Free model picks
Copa del Rey Predictions: Free Model Picks, Graded
6 Copa del Rey fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Badajoz v Tenerife (Tue, 10 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT). 6 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Copa del Rey fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
This Round at a Glance
- Strongest favourite among the free picks: Navalcarnero v Real Betis (Thu, 12 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT) — the free pick is Real Betis to win.
- Closest call: Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén (Tue, 10 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén (Tue, 10 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s six matches (from Tue, 10 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Tenerife are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Leganes are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About Copa del Rey
TACTIX lists six upcoming Copa del Rey fixtures in the next ten days, six of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Copa del Rey specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 24 from 42, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 6 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
Six fixtures in the Copa del Rey fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Badajoz v Tenerife (Tue, 10 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 6 of the six fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free Copa del Rey pick landed 24 of 42 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
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Copa del Rey at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Copa del Rey — the baseline every Copa del Rey match starts from before team form.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) Copa del Rey pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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See the Full Forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.