KV Mechelen v AS Eupen prediction

Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for KV Mechelen v AS Eupen, Cup on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 12:30 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 2.10 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

KV Mechelen host AS Eupen in Cup on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or AS Eupen, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AS Eupen have scored in 10 consecutive matches. AS Eupen have won their last five matches.

Form and the table

10 of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results (47%). At home, KV Mechelen have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.43.

Eight of AS Eupen’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of AS Eupen’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, AS Eupen have six wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 9 away matches — 2.11 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.78.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have KV Mechelen the stronger side, 39 rating points above AS Eupen (KV Mechelen 1948, AS Eupen 1909, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 4 February 2024, finished AS Eupen 0–1 KV Mechelen.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, M. van Brederode (4.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and F. Hammar (4.1 per match over eight appearances) have been KV Mechelen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for KV Mechelen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. van Brederode averages 0.6 shots per 90 over 720 minutes, with a shot in three of the last eight appearances. F. Hammar averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 672 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Y. Van Genechten (4.4 per match over five appearances, two assists) and A. Lejoly (4.1 per match over four appearances) have been AS Eupen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Eupen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Van Genechten averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances. A. Lejoly averages 2.5 saves per 90 over 360 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Cup
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): KV Mechelen 3 · draws 1 · AS Eupen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: KV Mechelen 1W 2D 2L · AS Eupen 5W 0D 0L

KV Mechelen v AS Eupen (Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.8
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.13 / 5
Shots on target
against 5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKV Mechelen for / againstLineAS Eupen for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.8 for · 4.4 against n 5
Shots
11.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.8 for · 12 against n 5
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.4 for · 13 against n 5
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 6
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Hammar n 884
2.47/4
1.36/2
—
S. Michez n 847.1
2.13/2
2.65/4
—
Marco Decherf n 842.5
2.15/2
0.31/0
—
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi n 738.7
24/2
3.36/3
—
M. Zekri n 845.3
1.74/2
0.72/1
—
KV Mechelen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adeshina Ayodele n 427.3
4.13/1
3.32/1
B. Antonio n 823.8
2.45/0
0.92/0
K. Van Rafelghem n 833.9
24/1
0.31/0
Marco Decherf n 842.5
1.63/2
0.83/0
B. Raman n 840.1
1.44/1
0.82/1
KV Mechelen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marco Decherf n 842.5
0.31/0
0.52/0
Adeshina Ayodele n 427.3
0.81/0
00/0
M. van Brederode n 890
0.42/1
00/0
B. Bafdili n 831.3
00/0
0.41/0
B. Raman n 840.1
0.31/0
00/0
KV Mechelen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Hammar n 884
4.67/7
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne n 843.9
3.35/3
Dennis Praet n 873.5
2.98/7
D. Salifou n 853.4
2.76/3
S. Michez n 847.1
2.65/3
KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nacho Mirás n 890
2.96/4
AS Eupen
AS Eupen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Youndje n 823.8
2.83/2
0.92/0
—
A. Keita n 859.4
2.76/3
1.54/2
—
M. Fixelles n 879.8
2.47/5
1.76/4
—
L. Delaurier-Chaubet n 853.9
2.34/3
14/1
—
Théo Maréchal n 628.5
2.14/0
00/0
—
AS Eupen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Simakala n 658
4.76/5
1.83/2
B. Caliskan n 427.3
3.32/2
0.81/0
I. Nuhu n 856.8
37/3
14/1
R. Di Matteo n 532.6
2.22/2
1.12/0
Sandro Vidigal n 833.9
1.74/1
12/1
AS Eupen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Simakala n 658
0.51/1
0.52/0
I. Nuhu n 856.8
0.63/0
0.42/0
B. Caliskan n 427.3
0.81/0
00/0
Sandro Vidigal n 833.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Di Matteo n 532.6
0.61/0
00/0
AS Eupen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Youndje n 823.8
4.36/3
Mark Müller n 869.9
3.77/4
M. Fixelles n 879.8
3.58/7
Y. Van Genechten n 882.8
2.48/4
A. Keita n 859.4
2.37/2
AS Eupen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hiller n 890
4.17/6
A. Lejoly n 894.4
2.16/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind KV Mechelen v AS Eupen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KV MechelenDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
AS EupenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
KV Mechelen 3 · 1 draw · AS Eupen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2024-02-04 AS Eupen 0–1 KV Mechelen
  • 2023-09-02 KV Mechelen 1–0 AS Eupen
  • 2023-02-10 AS Eupen 2–1 KV Mechelen
  • 2022-10-22 KV Mechelen 2–1 AS Eupen
  • 2022-03-19 AS Eupen 1–1 KV Mechelen
  • 2021-12-22 KV Mechelen 1–3 AS Eupen
Goals per game
KV Mechelen scored1.2
AS Eupen scored1.8
KV Mechelen conceded2
AS Eupen conceded0.4

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win KV Mechelen v AS Eupen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for KV Mechelen v AS Eupen is Draw or Away (best price 2.10 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between KV Mechelen and AS Eupen?
In their last 6 meetings, KV Mechelen won 3, AS Eupen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of KV Mechelen and AS Eupen?
Recent form — KV Mechelen 1W 2D 2L; AS Eupen 5W 0D 0L.

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