Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen prediction
Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · Werder Bremen · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen, DFB Pokal on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.
The match
Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen in the DFB Pokal on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Borussia Dortmund to win.
The key numbers
Werder Bremen have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Werder Bremen, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Borussia Dortmund have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.14.
10 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Werder Bremen have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50.
Borussia Dortmund are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Borussia Dortmund the stronger side, 131 rating points above Werder Bremen (Borussia Dortmund 1960, Werder Bremen 1829, after at least 28 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 9 October 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen.
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (6.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Waldemar Anton (4.8 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 932 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Waldemar Anton averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 1131 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
By TACTIX Impact, Marco Grüll (7.1 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Niclas Füllkrug (6.4 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Werder Bremen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Werder Bremen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marco Grüll averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Niclas Füllkrug averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 546 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · DFB Pokal · SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Borussia Dortmund 3 · draws 3 · Werder Bremen 0 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L · Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen (DFB Pokal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Borussia Dortmund for / against | Line | Werder Bremen for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.63 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.63 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Karetsas n 8 | 50.8 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| M. Albert n 7 | 31.7 | 2 | 2.4 | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka n 8 | 27.6 | 2 | 2.9 | — |
| Joey Veerman n 8 | 59.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| J. Ryerson n 8 | 67.6 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Silva n 8 | 41.1 | 3 | 1.9 |
| S. Guirassy n 8 | 80.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| M. Sabitzer n 8 | 40.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| S. Inacio n 8 | 54.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| E. Nwaneri n 8 | 53.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Silva n 8 | 41.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| S. Guirassy n 8 | 80.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| S. Inacio n 8 | 54.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| M. Sabitzer n 8 | 40.4 | 0 | 0.6 |
| F. Nmecha n 8 | 68.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kauã Prates n 8 | 24.4 | 4.2 |
| N. Schlotterbeck n 8 | 82.8 | 3 |
| W. Anton n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 70.6 | 2.7 |
| R. Bensebaïni n 8 | 69 | 2.4 |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Itten n 8 | 20.5 | 3.3 | 0.5 | — |
| N. Füllkrug n 8 | 71.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach n 8 | 29.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | — |
| P. Erevbenagie n 5 | 18.2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| R. Schmid n 8 | 75.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Füllkrug n 8 | 71.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| J. Stage n 8 | 83.1 | 2 | 1.4 |
| P. Erevbenagie n 5 | 18.2 | 2 | 1 |
| M. Weiser n 8 | 57.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| J. Njinmah n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dariusz Stalmach n 8 | 29.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| N. Füllkrug n 8 | 71.9 | 1.1 | 0 |
| M. Grüll n 8 | 76 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| J. Stage n 8 | 83.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| R. Schmid n 8 | 75.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Erevbenagie n 5 | 18.2 | 4.9 |
| Dariusz Stalmach n 8 | 29.3 | 3.1 |
| O. Deman n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| S. Lynen n 8 | 78.8 | 3 |
| Y. Regeer n 8 | 70.9 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Hein n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
- 2026-05-16 Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
- 2026-01-13 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen
- 2025-01-25 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
- 2024-08-31 Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
- 2024-03-09 Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen?
- In their last 6 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 3, Werder Bremen won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen?
- Recent form — Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L; Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.