Amorebieta v UD Logroñés prediction

Copa del Rey · · Campo Municipal de Urritxe

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Amorebieta v UD Logroñés, Copa del Rey on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1558 landed (95% range 73–77.2%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Amorebieta host UD Logroñés in the Copa del Rey on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Amorebieta or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Amorebieta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Amorebieta’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Amorebieta have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.17.

Six of UD Logroñés’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of UD Logroñés’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, UD Logroñés have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 0.80 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.60.

Amorebieta are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. UD Logroñés are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Amorebieta have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have UD Logroñés the stronger side, 123 rating points above Amorebieta (UD Logroñés 1570, Amorebieta 1447, after at least nine rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 December 2020, finished Amorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Copa del Rey · Campo Municipal de Urritxe
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Amorebieta 1 · draws 0 · UD Logroñés 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Amorebieta 1W 1D 3L · UD Logroñés 1W 2D 2L

Amorebieta v UD Logroñés (Copa del Rey): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.14 / 2.5
Corners
against 4.86 / 5 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
3.14 / 1.5
Shots on target
against 6 / 3.75 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2 / 2.8
Cards
against 2.29 / 3.4 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAmorebieta for / againstLineUD Logroñés for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.14 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
2.5 for · 5 against n 4
Shots
12.14 for · 14 against n 7
19.5standard
7.25 for · 14.75 against n 4
Shots on target
3.14 for · 6 against n 7
8.5standard
1.5 for · 3.75 against n 4
Fouls committed
12.14 for · 9.57 against n 7
21.5standard
15.5 for · 16.25 against n 4
Cards shown
2 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.8 for · 3.4 against n 5
Amorebieta
Amorebieta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Edwards n 825
2.75/1
0.91/1
—
K. Sibo n 855.4
2.66/3
0.21/0
—
Javier Eraso n 840.9
2.54/2
1.74/2
—
Josué Dorrio n 828.1
2.44/2
1.63/1
—
Jorge Mier n 632
1.92/2
1.43/0
—
Amorebieta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Eneko Jauregi n 820.5
4.46/2
3.86/1
R. Edwards n 825
2.75/1
1.33/0
Rayco Rodríguez n 510.6
1.71/0
00/0
Josué Dorrio n 828.1
1.63/1
0.82/0
Jon Morcillo n 825.4
1.33/0
0.41/0
Amorebieta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Edwards n 825
0.92/0
00/0
Josué Dorrio n 828.1
00/0
0.82/0
Javier Eraso n 840.9
00/0
0.62/0
Eneko Jauregi n 820.5
0.51/0
00/0
J. Locadia n 872.6
00/0
0.21/0
Amorebieta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jorge Mier n 632
4.23/2
R. Edwards n 825
4.14/4
Daniel Lasure n 884.6
2.76/4
Àlex Carbonell n 822.1
2.55/0
Josep Gayá n 890
2.47/6
Amorebieta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jon Mikel n 890
4.98/8
UD Logroñés
UD Logroñés — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Facchin n 359
2.53/1
11/1
—
Iñaki Saenz n 393
1.93/2
1.62/1
—
Markel Lozano n 696.5
0.95/1
0.83/2
—
Beñat Almandoz n 387
0.31/0
11/1
—
Pol Arnau n 387
0.31/0
13/0
—
UD Logroñés — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pol Arnau n 387
12/1
00/0
E. Facchin n 359
12/0
00/0
Beñat Almandoz n 387
0.71/1
0.31/0
Markel Lozano n 696.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
Iñaki Saenz n 393
0.31/0
00/0
UD Logroñés — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Markel Lozano n 696.5
00/0
00/0
Iñaki Saenz n 393
00/0
00/0
Beñat Almandoz n 387
00/0
00/0
Pol Arnau n 387
00/0
00/0
G. Crettaz n 873.5
00/0
00/0
UD Logroñés — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Beñat Almandoz n 387
6.23/3
Pol Arnau n 387
3.82/1
E. Facchin n 359
3.12/2
Markel Lozano n 696.5
2.55/5
Iñaki Saenz n 393
11/1
UD Logroñés — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 873.5
2.94/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Amorebieta v UD Logroñés — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AmorebietaLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
UD LogroñésLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Amorebieta 1 · 0 draws · UD Logroñés 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2020-12-16 Amorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés
Goals per game
Amorebieta scored0.2
UD Logroñés scored0.4
Amorebieta conceded2
UD Logroñés conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Amorebieta v UD Logroñés?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Amorebieta v UD Logroñés is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Amorebieta and UD Logroñés?
In their last 1 meetings, Amorebieta won 1, UD Logroñés won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Amorebieta and UD Logroñés?
Recent form — Amorebieta 1W 1D 3L; UD Logroñés 1W 2D 2L.

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