match over 10 appearances) and Puga (3.6 per match over nine appearances) have been Malaga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Malaga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), David Larrubia averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 822 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Puga averages 4.6 tackles per 90 over 490 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Copa del Rey
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Alcazar 2W 0D 0L · Malaga 0W 2D 3L

Alcazar v Malaga (Copa del Rey): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Alcazar v Malaga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlcazarWW
Last 2: 2W 0D 0L · 1.5 scored / 0.5 conceded per game
MalagaDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Alcazar scored1.5
Malaga scored1
Alcazar conceded0.5
Malaga conceded2.2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Alcazar v Malaga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alcazar v Malaga is Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of Alcazar and Malaga?
Recent form — Alcazar 2W 0D 0L; Malaga 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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